Ligue 1 Gameweek 8 Sat, Oct 18 2025 · 16:00 Allianz Riviera, Nice
3–2 Full time · HT 2–1 xG 0.60 – 2.94
  • M. Bard 5’
  • S. Diop 35’
  • H. Boudaoui 55’
  • 29’, 90+5’ P. Šulc
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Nice beat Lyon

Lyon entered as narrow favourites, but Nice won 3–2 through goals from Bard, Diop and Boudaoui. Lyon replied through two Šulc goals. Nice won despite the lower xG; Lyon created the better chances (2.94 vs 0.60). On the chances created, Lyon deserved more: 2.6 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Nice ✓31%
Draw27%
Lyon42%

Model vs reality

Nice goals
3
Model 1.24 · xG 0.60
Lyon goals
2
Model 1.49 · xG 2.94
Total goals
5
Model 2.73 · xG 3.54
Score 3–2
2%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 51%
Both scored
Yes
Model 56%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchY. DioufNice
8.2
  • RefereeJérôme Brisard
  • VenueAllianz Riviera
  • Table before kick-offNice 12th · Lyon 4th

Timeline

  1. M. Bard 1–0Assist S. Diop
    5’
  2. Clinton MataYellow card · Holding
    26’
  3. P. Šulc 1–1Assist R. Kluivert
    29’
  4. S. Diop 2–1Assist J. Boga
    35’
  5. Half time · 2–1
  6. ✕ A. Maitland-NilesMissed penalty
    53’
  7. H. Boudaoui 3–1Assist J. Clauss
    55’
  8. C. VanhoutteYellow card · Roughing
    64’
  9. ⇄ A. BahFor Dante
    66’
  10. ⇄ R. GhezzalFor A. Karabec
    68’
  11. ⇄ N. TagliaficoFor Abner
    68’
  12. ⇄ T. LouchetFor M. Cho
    73’
  13. ⇄ Tiago GouveiaFor J. Boga
    73’
  14. ⇄ M. SansonFor S. Diop
    73’
  15. ⇄ F. TessmannFor T. Morton
    77’
  16. ⇄ Afonso MoreiraFor M. Fofana
    77’
  17. ⇄ M. NiakhatéFor Clinton Mata
    77’
  18. P. Šulc 3–2
    90+5’
  19. M. NiakhatéYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    90+6’
  20. Full time · 3–2

Team stats

Nice5 shots · 5 in box
Lyon27 shots · 15 in box, 12 outside
NiceLyon
31% Possession 69%
0.60 Expected goals (xG) 2.94
0.25 Expected points (xPts) 2.64
5 Shots 27
4 Shots on target 6
1 Shots off target 6
0 Blocked shots 15
5 Shots inside the box 15
0 Shots outside the box 12
253 Passes 534
75% Pass accuracy 87%
1 Corners 13
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
9 Fouls 11
2 Offsides 0
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
7.29 Team rating 6.45

Line-ups

Nice 3-4-3

808.2★ Y. Diouf(G)
46.9 Dante ↓66’ 377.2 Kojo Peprah Oppong 337.7 A. Mendy
267.9 M. Bard 246.7 C. Vanhoutte 67.9 H. Boudaoui 926.9 J. Clauss A
76.9 J. Boga A↓73’ 107.9 S. Diop A↓73’ 256.3 M. Cho ↓73’
  • 80Y. Diouf (G) ★8.2
  • 4Dante↓66’6.9
  • 37Kojo Peprah Oppong7.2
  • 33A. Mendy7.7
  • 26M. Bard7.9
  • 24C. Vanhoutte6.7
  • 6H. Boudaoui7.9
  • 92J. ClaussA6.9
  • 7J. BogaA↓73’6.9
  • 10S. DiopA↓73’7.9
  • 25M. Cho↓73’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 28A. Bah↑66’6.7
  • 20T. Louchet↑73’6.7
  • 8M. Sanson↑73’6.7
  • 47Tiago Gouveia↑73’6.6

Unused: M. Dupé, S. Abdul Samed, T. Ndombélé, Kevin Carlos, I. Jansson

Lyon 4-2-3-1

16.2 D. Greif(G)
166.0 Abner ↓68’ 216.3 R. Kluivert A 226.7 Clinton Mata ↓77’ 986.2 A. Maitland-Niles
86.7 C. Tolisso 236.9 T. Morton ↓77’
116.3 M. Fofana ↓77’ 107.0 P. Šulc 76.0 A. Karabec ↓68’
206.3 M. Satriano
  • 1D. Greif (G)6.2
  • 16Abner↓68’6.0
  • 21R. KluivertA6.3
  • 22Clinton Mata↓77’6.7
  • 98A. Maitland-Niles6.2
  • 8C. Tolisso6.7
  • 23T. Morton↓77’6.9
  • 11M. Fofana↓77’6.3
  • 10P. Šulc7.0
  • 7A. Karabec↓68’6.0
  • 20M. Satriano6.3

Substitutes used

  • 18R. Ghezzal↑68’6.7
  • 19M. Niakhaté↑77’6.7
  • 3N. Tagliafico↑68’6.7
  • 6F. Tessmann↑77’6.9
  • 17Afonso Moreira↑77’6.5

Unused: L. Diarra, Mathys de Carvalho, Khalis Merah, Alejandro Gomes Rodriguez

Player stats

Top rated
Y. DioufNice8.2
2nd
M. BardNice7.9
3rd
H. BoudaouiNice7.9

Nice

Lyon

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.