Premier League Gameweek 4 Sat, Sep 13 2025 · 15:00 St. James’ Park, Newcastle upon Tyne
1–0 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 1.55 – 0.50
  • N. Woltemade 29’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Woltemade goal decides it for Newcastle

Newcastle entered as clear favourites and won 1–0 through a Woltemade goal. Newcastle finished with the higher xG (1.55 vs 0.50).

Newcastle ✓63%
Draw21%
Wolves16%

Model vs reality

Newcastle goals
1
Model 2.12 · xG 1.55
Wolves goals
0
Model 0.96 · xG 0.50
Total goals
1
Model 3.08 · xG 2.05
Score 1–0
9%
Most likely 2–0 (10%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 59%
Both scored
No
Model 55%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchF. SchärNewcastle
8.0
  • RefereeChris Kavanagh
  • VenueSt. James’ Park
  • Table before kick-offNewcastle 17th · Wolves 20th

Timeline

  1. L. KrejčíYellow card · Foul
    7’
  2. N. Woltemade 1–0Assist J. Murphy
    29’
  3. AndréYellow card · Foul
    31’
  4. Half time · 1–0
  5. ⇄ J. WillockFor Joelinton
    65’
  6. ⇄ W. OsulaFor N. Woltemade
    65’
  7. ⇄ J. BellegardeFor Y. Mosquera
    66’
  8. ⇄ M. MunetsiFor André
    66’
  9. ⇄ J. AriasFor T. Arokodare
    66’
  10. M. MunetsiYellow card · Foul
    67’
  11. João GomesYellow card · Foul
    68’
  12. ⇄ J. TchatchouaFor R. Gomes
    77’
  13. ⇄ Fer LópezFor H. Hwang
    77’
  14. ⇄ A. ElangaFor H. Barnes
    80’
  15. Bruno GuimarãesYellow card · Foul
    88’
  16. ⇄ S. BotmanFor J. Murphy
    90+5’
  17. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

Newcastle16 shots · 8 in box, 8 outside
Wolves8 shots · 7 in box, 1 outside
NewcastleWolves
57% Possession 43%
1.55 Expected goals (xG) 0.50
2.15 Expected points (xPts) 0.60
16 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 3
7 Shots off target 3
5 Blocked shots 2
8 Shots inside the box 7
8 Shots outside the box 1
449 Passes 343
80% Pass accuracy 76%
9 Corners 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
10 Fouls 17
1 Offsides 0
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
7.28 Team rating 6.67

Line-ups

Newcastle 4-3-3

17.9 N. Pope(G)
216.9 V. Livramento 336.9 D. Burn 58.0★ F. Schär 27.6 K. Trippier
77.7 Joelinton ↓65’ 87.3 S. Tonali 396.7 Bruno Guimarães
116.9 H. Barnes ↓80’ 277.9 N. Woltemade ↓65’ 237.0 J. Murphy A↓90’
  • 1N. Pope (G)7.9
  • 21V. Livramento6.9
  • 33D. Burn6.9
  • 5F. Schär ★8.0
  • 2K. Trippier7.6
  • 7Joelinton↓65’7.7
  • 8S. Tonali7.3
  • 39Bruno Guimarães6.7
  • 11H. Barnes↓80’6.9
  • 27N. Woltemade↓65’7.9
  • 23J. MurphyA↓90’7.0

Substitutes used

  • 28J. Willock↑65’6.7
  • 4S. Botman↑90’
  • 20A. Elanga↑80’6.7
  • 18W. Osula↑65’6.3

Unused: A. Ramsdale, E. Krafth, M. Thiaw, L. Hall, L. Miley

Wolves 3-5-2

317.0 S. Johnstone(G)
246.3 Toti Gomes 156.6 Y. Mosquera ↓66’ 127.5 E. Agbadou
216.9 R. Gomes ↓77’ 376.6 L. Krejčí 86.9 João Gomes 76.3 André ↓66’ 36.6 Hugo Bueno
116.2 H. Hwang ↓77’ 146.5 T. Arokodare ↓66’
  • 31S. Johnstone (G)7.0
  • 24Toti Gomes6.3
  • 15Y. Mosquera↓66’6.6
  • 12E. Agbadou7.5
  • 21R. Gomes↓77’6.9
  • 37L. Krejčí6.6
  • 8João Gomes6.9
  • 7André↓66’6.3
  • 3Hugo Bueno6.6
  • 11H. Hwang↓77’6.2
  • 14T. Arokodare↓66’6.5

Substitutes used

  • 27J. Bellegarde↑66’6.9
  • 5M. Munetsi↑66’6.2
  • 10J. Arias↑66’6.2
  • 38J. Tchatchoua↑77’6.6
  • 28Fer López↑77’6.6

Unused: D. Bentley, M. Doherty, D. Møller Wolfe, S. Bueno

Player stats

Top rated
F. SchärNewcastle8.0
2nd
N. PopeNewcastle7.9
3rd
N. WoltemadeNewcastle7.9

Newcastle

Wolves

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.