Eredivisie Knockout phase Sun, Mar 1 2026 · 11:15 MAC³PARK Stadion, Zwolle
First leg1–3 0–0 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 1.09 – 0.33
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

No way through for PEC Zwolle or Ajax

Ajax entered as favourites, but neither side found a way through. PEC Zwolle finished with the higher xG (1.09 vs 0.33). On the chances created, PEC Zwolle deserved more: 2.0 expected points against the 1 point they took.

PEC Zwolle27%
Draw ✓25%
Ajax48%

Model vs reality

PEC Zwolle goals
0
Model 1.22 · xG 1.09
Ajax goals
0
Model 1.72 · xG 0.33
Total goals
0
Model 2.94 · xG 1.42
Score 0–0
6%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 56%
Both scored
No
Model 58%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchM. PaesAjax
8.0
  • RefereeSander van der Eijk
  • VenueMAC³PARK Stadion
  • Table before kick-offPEC Zwolle 12th · Ajax 4th

Timeline

  1. R. ThomasYellow card · Holding
    28’
  2. Half time · 0–0
  3. ⇄ N. FichtingerFor R. Thomas
    57’
  4. ⇄ K. Fitz-JimFor D. Klaassen
    61’
  5. ⇄ S. BerghuisFor Rayane Bounida
    61’
  6. S. GravesYellow card
    66’
  7. ⇄ K. de RooijFor S. Shoretire
    77’
  8. ⇄ K. DolbergFor W. Weghorst
    77’
  9. ⇄ T. TomiyasuFor O. Wijndal
    77’
  10. S. BerghuisYellow card · Tripping
    78’
  11. ⇄ O. VelanasFor T. Oosting
    82’
  12. ⇄ T. VelthuisFor T. Gooijer
    82’
  13. S. FloranusYellow card · Holding
    86’
  14. Y. RegeerYellow card
    87’
  15. ⇄ Maher CarrizoFor O. Gloukh
    89’
  16. Full time · 0–0

Team stats

PEC Zwolle8 shots · 7 in box, 1 outside
Ajax6 shots · 4 in box, 2 outside
PEC ZwolleAjax
40% Possession 60%
1.09 Expected goals (xG) 0.33
1.99 Expected points (xPts) 0.67
8 Shots 6
2 Shots on target 2
3 Shots off target 2
3 Blocked shots 2
7 Shots inside the box 4
1 Shots outside the box 2
306 Passes 484
76% Pass accuracy 85%
12 Corners 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
12 Fouls 8
1 Offsides 2
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
6.96 Team rating 6.84

Line-ups

PEC Zwolle 4-3-3

166.6 T. de Graaff(G)
26.9 S. Floranus 46.6 A. MacNulty 286.5 S. Graves 66.9 T. Gooijer ↓82’
87.9 Z. Buurmeester 307.0 R. Thomas ↓57’ 257.3 T. Oosting ↓82’
76.5 S. Shoretire ↓77’ 106.7 Koen Kostons 97.9 Y. Namli
  • 16T. de Graaff (G)6.6
  • 2S. Floranus6.9
  • 4A. MacNulty6.6
  • 28S. Graves6.5
  • 6T. Gooijer↓82’6.9
  • 8Z. Buurmeester7.9
  • 30R. Thomas↓57’7.0
  • 25T. Oosting↓82’7.3
  • 7S. Shoretire↓77’6.5
  • 10Koen Kostons6.7
  • 9Y. Namli7.9

Substitutes used

  • 34N. Fichtinger↑57’6.7
  • 5T. Velthuis↑82’6.2
  • 18O. Velanas↑82’6.7
  • 22K. de Rooij↑77’6.5

Unused: Len Bakker, D. Verduin, D. Ruward, O. Aertssen, J. Pereira da Gama, G. Reiziger, T. Buitink

Ajax 4-3-3

268.0★ M. Paes(G)
56.6 O. Wijndal ↓77’ 156.9 Y. Baas 377.3 J. Šutalo 26.7 Lucas Rosa
106.3 O. Gloukh ↓89’ 66.3 Y. Regeer 187.2 D. Klaassen ↓61’
117.0 M. Godts 256.5 W. Weghorst ↓77’ 436.6 Rayane Bounida ↓61’
  • 26M. Paes (G) ★8.0
  • 5O. Wijndal↓77’6.6
  • 15Y. Baas6.9
  • 37J. Šutalo7.3
  • 2Lucas Rosa6.7
  • 10O. Gloukh↓89’6.3
  • 6Y. Regeer6.3
  • 18D. Klaassen↓61’7.2
  • 11M. Godts7.0
  • 25W. Weghorst↓77’6.5
  • 43Rayane Bounida↓61’6.6

Substitutes used

  • 32T. Tomiyasu↑77’6.6
  • 7Maher Carrizo↑89’
  • 28K. Fitz-Jim↑61’6.6
  • 23S. Berghuis↑61’6.5
  • 9K. Dolberg↑77’6.6

Unused: Jesse Joeri Heerkens, P. Reverson, A. Bouwman, A. Gaaei, Sean Steur, J. Mokio, D. Konadu

Player stats

Top rated
M. PaesAjax8.0
2nd
Z. BuurmeesterPEC Zwolle7.9
3rd
Y. NamliPEC Zwolle7.9

PEC Zwolle

Ajax

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.