Premier League Gameweek 11 Sun, Nov 9 2025 · 14:00 The City Ground, Nottingham, Nottinghamshire
Nottingham Forest
3–1 Full time · HT 1–1 xG 2.55 – 0.69
Leeds
  • I. Sangaré 15’
  • M. Gibbs-White 68’
  • E. Anderson 90’ (P)
  • 13’ L. Nmecha
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Nottingham Forest come from behind to beat Leeds

Nottingham Forest entered as narrow favourites, yet Leeds led 1–0 after 13 minutes through a Nmecha goal. But Sangaré, Gibbs-White and Anderson scored to turn it around for Nottingham Forest, who won 3–1. Nottingham Forest finished with the higher xG (2.55 vs 0.69).

Nottingham Forest ✓43%
Draw26%
Leeds31%

Model vs reality

Nottingham Forest goals
3
Model 1.57 · xG 2.55
Leeds goals
1
Model 1.28 · xG 0.69
Total goals
4
Model 2.86 · xG 3.24
Score 3–1
5%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 54%
Both scored
Yes
Model 58%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchI. SangaréNottingham Forest · 1 goal
7.7
  • RefereeJarred Gillett
  • VenueThe City Ground
  • Table before kick-offNottingham Forest 19th · Leeds 16th

Timeline

  1. L. Nmecha 0–1Assist B. Aaronson
    13’
  2. I. Sangaré 1–1
    15’
  3. I. SangaréYellow card · Foul
    33’
  4. MurilloYellow card · Foul
    41’
  5. Half time · 1–1
  6. ⇄ T. AwoniyiFor Igor Jesus
    59’
  7. ⇄ R. YatesFor I. Sangaré
    59’
  8. ⇄ O. HutchinsonFor N. Domínguez
    59’
  9. M. Gibbs-White 2–1Assist O. Hutchinson
    68’
  10. S. LongstaffYellow card · Foul
    71’
  11. ⇄ D. JamesFor B. Aaronson
    74’
  12. ⇄ D. Calvert-LewinFor L. Nmecha
    74’
  13. ⇄ J. PiroeFor S. Longstaff
    74’
  14. ⇄ J. HarrisonFor G. Gudmundsson
    82’
  15. ⇄ P. StruijkFor J. Bijol
    82’
  16. ⇄ MoratoFor M. Gibbs-White
    88’
  17. E. Anderson (pen) 3–1
    90’
  18. Full time · 3–1

Team stats

Nottingham Forest14 shots · 10 in box, 4 outside
Leeds10 shots · 5 in box, 5 outside
Nottingham ForestLeeds
46% Possession 54%
2.55 Expected goals (xG) 0.69
2.47 Expected points (xPts) 0.38
14 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 3
2 Shots off target 5
6 Blocked shots 2
10 Shots inside the box 5
4 Shots outside the box 5
348 Passes 435
80% Pass accuracy 81%
6 Corners 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
10 Fouls 11
2 Offsides 1
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
7.09 Team rating 6.60

Line-ups

Nottingham Forest 4-2-3-1

267.3 M. Sels(G)
37.2 N. Williams 56.6 Murillo 317.3 N. Milenković 376.6 N. Savona
87.5 E. Anderson 67.7★ I. Sangaré ↓59’
166.9 N. Domínguez ↓59’ 107.3 M. Gibbs-White ↓88’ 147.6 D. Ndoye
195.9 Igor Jesus ↓59’
  • 26M. Sels (G)7.3
  • 3N. Williams7.2
  • 5Murillo6.6
  • 31N. Milenković7.3
  • 37N. Savona6.6
  • 8E. Anderson7.5
  • 6I. Sangaré ★↓59’7.7
  • 16N. Domínguez↓59’6.9
  • 10M. Gibbs-White↓88’7.3
  • 14D. Ndoye7.6
  • 19Igor Jesus↓59’5.9

Substitutes used

  • 9T. Awoniyi↑59’6.2
  • 22R. Yates↑59’6.9
  • 4Morato↑88’6.9
  • 21O. HutchinsonA↑59’7.7

