Parma vs Frosinone – 7 Feb 2027

Serie A Gameweek 23 Sun, Feb 7 · 17:30 Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma

Parma 19th · 4 pts · 7 played DLWLL

VS— Compare

Frosinone 6th · 13 pts · 7 played WDWLW

Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel428 kmRest days7 · 7Matches / 14d2 · 2

Real contextStrength only

Parma—%

Draw—%

Frosinone—%

Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.

Weather (Parma)

Forecast from 23 Jan

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Headlines

Attack

Trend Frosinone 1.9 Goals scored per match Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours

Defence

Streaks

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

Team strength

Parma

Frosinone

— L90 StrengthIn forecast —

28 Current StrengthIn forecast 30

20 AttackIn forecast 41

33 DefenceIn forecast 25

23 Form indexContext 69

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Parma

Attack—

Defense risk—

Frosinone

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Parma

Frosinone

0.57 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.86

1.86 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.29

0.67 xGVia Att/Def 1.41

1.72 xG allowedVia Att/Def 2.20

-0.10 Goals minus xGContext +0.45

43% Scored inContext 71%

0% Clean sheetsContext 29%

10.57 ShotsContext 17.29

3.43 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 5.29

32% On target shareContext 31%

7.50 Shots in the boxContext 10.86

65% Box shareContext 65%

5% ConversionContext 11%

1.83 OffsidesContext 3.00

17.00 Shots allowedContext 19.43

5.29 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.71

4.29 BlocksContext 5.29

3.57 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.29

68% Save rateContext 75%

43% PossessionIn forecast 42%

394 PassesContext 305

324 Accurate passesContext 227

82% Pass accuracyContext 74%

6.62 Team ratingContext 6.86

9.86 FoulsContext 14.86

15.43 Fouls sufferedContext 11.86

1.57 Yellow cardsContext 1.71

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

This league season, per match · 7 and 7 games

0.70 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.40

1.70 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.50

0.70 xGVia Att/Def 1.41

1.77 xG allowedVia Att/Def 2.20

+0.00 Goals minus xGContext -0.01

50% Scored inContext 60%

10% Clean sheetsContext 30%

10.30 ShotsContext 17.50

3.20 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 5.50

31% On target shareContext 31%

7.50 Shots in the boxContext 10.30

63% Box shareContext 61%

7% ConversionContext 8%

2.11 OffsidesContext 3.00

16.20 Shots allowedContext 17.40

5.10 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.20

4.50 BlocksContext 4.60

3.60 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.00

71% Save rateContext 77%

42% PossessionIn forecast 43%

367 PassesContext 315

300 Accurate passesContext 241

82% Pass accuracyContext 76%

6.71 Team ratingContext 6.86

10.50 FoulsContext 12.70

14.10 Fouls sufferedContext 11.80

1.60 Yellow cardsContext 1.40

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Parma DLWLL

Rest7 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel0 km1,490 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

Form 23 · 4 pts vs 7.4 for an average club · -1.4 vs expected

L19 OctH · Torino0–31.3 xPts
L10 OctA · Inter0–30.3 xPts
W20 SepH · Genoa2–11.6 xPts
L14 SepA · Como1–20.4 xPts
D6 SepH · Monza1–11.8 xPts

Frosinone WDWLW

Rest7 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel428 km1,190 km in 14d

Schedule load6%Low

Form 69 · 10 pts vs 7.7 for an average club · +4.1 vs expected

W16 OctH · Sassuolo4–21.5 xPts
L10 OctA · Napoli0–30.7 xPts
W20 SepH · Como2–00.7 xPts
D12 SepA · Genoa1–11.1 xPts
W6 SepH · Venezia3–21.9 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Parma	Frosinone
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 6
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	7Serie A 2026-2027, 31 Jan	7Serie A 2026-2027, 31 Jan
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	428 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	1,490 km	1,190 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	1 / 2 / 4	1 / 2 / 4
Next matchdays after this one	7	7

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Parma Last XI · not confirmed

3-4-2-1 · vs Torino (H) 0–3, 19 Oct

40E. Corvi(G)

15E. Delprato 37Mariano Troilo 34Diego Carlos

14E. Valeri 16L. Keita 10Adrián Bernabé 27Sascha Britschgi

19E. Touré 80G. Fabbian

9D. Romero

Frosinone Last XI · not confirmed

4-2-3-1 · vs Sassuolo (H) 4–2, 16 Oct

22L. Palmisani(G)

79G. Bracaglia 30I. Monterisi 2G. Cittadini 20A. Oyono

14Giacomo Calò 73P. Masini

17G. Kvernadze 10R. Schmid 7F. Ghedjemis

9A. Raimondo

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Parma Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Frosinone Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Parma · Home 1.00points per game · 4 home games

W-D-L: 1-1-2
Scored: 0.75
Conceded: 1.50

Frosinone · Away 1.33points per game · 3 away games

W-D-L: 1-1-1
Scored: 1.33
Conceded: 1.33

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 3 this season

Opponent	Parma	Frosinone
Genoa	W 2–1 H	D 1–1 A
Como	L 1–2 A	W 2–0 H
Juventus	L 0–2 A	L 0–1 H
Points	3 of 9 · 1.00 per game	4 of 9 · 1.33 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goals & match trends

	Parma	Frosinone
Scored per game	0.57	1.86
Conceded per game	1.86	1.29
Match goals	2.43	3.14
Over 1.5	86%	86%
Over 2.5	57%	57%
Over 3.5	0%	29%
Both teams scored	43%	43%
Clean sheets	0%	29%
Failed to score	57%	29%
Games	7	7

	Parma	Frosinone
Scored per game	0.70	1.86
Conceded per game	1.70	1.29
Match goals	2.40	3.14
Over 1.5	70%	86%
Over 2.5	50%	57%
Over 3.5	10%	29%
Both teams scored	40%	43%
Clean sheets	10%	29%
Failed to score	50%	29%
Games	10	7

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Parma	Frosinone	League
Corners
Corners won	3.29	5.57
Corners conceded	5.14	6.86
Match total	8.43	12.43	9.38
Over 8.5	43% 3/7	86% 6/7
Over 9.5	29% 2/7	71% 5/7
Over 10.5	29% 2/7	57% 4/7
Cards
Cards	1.57	1.71
Opponent cards	1.71	2.43
Match total	3.28	4.14	3.43
Over 3.5	57% 4/7	71% 5/7
Over 4.5	43% 3/7	57% 4/7

	Parma	Frosinone	League
Corners
Corners won	2.90	6.20
Corners conceded	5.80	5.60
Match total	8.70	11.80	9.38
Over 8.5	50% 5/10	80% 8/10
Over 9.5	30% 3/10	70% 7/10
Over 10.5	30% 3/10	60% 6/10
Cards
Cards	1.70	1.40
Opponent cards	1.60	2.00
Match total	3.30	3.40	3.43
Over 3.5	60% 6/10	50% 5/10
Over 4.5	30% 3/10	40% 4/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.