Premier League Gameweek 22 Sat, Jan 17 2026 · 17:30 The City Ground, Nottingham, Nottinghamshire
0–0 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 0.34 – 2.10
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

No way through for Nottingham Forest or Arsenal

Arsenal entered as clear favourites, but neither side found a way through. Arsenal finished with the higher xG (2.10 vs 0.34). On the chances created, Arsenal deserved more: 2.5 expected points against the 1 point they took.

Nottingham Forest15%
Draw ✓20%
Arsenal64%

Model vs reality

Nottingham Forest goals
0
Model 0.99 · xG 0.34
Arsenal goals
0
Model 2.20 · xG 2.10
Total goals
0
Model 3.18 · xG 2.44
Score 0–0
5%
Most likely 0–2 (10%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 62%
Both scored
No
Model 56%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchE. AndersonNottingham Forest
8.0
  • RefereeMichael Oliver
  • VenueThe City Ground
  • Table before kick-offNottingham Forest 17th · Arsenal 1st

Timeline

  1. J. TimberYellow card · Foul
    37’
  2. Half time · 0–0
  3. ⇄ L. TrossardFor Gabriel Martinelli
    46’
  4. ⇄ G. de JesusFor V. Gyökeres
    57’
  5. ⇄ B. SakaFor C. Madueke
    57’
  6. ⇄ Mikel MerinoFor M. Ødegaard
    57’
  7. ⇄ D. NdoyeFor Igor Jesus
    76’
  8. ⇄ E. EzeFor Martín Zubimendi
    79’
  9. ⇄ O. HutchinsonFor N. Domínguez
    89’
  10. T. AinaYellow card · Time wasting
    90’
  11. Full time · 0–0

Team stats

Nottingham Forest6 shots · 1 in box, 5 outside
Arsenal15 shots · 14 in box, 1 outside
Nottingham ForestArsenal
40% Possession 60%
0.34 Expected goals (xG) 2.10
0.31 Expected points (xPts) 2.53
6 Shots 15
0 Shots on target 3
3 Shots off target 4
3 Blocked shots 8
1 Shots inside the box 14
5 Shots outside the box 1
321 Passes 494
81% Pass accuracy 84%
4 Corners 9
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
8 Fouls 14
1 Offsides 0
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
7.14 Team rating 6.91

Line-ups

Nottingham Forest 4-2-3-1

267.2 M. Sels(G)
37.9 N. Williams 56.9 Murillo 317.2 N. Milenković 347.0 T. Aina
88.0★ E. Anderson 67.3 I. Sangaré
166.7 N. Domínguez ↓89’ 106.3 M. Gibbs-White 77.3 C. Hudson-Odoi
196.7 Igor Jesus ↓76’
  • 26M. Sels (G)7.2
  • 3N. Williams7.9
  • 5Murillo6.9
  • 31N. Milenković7.2
  • 34T. Aina7.0
  • 8E. Anderson ★8.0
  • 6I. Sangaré7.3
  • 16N. Domínguez↓89’6.7
  • 10M. Gibbs-White6.3
  • 7C. Hudson-Odoi7.3
  • 19Igor Jesus↓76’6.7

Substitutes used

  • 14D. Ndoye↑76’6.6
  • 21O. Hutchinson↑89’

Unused: A. Gunn, T. Awoniyi, R. Yates, Douglas Luiz, J. McAtee, Morato, N. Savona

Arsenal 4-3-3

16.7 David Raya(G)
126.7 J. Timber 67.3 Gabriel Magalhães 27.2 W. Saliba 46.6 B. White
418.0 D. Rice 366.9 Martín Zubimendi ↓79’ 86.9 M. Ødegaard ↓57’
116.9 Gabriel Martinelli ↓46’ 146.0 V. Gyökeres ↓57’ 206.7 C. Madueke ↓57’
  • 1David Raya (G)6.7
  • 12J. Timber6.7
  • 6Gabriel Magalhães7.3
  • 2W. Saliba7.2
  • 4B. White6.6
  • 41D. Rice8.0
  • 36Martín Zubimendi↓79’6.9
  • 8M. Ødegaard↓57’6.9
  • 11Gabriel Martinelli↓46’6.9
  • 14V. Gyökeres↓57’6.0
  • 20C. Madueke↓57’6.7

Substitutes used

  • 9G. de Jesus↑57’6.2
  • 7B. Saka↑57’7.3
  • 19L. Trossard↑46’6.7
  • 23Mikel Merino↑57’7.0
  • 10E. Eze↑79’6.3

Unused: Kepa, K. Havertz, M. Lewis-Skelly, Cristhian Mosquera

Player stats

Top rated
E. AndersonNottingham Forest8.0
2nd
D. RiceArsenal8.0
3rd
N. WilliamsNottingham Forest7.9

Nottingham Forest

Arsenal

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.