UEFA Europa League Quarter-finals Thu, Apr 16 2026 · 20:00 The City Ground, Nottingham, Nottinghamshire
First leg1–1 1–0 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 1.92 – 1.06
  • M. Gibbs-White 12’
  • 8’ J. Bednarek
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Gibbs-White goal decides it for Nottingham Forest

Nottingham Forest won 1–0 through a Gibbs-White goal. FC Porto played with ten men from the 8th minute after Bednarek was sent off. Nottingham Forest finished with the higher xG (1.92 vs 1.06). On the chances created, FC Porto deserved more: 0.8 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Nottingham Forest ✓35%
Draw28%
FC Porto37%

Model vs reality

Nottingham Forest goals
1
Model 1.28 · xG 1.92
FC Porto goals
0
Model 1.32 · xG 1.06
Total goals
1
Model 2.60 · xG 2.98
Score 1–0
9%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 48%
Both scored
No
Model 54%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchN. WilliamsNottingham Forest · 1 assist
8.2
  • RefereeDanny Makkelie
  • VenueThe City Ground
  • Table before kick-offNottingham Forest 6th · FC Porto 3rd

Timeline

  1. J. BednarekRed card · Roughing
    8’
  2. M. Gibbs-White 1–0Assist N. Williams
    12’
  3. ⇄ Igor JesusFor C. Wood
    16’
  4. T. MoffiYellow card · Holding
    32’
  5. Alberto BaioYellow card
    36’
  6. O. HutchinsonYellow card · Holding
    40’
  7. Half time · 1–0
  8. ⇄ Francisco MouraFor Z. Sanusi
    46’
  9. ⇄ J. KiwiorFor Gabri Veiga
    46’
  10. ⇄ V. FroholdtFor Alberto Baio
    46’
  11. ⇄ A. VarelaFor Borja Sainz
    46’
  12. ⇄ C. Hudson-OdoiFor O. Hutchinson
    46’
  13. ⇄ N. MilenkovićFor D. Ndoye
    65’
  14. ⇄ D. GülFor T. Moffi
    66’
  15. ⇄ MoratoFor Murillo
    72’
  16. ⇄ D. BakwaFor C. Hudson-Odoi
    72’
  17. William GomesYellow card
    90’
  18. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

Nottingham Forest19 shots · 10 in box, 9 outside
FC Porto10 shots · 4 in box, 6 outside
Nottingham ForestFC Porto
61% Possession 39%
1.92 Expected goals (xG) 1.06
1.94 Expected points (xPts) 0.84
19 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 1
9 Shots off target 6
5 Blocked shots 3
10 Shots inside the box 4
9 Shots outside the box 6
515 Passes 332
90% Pass accuracy 78%
7 Corners 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
16 Fouls 9
2 Offsides 0
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
7.14 Team rating 6.69

Line-ups

Nottingham Forest 4-2-3-1

277.2 S. Ortega(G)
38.2★ N. Williams A 56.9 Murillo ↓72’ 237.3 Jair 347.3 T. Aina
166.5 N. Domínguez 67.9 I. Sangaré
146.6 D. Ndoye ↓65’ 107.6 M. Gibbs-White 216.5 O. Hutchinson ↓46’
116.7 C. Wood ↓16’
  • 27S. Ortega (G)7.2
  • 3N. Williams ★A8.2
  • 5Murillo↓72’6.9
  • 23Jair7.3
  • 34T. Aina7.3
  • 16N. Domínguez6.5
  • 6I. Sangaré7.9
  • 14D. Ndoye↓65’6.6
  • 10M. Gibbs-White7.6
  • 21O. Hutchinson↓46’6.5
  • 11C. Wood↓16’6.7

Substitutes used

  • 19Igor Jesus↑16’6.2
  • 7C. Hudson-Odoi7.5
  • 31N. Milenković↑65’6.3
  • 4Morato↑72’6.7
  • 29D. Bakwa↑72’6.6

Unused: Keehan Willows, M. Sels, Z. Abbott, J. McAtee, Jimmy Sinclair, R. Yates, L. Lucca

FC Porto 4-3-3

997.6 Diogo Costa(G)
126.6 Z. Sanusi ↓46’ 53.0 J. Bednarek 36.9 Thiago Silva 206.2 Alberto Baio ↓46’
106.3 Gabri Veiga ↓46’ 136.5 P. Rosario 426.9 S. Fofana
176.5 Borja Sainz ↓46’ 296.2 T. Moffi ↓66’ 76.7 William Gomes
  • 99Diogo Costa (G)7.6
  • 12Z. Sanusi↓46’6.6
  • 5J. Bednarek3.0
  • 3Thiago Silva6.9
  • 20Alberto Baio↓46’6.2
  • 10Gabri Veiga↓46’6.3
  • 13P. Rosario6.5
  • 42S. Fofana6.9
  • 17Borja Sainz↓46’6.5
  • 29T. Moffi↓66’6.2
  • 7William Gomes6.7

Substitutes used

  • 4J. Kiwior↑46’7.2
  • 74Francisco Moura↑46’6.6
  • 8V. Froholdt↑46’6.3
  • 22A. Varela↑46’7.0
  • 27D. Gül↑66’6.6

Unused: Andorinha, Cláudio Ramos, D. Prpić, Gabriel Brás, Rodrigo Mora, Tiago Silva, Pepê

Player stats

Top rated
N. WilliamsNottingham Forest8.2
2nd
I. SangaréNottingham Forest7.9
3rd
M. Gibbs-WhiteNottingham Forest7.6

Nottingham Forest

FC Porto

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.