Serie A Gameweek 11 Sat, Nov 8 2025 · 19:45 Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma
Parma
2–2 Full time · HT 1–2 xG 1.84 – 1.99
AC Milan
  • Adrián Bernabé 45+1’
  • E. Delprato 62’
  • 12’ A. Saelemaekers
  • 25’ (P) Rafael Leão
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Parma fight back from two goals down

AC Milan entered as favourites and led 2–0 after 25 minutes through goals from Saelemaekers and Leão. But Bernabé and Delprato scored to rescue a draw for Parma. The chances were even, with xG of 1.84 and 1.99.

Parma21%
Draw ✓26%
AC Milan53%

Model vs reality

Parma goals
2
Model 0.93 · xG 1.84
AC Milan goals
2
Model 1.61 · xG 1.99
Total goals
4
Model 2.53 · xG 3.83
Score 2–2
4%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 47%
Both scored
Yes
Model 49%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchA. SaelemaekersAC Milan · 1 goal
8.2
  • RefereeMarco Di Bello
  • VenueStadio Ennio Tardini
  • Table before kick-offParma 17th · AC Milan 3rd

Timeline

  1. A. Saelemaekers 0–1Assist C. Nkunku
    12’
  2. Rafael Leão (pen) 0–2
    25’
  3. Adrián Bernabé 1–2Assist Sascha Britschgi
    45+1’
  4. Half time · 1–2
  5. ⇄ Mariano TroiloFor A. Ndiaye
    46’
  6. ⇄ R. Loftus-CheekFor C. Nkunku
    60’
  7. E. Delprato 2–2Assist Sascha Britschgi
    62’
  8. ⇄ E. ValeriFor M. Løvik
    69’
  9. L. ModrićYellow card · Roughing
    70’
  10. ⇄ D. BartesaghiFor P. Estupiñán
    71’
  11. ⇄ C. PulišićFor S. Ricci
    71’
  12. ⇄ HernaniFor Adrián Bernabé
    80’
  13. O. SørensenYellow card · Tripping
    86’
  14. ⇄ Z. AthekameFor K. De Winter
    87’
  15. ⇄ B. CremaschiFor P. Cutrone
    90+2’
  16. Full time · 2–2

Team stats

Parma14 shots · 9 in box, 5 outside
AC Milan10 shots · 7 in box, 3 outside
ParmaAC Milan
43% Possession 57%
1.84 Expected goals (xG) 1.99
1.31 Expected points (xPts) 1.48
14 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 5
6 Shots off target 5
4 Blocked shots 0
9 Shots inside the box 7
5 Shots outside the box 3
413 Passes 550
86% Pass accuracy 88%
4 Corners 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
13 Fouls 10
2 Offsides 2
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
6.83 Team rating 6.80

Line-ups

Parma 3-5-2

316.7 Z. Suzuki(G)
35.3 A. Ndiaye ↓46’ 57.2 L. Valenti 157.3 E. Delprato
186.3 M. Løvik ↓69’ 226.3 O. Sørensen 166.9 L. Keita 107.7 Adrián Bernabé ↓80’ 277.2 Sascha Britschgi AA
96.7 Mateo Pellegrino 327.0 P. Cutrone ↓90’
  • 31Z. Suzuki (G)6.7
  • 3A. Ndiaye↓46’5.3
  • 5L. Valenti7.2
  • 15E. Delprato7.3
  • 18M. Løvik↓69’6.3
  • 22O. Sørensen6.3
  • 16L. Keita6.9
  • 10Adrián Bernabé↓80’7.7
  • 27Sascha BritschgiA×27.2
  • 9Mateo Pellegrino6.7
  • 32P. Cutrone↓90’7.0

Substitutes used

  • 14E. Valeri↑69’6.3
  • 37Mariano Troilo↑46’6.6
  • 23Hernani↑80’6.6
  • 25B. Cremaschi↑90’

Unused: F. Rinaldi, E. Corvi, Nicolas Trabucchi, Elia Plicco, A. Benedyczak, Alessandro Cardinali, T. Begić, M. Đurić

