Eredivisie Knockout phase Sun, Apr 12 2026 · 13:30 MAC³PARK Stadion, Zwolle
First leg1–2 2–2 Full time · HT 1–1 xG 2.66 – 1.43
  • T. Oosting 3’
  • O. Velanas 60’
  • 16’ D. Sanches Fernandes
  • 80’ S. Włodarczyk
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

PEC Zwolle and Excelsior share the points

PEC Zwolle entered as narrow favourites and led 1–0 after 3 minutes through a Oosting goal. But Fernandes and Włodarczyk scored to rescue a draw for Excelsior. PEC Zwolle finished with the higher xG (2.66 vs 1.43). On the chances created, PEC Zwolle deserved more: 2.1 expected points against the 1 point they took.

PEC Zwolle46%
Draw ✓25%
Excelsior28%

Model vs reality

PEC Zwolle goals
2
Model 1.67 · xG 2.66
Excelsior goals
2
Model 1.26 · xG 1.43
Total goals
4
Model 2.93 · xG 4.09
Score 2–2
6%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 56%
Both scored
Yes
Model 59%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchO. VelanasPEC Zwolle · 1 goal
8.3
  • RefereeRob Dieperink
  • VenueMAC³PARK Stadion
  • Table before kick-offPEC Zwolle 13th · Excelsior 16th

Timeline

  1. T. Oosting 1–0
    3’
  2. D. Sanches Fernandes 1–1Assist C. Widell
    16’
  3. Half time · 1–1
  4. I. YegoianYellow card · Holding
    53’
  5. O. Velanas 2–1Assist T. Oosting
    60’
  6. ⇄ K. de RooijFor O. Velanas
    62’
  7. ⇄ T. GooijerFor R. Thomas
    62’
  8. ⇄ E. HanssonFor L. Schouten
    62’
  9. ⇄ T. BuitinkFor Koen Kostons
    74’
  10. ⇄ S. WłodarczykFor R. Meissen
    79’
  11. ⇄ M. van DuinenFor I. Yegoian
    79’
  12. S. Włodarczyk 2–2Assist G. de Regt
    80’
  13. Full time · 2–2

Team stats

PEC Zwolle15 shots · 11 in box, 4 outside
Excelsior15 shots · 8 in box, 7 outside
PEC ZwolleExcelsior
49% Possession 51%
2.66 Expected goals (xG) 1.43
2.08 Expected points (xPts) 0.74
15 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 3
5 Shots off target 7
5 Blocked shots 5
11 Shots inside the box 8
4 Shots outside the box 7
391 Passes 412
78% Pass accuracy 76%
5 Corners 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Fouls 12
3 Offsides 1
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
6.81 Team rating 6.71

Line-ups

PEC Zwolle 4-2-3-1

166.2 T. de Graaff(G)
26.5 S. Floranus 46.3 A. MacNulty 286.2 S. Graves 36.3 O. Aertssen
86.9 Z. Buurmeester 307.5 R. Thomas ↓62’
188.3★ O. Velanas ↓62’ 258.3 T. Oosting A 97.6 Y. Namli
105.6 Koen Kostons ↓74’
  • 16T. de Graaff (G)6.2
  • 2S. Floranus6.5
  • 4A. MacNulty6.3
  • 28S. Graves6.2
  • 3O. Aertssen6.3
  • 8Z. Buurmeester6.9
  • 30R. Thomas↓62’7.5
  • 18O. Velanas ★↓62’8.3
  • 25T. OostingA8.3
  • 9Y. Namli7.6
  • 10Koen Kostons↓74’5.6

Substitutes used

  • 29T. Buitink↑74’6.3
  • 22K. de Rooij↑62’6.6
  • 6T. Gooijer↑62’6.3

Unused: Len Bakker, D. Ruward, T. Velthuis, D. Verduin, G. Reiziger, N. Fichtinger

Excelsior 5-4-1

17.3 S. van Gassel(G)
126.9 A. Zagré 146.3 L. Schouten ↓62’ 47.2 C. Widell A 36.0 R. Meissen ↓79’ 26.2 Ilias Bronkhorst
117.3 G. de Regt A 206.3 L. Hartjes 236.7 I. Yegoian ↓79’ 306.9 D. Sanches Fernandes
106.5 N. Naujoks
  • 1S. van Gassel (G)7.3
  • 12A. Zagré6.9
  • 14L. Schouten↓62’6.3
  • 4C. WidellA7.2
  • 3R. Meissen↓79’6.0
  • 2Ilias Bronkhorst6.2
  • 11G. de RegtA7.3
  • 20L. Hartjes6.3
  • 23I. Yegoian↓79’6.7
  • 30D. Sanches Fernandes6.9
  • 10N. Naujoks6.5

Substitutes used

  • 9S. Włodarczyk↑79’7.5
  • 29M. van Duinen↑79’
  • 7E. Hansson↑62’6.3

Unused: A. Carlén, Jerolldino Bergraaf, C. Raatsie, Simon Janssen, Giuliano Cairo

Player stats

Top rated
O. VelanasPEC Zwolle8.3
2nd
T. OostingPEC Zwolle8.3
3rd
Y. NamliPEC Zwolle7.6

PEC Zwolle

Excelsior

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.