RAAL La Louvière
Attack—
Defense risk—
RAAL La Louvière
13th · 3 pts · 4 played
LLWL
0–0Full time
Union St. Gilloise
2nd · 10 pts · 4 played
DWWW
Our take
Union St. Gilloise were slight favourites.
Union St. Gilloise were the stronger side on L90 Strength (55 vs 24). Union St. Gilloise usually keep the ball (58% on average), which points to more chances at both ends. RAAL La Louvière had 7.1 days of rest, Union St. Gilloise 7.9 and had to travel 42 km.
Away travel42 kmRest days7.1 · 7.9Matches / 14d1 · 1
RAAL La Louvière25%
Draw26%
Union St. Gilloise49%
RAAL La Louvière26%
Draw26%
Union St. Gilloise48%
RAAL La Louvière24%
Draw26%
Union St. Gilloise49%
RAAL La Louvière19%
Draw24%
Union St. Gilloise56%
RAAL La Louvière26%
Draw26%
Union St. Gilloise48%
Over 2.5 50%
Both score 53%
Likeliest score 1–1
Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (La Louvière)
No weather data yet
RefereeNathan Verboomen
- Cards per match 3.8
- Penalties per match 0.12
- Matches 26
Team strength
RAAL La LouvièreUnion St. Gilloise
24
L90 StrengthIn forecast
55
17
Current StrengthIn forecast
70
15
AttackIn forecast
62
15
DefenceIn forecast
74
—
Form indexContext
—
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisUnion St. Gilloise
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
RAAL La LouvièreUnion St. Gilloise
0.50
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
3.00
1.25
Goals concededVia Att/Def
0.75
0.75
xGVia Att/Def
3.00
1.25
xG allowedVia Att/Def
0.70
-0.25
Goals minus xGContext
+0.00
50%
Scored inContext
100%
25%
Clean sheetsContext
50%
10.25
ShotsContext
18.00
2.50
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
9.25
24%
On target shareContext
51%
6.50
Shots in the boxContext
14.00
61%
Box shareContext
70%
5%
ConversionContext
17%
2.00
OffsidesContext
3.50
11.00
Shots allowedContext
9.50
5.00
On target allowedVia Att/Def
3.67
2.75
BlocksContext
1.75
4.00
Goalkeeper savesContext
3.00
80%
Save rateContext
82%
35%
PossessionIn forecast
58%
273
PassesContext
453
192
Accurate passesContext
380
70%
Pass accuracyContext
84%
6.75
Team ratingContext
7.16
13.50
FoulsContext
12.50
12.25
Fouls sufferedContext
8.75
2.00
Yellow cardsContext
2.25
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.00
0.50
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
2.00
1.25
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.00
0.75
xGVia Att/Def
2.58
1.25
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.10
-0.25
Goals minus xGContext
-0.58
50%
Scored inContext
90%
25%
Clean sheetsContext
30%
10.25
ShotsContext
18.10
2.50
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
7.80
24%
On target shareContext
43%
6.50
Shots in the boxContext
13.67
61%
Box shareContext
74%
5%
ConversionContext
11%
2.00
OffsidesContext
2.80
11.00
Shots allowedContext
10.10
5.00
On target allowedVia Att/Def
4.00
2.75
BlocksContext
2.40
4.00
Goalkeeper savesContext
2.78
80%
Save rateContext
69%
35%
PossessionIn forecast
55%
273
PassesContext
468
192
Accurate passesContext
377
70%
Pass accuracyContext
81%
6.75
Team ratingContext
7.16
13.50
FoulsContext
13.50
12.25
Fouls sufferedContext
11.20
2.00
Yellow cardsContext
3.10
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.00
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
RAAL La Louvière
Rest7.1 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel0 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Union St. Gilloise
Rest7.9 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel42 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| RAAL La Louvière |
Union St. Gilloise |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 0 | Low · 0 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 7.1Belgian Pro League 2025-2026, 17 Aug | 7.9Belgian Pro League 2025-2026, 16 Aug |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 42 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 0 km | 0 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 0 / 1 / 3 | 0 / 1 / 3 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 5.9 | 7 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context. Some venues have no coordinates yet.