AC Milan 3-5-2

166.9 M. Maignan(G)
316.9 S. Pavlović 466.5 M. Gabbia 56.3 K. De Winter ↓87’
26.7 P. Estupiñán ↓71’ 46.2 S. Ricci ↓71’ 147.3 L. Modrić 195.9 Y. Fofana 568.2★ A. Saelemaekers
107.2 Rafael Leão 186.7 C. Nkunku A↓60’
  • 16M. Maignan (G)6.9
  • 31S. Pavlović6.9
  • 46M. Gabbia6.5
  • 5K. De Winter↓87’6.3
  • 2P. Estupiñán↓71’6.7
  • 4S. Ricci↓71’6.2
  • 14L. Modrić7.3
  • 19Y. Fofana5.9
  • 56A. Saelemaekers ★8.2
  • 10Rafael Leão7.2
  • 18C. NkunkuA↓60’6.7

Substitutes used

  • 24Z. Athekame↑87’
  • 33D. Bartesaghi↑71’6.6
  • 8R. Loftus-Cheek↑60’6.3
  • 11C. Pulišić↑71’6.6

Unused: L. Torriani, P. Terracciano, O. Tomori, D. Odogu, A. Jashari

Player stats

Top rated
A. SaelemaekersAC Milan8.2
2nd
Adrián BernabéParma7.7
3rd
E. DelpratoParma7.3

Parma

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
Z. Suzuki G 90 0 0 2 sv 0 72% 18 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
A. Ndiaye D 46 0 0 2 (0) 0 87% 38 1 0 0/0 2/0 5.3
L. Valenti D 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 89% 64 2 2 0/0 1/0 7.2
E. Delprato D 90 1 0 4 (3) 0 92% 51 1 0 0/0 1/1 7.3
M. Løvik D 69 0 0 0 (0) 0 71% 21 2 3 0/1 0/0 6.3
O. Sørensen M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 95% 22 0 1 0/0 1/1 6.3
L. Keita M 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 92% 50 1 1 2/2 2/1 6.9
Adrián Bernabé M 80 1 0 2 (1) 1 89% 47 0 0 0/1 0/1 7.7
Sascha Britschgi M 90 0 2 0 (0) 3 77% 31 0 0 0/1 1/0 7.2
Mateo Pellegrino F 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 82% 11 0 0 1/2 2/1 6.7
P. Cutrone F 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 77% 22 0 0 0/1 1/2 7.0
E. Valeri D 21 0 0 0 (0) 0 60% 5 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
Mariano Troilo D 44 0 0 0 (0) 0 96% 25 0 0 0/0 1/1 6.6
Hernani M 10 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.6
B. Cremaschi M 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 —

AC Milan

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
M. Maignan G 90 0 0 3 sv 0 59% 22 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
S. Pavlović D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 95% 58 3 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
M. Gabbia D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 100% 53 0 0 0/0 2/0 6.5
K. De Winter D 87 0 0 0 (0) 1 88% 67 0 0 0/0 4/0 6.3
P. Estupiñán D 71 0 0 0 (0) 0 89% 28 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
S. Ricci M 71 0 0 0 (0) 1 87% 31 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.2
L. Modrić M 90 0 0 1 (1) 1 87% 102 1 0 0/0 1/2 7.3
Y. Fofana M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 89% 38 1 1 0/2 1/0 5.9
A. Saelemaekers F 90 1 0 3 (1) 0 86% 37 1 2 2/4 1/2 8.2
Rafael Leão F 90 1 0 1 (1) 1 77% 35 0 0 0/1 1/3 7.2
C. Nkunku F 60 0 1 1 (1) 1 100% 12 0 1 0/1 0/2 6.7
Z. Athekame D 3 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
D. Bartesaghi D 19 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 7 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.6
R. Loftus-Cheek M 30 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 29 1 0 1/1 0/1 6.3
C. Pulišić M 19 0 0 1 (0) 1 100% 10 0 0 1/1 0/0 6.6

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.