Ligue 1 Gameweek 17 Sun, Jan 4 2026 · 19:45 Parc des Princes, Paris
2–1 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 1.32 – 0.99
  • D. Doué 45’
  • M. Dembélé 53’
  • 51’ (P) W. Geubbels
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Paris Saint Germain beat Paris FC

Paris Saint Germain entered as clear favourites and won 2–1 through goals from Doué and Dembélé. Paris FC replied through a Geubbels goal. Paris Saint Germain finished with the higher xG (1.32 vs 0.99). On the chances created, Paris FC deserved more: 1.1 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Paris Saint Germain ✓94%
Draw5%
Paris FC2%

Model vs reality

Paris Saint Germain goals
2
Model 4.08 · xG 1.32
Paris FC goals
1
Model 0.52 · xG 0.99
Total goals
3
Model 4.60 · xG 2.31
Score 2–1
4%
Most likely 4–0 (12%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 84%
Both scored
Yes
Model 40%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchM. DembéléParis Saint Germain · 1 goal
8.6
  • RefereeBenoît Bastien
  • VenueParc des Princes
  • Table before kick-offParis Saint Germain 2nd · Paris FC 15th

Timeline

  1. D. Doué 1–0Assist Fabián Ruiz
    45’
  2. Half time · 1–0
  3. I. ZabarnyiYellow card · Foul
    49’
  4. W. Geubbels (pen) 1–1
    51’
  5. M. Dembélé 2–1Assist W. Zaïre-Emery
    53’
  6. ⇄ M. CafaroFor N. Ikoné
    68’
  7. ⇄ B. BarcolaFor D. Doué
    70’
  8. ⇄ Gonçalo RamosFor M. Dembélé
    70’
  9. ⇄ MarquinhosFor I. Zabarnyi
    70’
  10. ⇄ V. MarchettiFor Alimami Gory
    77’
  11. ⇄ L. HernándezFor Nuno Mendes
    80’
  12. ⇄ Noah NsokiFor S. Mayulu
    83’
  13. ⇄ Julien LópezFor W. Geubbels
    89’
  14. ⇄ M. DaoFor Adama Camara
    89’
  15. ⇄ T. OllilaFor T. De Smet
    90’
  16. Full time · 2–1

Team stats

Paris Saint Germain20 shots · 11 in box, 9 outside
Paris FC6 shots · 3 in box, 3 outside
Paris Saint GermainParis FC
71% Possession 29%
1.32 Expected goals (xG) 0.99
1.60 Expected points (xPts) 1.12
20 Shots 6
6 Shots on target 3
10 Shots off target 3
4 Blocked shots 0
11 Shots inside the box 3
9 Shots outside the box 3
780 Passes 323
91% Pass accuracy 78%
7 Corners 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Fouls 4
0 Offsides 2
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
6.98 Team rating 6.45

Line-ups

Paris Saint Germain 4-3-3

306.9 L. Chevalier(G)
256.9 Nuno Mendes ↓80’ 516.9 W. Pacho 65.9 I. Zabarnyi ↓70’ 336.0 W. Zaïre-Emery A
87.7 Fabián Ruiz A 177.2 Vitinha 876.3 João Neves
246.5 S. Mayulu ↓83’ 108.6★ M. Dembélé ↓70’ 148.6 D. Doué ↓70’
  • 30L. Chevalier (G)6.9
  • 25Nuno Mendes↓80’6.9
  • 51W. Pacho6.9
  • 6I. Zabarnyi↓70’5.9
  • 33W. Zaïre-EmeryA6.0
  • 8Fabián RuizA7.7
  • 17Vitinha7.2
  • 87João Neves6.3
  • 24S. Mayulu↓83’6.5
  • 10M. Dembélé ★↓70’8.6
  • 14D. Doué↓70’8.6

Substitutes used

  • 5Marquinhos↑70’6.9
  • 9Gonçalo Ramos↑70’6.3
  • 29B. Barcola↑70’6.9
  • 21L. Hernández↑80’6.7
  • 45Noah Nsoki↑83’6.3

Unused: R. Bellucci, Arthur Vignaud, Beraldo, K. Kvaratskhelia

Paris FC 5-4-1

356.2 K. Trapp(G)
286.9 T. De Smet ↓90’ 66.7 Otávio 156.3 T. Kolodziejczak 56.5 M. Mbow 196.0 N. Sangui
76.9 Alimami Gory ↓77’ 176.6 Adama Camara ↓89’ 216.3 M. Lopez 936.3 N. Ikoné ↓68’
96.3 W. Geubbels ↓89’
  • 35K. Trapp (G)6.2
  • 28T. De Smet↓90’6.9
  • 6Otávio6.7
  • 15T. Kolodziejczak6.3
  • 5M. Mbow6.5
  • 19N. Sangui6.0
  • 7Alimami Gory↓77’6.9
  • 17Adama Camara↓89’6.6
  • 21M. Lopez6.3
  • 93N. Ikoné↓68’6.3
  • 9W. Geubbels↓89’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 13M. Cafaro↑68’6.3
  • 4V. Marchetti↑77’6.9
  • 20Julien López↑89’
  • 2T. Ollila↑90’

Unused: Mohamed Benoit-Dao, Obed Nkambadio, K. Prouchet, L. Doucet, M. Gueye

Player stats

Top rated
M. DembéléParis Saint Germain8.6
2nd
D. DouéParis Saint Germain8.6
3rd
Fabián RuizParis Saint Germain7.7

Paris Saint Germain

Paris FC

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.