Premier League Gameweek 18 Sat, Dec 27 2025 · 12:30 The City Ground, Nottingham, Nottinghamshire
Nottingham Forest
1–2 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 0.55 – 1.45
Manchester City
  • O. Hutchinson 54’
  • 48’ T. Reijnders
  • 83’ M. Cherki
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Manchester City beat Nottingham Forest

Manchester City entered as favourites and won 2–1 through goals from Reijnders and Cherki. Nottingham Forest replied through a Hutchinson goal. Manchester City finished with the higher xG (1.45 vs 0.55).

Nottingham Forest22%
Draw23%
Manchester City ✓55%

Model vs reality

Nottingham Forest goals
1
Model 1.13 · xG 0.55
Manchester City goals
2
Model 1.91 · xG 1.45
Total goals
3
Model 3.05 · xG 2.00
Score 1–2
10%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 59%
Both scored
Yes
Model 58%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchM. CherkiManchester City · 1 goal · 1 assist
8.5
  • RefereeRobert Jones
  • VenueThe City Ground
  • Table before kick-offNottingham Forest 17th · Manchester City 2nd

Timeline

  1. Rúben DiasYellow card · Argument
    36’
  2. E. AndersonYellow card · Foul
    43’
  3. Half time · 0–0
  4. T. Reijnders 0–1Assist M. Cherki
    48’
  5. O. Hutchinson 1–1Assist Igor Jesus
    54’
  6. N. O'ReillyYellow card · Foul
    59’
  7. ⇄ SavinhoFor T. Reijnders
    73’
  8. M. Cherki 1–2Assist J. Gvardiol
    83’
  9. ⇄ T. AwoniyiFor N. Domínguez
    87’
  10. ⇄ N. AkéFor M. Cherki
    89’
  11. ⇄ D. BakwaFor C. Hudson-Odoi
    90+2’
  12. Full time · 1–2

Team stats

Nottingham Forest7 shots · 5 in box, 2 outside
Manchester City16 shots · 9 in box, 7 outside
Nottingham ForestManchester City
34% Possession 66%
0.55 Expected goals (xG) 1.45
0.69 Expected points (xPts) 2.05
7 Shots 16
2 Shots on target 5
2 Shots off target 4
3 Blocked shots 7
5 Shots inside the box 9
2 Shots outside the box 7
293 Passes 595
75% Pass accuracy 90%
5 Corners 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Fouls 13
1 Offsides 1
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
6.79 Team rating 6.89

Line-ups

Nottingham Forest 4-2-3-1

136.3 John Victor(G)
36.3 N. Williams 57.2 Murillo 316.9 N. Milenković 376.5 N. Savona
166.9 N. Domínguez ↓87’ 87.5 E. Anderson
76.5 C. Hudson-Odoi ↓90’ 106.6 M. Gibbs-White 217.3 O. Hutchinson
196.7 Igor Jesus A
  • 13John Victor (G)6.3
  • 3N. Williams6.3
  • 5Murillo7.2
  • 31N. Milenković6.9
  • 37N. Savona6.5
  • 16N. Domínguez↓87’6.9
  • 8E. Anderson7.5
  • 7C. Hudson-Odoi↓90’6.5
  • 10M. Gibbs-White6.6
  • 21O. Hutchinson7.3
  • 19Igor JesusA6.7

Substitutes used

  • 9T. Awoniyi↑87’6.5
  • 29D. Bakwa↑90’

Unused: M. Sels, Douglas Luiz, J. McAtee, O. Zinchenko, A. Kalimuendo, Morato, Z. Abbott

Manchester City 4-3-2-1

256.2 G. Donnarumma(G)
336.2 N. O'Reilly 247.3 J. Gvardiol A 37.2 Rúben Dias 277.3 M. Nunes
47.0 T. Reijnders ↓73’ 146.9 Nico González 206.9 Bernardo Silva
475.9 P. Foden 108.5★ M. Cherki A↓89’
96.5 E. Haaland
  • 25G. Donnarumma (G)6.2
  • 33N. O'Reilly6.2
  • 24J. GvardiolA7.3
  • 3Rúben Dias7.2
  • 27M. Nunes7.3
  • 4T. Reijnders↓73’7.0
  • 14Nico González6.9
  • 20Bernardo Silva6.9
  • 47P. Foden5.9
  • 10M. Cherki ★A↓89’8.5
  • 9E. Haaland6.5

Substitutes used

  • 6N. Aké↑89’
  • 26Savinho↑73’6.5

Unused: J. Trafford, Rodri, R. Lewis, Ryan McAidoo, R. Heskey, A. Khusanov, Divine Mukasa

Player stats

Top rated
M. CherkiManchester City8.5
2nd
E. AndersonNottingham Forest7.5
3rd
O. HutchinsonNottingham Forest7.3

Nottingham Forest

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
John Victor G 90 0 0 3 sv 0 48% 27 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
N. Williams D 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 81% 26 1 1 1/3 0/3 6.3
Murillo D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 77% 30 3 1 0/1 0/0 7.2
N. Milenković D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 61% 18 1 1 0/0 0/1 6.9
N. Savona D 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 56% 39 1 1 0/0 0/1 6.5
N. Domínguez M 87 0 0 1 (0) 0 83% 18 3 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
E. Anderson M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 84% 56 4 3 2/4 1/2 7.5
C. Hudson-Odoi F 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 93% 15 0 0 1/4 0/1 6.5
M. Gibbs-White M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 85% 27 1 1 1/2 0/0 6.6
O. Hutchinson F 90 1 0 1 (1) 0 90% 21 1 0 1/2 0/1 7.3
Igor Jesus F 90 0 1 0 (0) 1 71% 14 0 0 0/1 3/4 6.7
T. Awoniyi F 3 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.5
D. Bakwa F 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 2 0 0 0/0 0/0 —

Manchester City

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
G. Donnarumma G 90 0 0 1 sv 0 82% 17 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.2
N. O'Reilly M 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 90% 50 1 0 3/5 2/0 6.2
J. Gvardiol D 90 0 1 0 (0) 1 94% 98 3 1 0/0 3/1 7.3
Rúben Dias D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 95% 94 0 1 0/0 2/0 7.2
M. Nunes M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 95% 74 5 0 2/2 2/0 7.3
T. Reijnders M 73 1 0 2 (1) 2 86% 22 0 0 0/2 1/0 7.0
Nico González M 90 0 0 1 (0) 2 86% 77 2 0 0/0 1/1 6.9
Bernardo Silva M 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 93% 57 1 0 1/2 0/0 6.9
P. Foden M 90 0 0 1 (1) 2 79% 38 0 1 2/3 1/1 5.9
M. Cherki M 89 1 1 3 (2) 3 88% 48 2 1 2/4 0/1 8.5
E. Haaland F 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 71% 7 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
N. Aké D 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 2 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
Savinho F 17 0 0 1 (1) 0 82% 11 0 0 1/3 1/0 6.5

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.