Serie A Gameweek 15 Sat, Dec 13 2025 · 17:00 Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma
0–1 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 0.78 – 1.35
  • 82’ T. Noslin
  • 42’ M. Zaccagni
  • 78’ T. Bašić
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Noslin goal decides it for Lazio

Lazio entered as narrow favourites and won 1–0 through a Noslin goal. Lazio played with ten men from the 42nd minute after Zaccagni was sent off. Lazio finished with the higher xG (1.35 vs 0.78). On the chances created, Parma deserved more: 0.9 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Parma27%
Draw28%
Lazio ✓45%

Model vs reality

Parma goals
0
Model 1.04 · xG 0.78
Lazio goals
1
Model 1.44 · xG 1.35
Total goals
1
Model 2.48 · xG 2.13
Score 0–1
11%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 45%
Both scored
No
Model 50%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchT. NoslinLazio · 1 goal
8.2
  • RefereeMatteo Marchetti
  • VenueStadio Ennio Tardini
  • Table before kick-offParma 17th · Lazio 10th

Timeline

  1. M. ZaccagniRed card · Tripping
    42’
  2. Half time · 0–0
  3. ⇄ Mariano TroiloFor E. Delprato
    46’
  4. E. ValeriYellow card · Tripping
    51’
  5. M. CancellieriYellow card · Tripping
    63’
  6. ⇄ T. NoslinFor V. Castellanos
    69’
  7. ⇄ O. Dele-BashiruFor M. Cancellieri
    70’
  8. ⇄ Oliver ProvstgaardFor Patric
    70’
  9. ⇄ J. OndrejkaFor G. Oristanio
    70’
  10. ⇄ P. CutroneFor A. Benedyczak
    77’
  11. T. BašićRed card · Serious foul
    78’
  12. N. EstévezYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    78’
  13. T. Noslin 0–1
    82’
  14. ⇄ M. ĐurićFor L. Keita
    86’
  15. ⇄ M. VecinoFor D. Cataldi
    88’
  16. Full time · 0–1

Team stats

Parma17 shots · 12 in box, 5 outside
Lazio15 shots · 9 in box, 6 outside
ParmaLazio
46% Possession 54%
0.78 Expected goals (xG) 1.35
0.93 Expected points (xPts) 1.79
17 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 5
7 Shots off target 6
5 Blocked shots 4
12 Shots inside the box 9
5 Shots outside the box 6
348 Passes 431
87% Pass accuracy 85%
4 Corners 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
14 Fouls 8
2 Offsides 0
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 2
6.68 Team rating 6.89

Line-ups

Parma 4-4-2

406.3 E. Corvi(G)
147.0 E. Valeri 56.6 L. Valenti 156.7 E. Delprato ↓46’ 276.0 Sascha Britschgi
216.7 G. Oristanio ↓70’ 166.9 L. Keita ↓86’ 87.3 N. Estévez 106.7 Adrián Bernabé
96.9 Mateo Pellegrino 76.7 A. Benedyczak ↓77’
  • 40E. Corvi (G)6.3
  • 14E. Valeri7.0
  • 5L. Valenti6.6
  • 15E. Delprato↓46’6.7
  • 27Sascha Britschgi6.0
  • 21G. Oristanio↓70’6.7
  • 16L. Keita↓86’6.9
  • 8N. Estévez7.3
  • 10Adrián Bernabé6.7
  • 9Mateo Pellegrino6.9
  • 7A. Benedyczak↓77’6.7

Substitutes used

  • 37Mariano Troilo↑46’6.3
  • 17J. Ondrejka↑70’6.3
  • 32P. Cutrone↑77’6.3
  • 30M. Đurić↑86’

Unused: F. Rinaldi, Vicente Guaita, Nicolas Trabucchi, Hernani, O. Sørensen, C. Ordoñez, B. Cremaschi, M. Løvik, T. Begić, P. Almqvist

Lazio 4-3-3

947.7 I. Provedel(G)
36.7 L. Pellegrini 137.3 A. Romagnoli 46.6 Patric ↓70’ 776.7 A. Marušić
266.7 T. Bašić 327.5 D. Cataldi ↓88’ 86.9 M. Guendouzi
106.0 M. Zaccagni 116.6 V. Castellanos ↓69’ 226.2 M. Cancellieri ↓70’
  • 94I. Provedel (G)7.7
  • 3L. Pellegrini6.7
  • 13A. Romagnoli7.3
  • 4Patric↓70’6.6
  • 77A. Marušić6.7
  • 26T. Bašić6.7
  • 32D. Cataldi↓88’7.5
  • 8M. Guendouzi6.9
  • 10M. Zaccagni6.0
  • 11V. Castellanos↓69’6.6
  • 22M. Cancellieri↓70’6.2

Substitutes used

  • 25Oliver Provstgaard↑70’6.6
  • 7O. Dele-Bashiru↑70’6.3
  • 14T. Noslin ★↑69’8.2
  • 5M. Vecino↑88’

Unused: A. Furlanetto, C. Mandas, Nuno Tavares, M. Lazzari, R. Belahyane, Pedro, B. Dia

Player stats

Top rated
T. NoslinLazio8.2
2nd
I. ProvedelLazio7.7
3rd
D. CataldiLazio7.5

Parma

Lazio

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.