Unused: John Victor, J. McAtee, Jair, A. Kalimuendo, Z. Abbott

Leeds 4-3-3

16.2 Lucas Perri(G)
36.3 G. Gudmundsson ↓82’ 156.6 J. Bijol ↓82’ 66.7 J. Rodon 26.3 J. Bogle
187.0 A. Stach 46.5 E. Ampadu 86.3 S. Longstaff ↓74’
196.3 N. Okafor 147.6 L. Nmecha ↓74’ 117.2 B. Aaronson A↓74’
  • 1Lucas Perri (G)6.2
  • 3G. Gudmundsson↓82’6.3
  • 15J. Bijol↓82’6.6
  • 6J. Rodon6.7
  • 2J. Bogle6.3
  • 18A. Stach7.0
  • 4E. Ampadu6.5
  • 8S. Longstaff↓74’6.3
  • 19N. Okafor6.3
  • 14L. Nmecha↓74’7.6
  • 11B. AaronsonA↓74’7.2

Substitutes used

  • 7D. James↑74’6.3
  • 9D. Calvert-Lewin↑74’6.2
  • 20J. Harrison↑82’5.9
  • 10J. Piroe↑74’6.7
  • 5P. Struijk↑82’6.5

Unused: K. Darlow, J. Justin, I. Gruev, A. Tanaka

Player stats

Top rated
I. SangaréNottingham Forest7.7
2nd
O. HutchinsonNottingham Forest7.7
3rd
D. NdoyeNottingham Forest7.6

Nottingham Forest

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
M. Sels G 90 0 0 2 sv 0 55% 22 0 0 0/0 0/1 7.3
N. Williams D 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 75% 36 6 0 1/2 1/2 7.2
Murillo D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 63 3 1 1/1 3/0 6.6
N. Milenković D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 83% 40 2 1 0/0 0/1 7.3
N. Savona D 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 72% 29 2 0 0/0 0/0 6.6
E. Anderson M 90 1 0 1 (1) 0 88% 43 3 1 0/3 2/1 7.5
I. Sangaré M 59 1 0 1 (1) 1 88% 26 2 1 1/1 3/1 7.7
N. Domínguez M 59 0 0 0 (0) 2 86% 22 3 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
M. Gibbs-White M 88 1 0 3 (3) 0 91% 22 0 0 1/2 0/1 7.3
D. Ndoye F 90 0 0 2 (1) 1 79% 14 3 1 1/2 1/2 7.6
Igor Jesus F 59 0 0 1 (0) 0 67% 12 0 0 0/2 0/1 5.9
T. Awoniyi F 31 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 4 0 1 0/1 0/0 6.2
R. Yates M 31 0 0 0 (0) 0 80% 5 2 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
Morato D 2 0 0 0 (0) 0 0% 1 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
O. Hutchinson F 31 0 1 0 (0) 1 56% 9 0 0 2/3 0/1 7.7

Leeds

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
Lucas Perri G 90 0 0 3 sv 0 81% 36 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.2
G. Gudmundsson D 82 0 0 1 (0) 0 83% 23 1 1 2/3 1/1 6.3
J. Bijol D 82 0 0 0 (0) 0 92% 71 1 1 1/1 0/0 6.6
J. Rodon D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 83% 80 2 1 0/0 0/0 6.7
J. Bogle D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 76% 29 2 0 1/3 1/0 6.3
A. Stach M 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 78% 46 1 0 0/2 1/1 7.0
E. Ampadu D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 76% 42 2 3 0/0 3/1 6.5
S. Longstaff M 74 0 0 0 (0) 0 77% 31 2 3 0/1 0/2 6.3
N. Okafor F 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 56% 16 0 0 0/4 1/1 6.3
L. Nmecha F 74 1 0 2 (1) 0 80% 5 1 0 0/0 1/0 7.6
B. Aaronson M 74 0 1 1 (0) 1 93% 15 3 0 1/7 0/4 7.2
D. James M 16 0 0 2 (1) 1 20% 5 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.3
D. Calvert-Lewin F 16 0 0 2 (1) 0 100% 3 0 0 0/1 1/0 6.2
J. Harrison F 8 0 0 0 (0) 0 88% 8 0 0 0/1 1/0 5.9
J. Piroe F 16 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 9 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
P. Struijk D 8 0 0 0 (0) 0 81% 16 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.