Squad & lineups
RAAL La Louvière
Confirmed XI
21M. Peano(G)
5T. Lutonda
25D. Lamego
13M. Maisonneuve
4Wagane Faye
11J. Liongola
98Owen Maes
15S. Lahssaini
10M. Pau
29O. Mendy
9M. Guindo
Union St. Gilloise
Confirmed XI
37K. Scherpen(G)
48F. Leysen
16C. Burgess
5K. Mac Allister
21A. Castro-Montes
8A. Zorgane
24C. Vanhoutte
25A. Khalaili
10A. Ait El Hadj
13K. Rodríguez
30R. Florucz
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences RAAL La Louvière
Scores 0.00 · concedes +0.01 goals Absences are shown before kick-off
Union St. Gilloise
Scores -0.02 · concedes +0.02 goals Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
- RAAL La Louvière+0.6 pp
- Draw+0.1 pp
- Union St. Gilloise-0.7 pp
Home / Away this season
RAAL La Louvière · Home
1.50points per game · 2 home games
- W-D-L
- 1-0-1
- Scored
- 0.50
- Conceded
- 1.00
Union St. Gilloise · Away
2.00points per game · 2 away games
- W-D-L
- 1-1-0
- Scored
- 2.00
- Conceded
- 1.50
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Common opponents 2 this season
| Opponent | RAAL La Louvière | Union St. Gilloise |
|---|---|---|
| Gent | L 0–1 A | W 3–2 A |
| Standard Liege | L 0–2 H | W 3–0 H |
| Points | 0 of 6 · 0.00 per game | 6 of 6 · 3.00 per game |
League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.
Head to head
No earlier meetings in our data.
Goals & match trends
| RAAL La Louvière | Union St. Gilloise | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 0.50 | 3.00 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.25 | 0.75 | |
| Match goals | 1.75 | 3.75 | 2.66 |
| Over 1.5 | 50% | 100% | |
| Over 2.5 | 25% | 75% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 50% | |
| Both teams scored | 25% | 50% | 53% |
| Clean sheets | 25% | 50% | |
| Failed to score | 50% | 0% | |
| Games | 4 | 4 |
| RAAL La Louvière | Union St. Gilloise | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 0.50 | 3.00 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.25 | 0.75 | |
| Match goals | 1.75 | 3.75 | 2.66 |
| Over 1.5 | 50% | 100% | |
| Over 2.5 | 25% | 75% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 50% | |
| Both teams scored | 25% | 50% | 53% |
| Clean sheets | 25% | 50% | |
| Failed to score | 50% | 0% | |
| Games | 4 | 4 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| RAAL La Louvière | Union St. Gilloise | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 3.75 | 7.50 | |
| Corners conceded | 3.25 | 3.75 | |
| Match total | 7.00 | 11.25 | 9.66 |
| Over 8.5 | 0% 0/4 | 75% 3/4 | |
| Over 9.5 | 0% 0/4 | 75% 3/4 | |
| Over 10.5 | 0% 0/4 | 75% 3/4 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 2.00 | 2.25 | |
| Opponent cards | 0.50 | 2.00 | |
| Match total | 2.50 | 4.25 | 3.77 |
| Over 3.5 | 0% 0/4 | 50% 2/4 | |
| Over 4.5 | 0% 0/4 | 50% 2/4 | |
| RAAL La Louvière | Union St. Gilloise | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 3.75 | 7.00 | |
| Corners conceded | 3.25 | 3.44 | |
| Match total | 7.00 | 10.44 | 9.66 |
| Over 8.5 | 0% 0/4 | 67% 6/9 | |
| Over 9.5 | 0% 0/4 | 67% 6/9 | |
| Over 10.5 | 0% 0/4 | 56% 5/9 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 2.00 | 3.30 | |
| Opponent cards | 0.50 | 3.00 | |
| Match total | 2.50 | 6.30 | 3.77 |
| Over 3.5 | 0% 0/4 | 70% 7/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 0% 0/4 | 70% 7/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Referee · Nathan Verboomen 26 matches before this one
Per match, all competitions
Yellow cards3.54league 3.54
Red cards0.27league 0.23
Cards 5+50%league 29%
Fouls23.1league 22.9
Penalties0.12league 0.34
Home wins46%league 46%
RAAL La Louvière1 with this referee
Record0-0-1
Cards · opp.1.0 · 0.0
Pens for · against0 · 0
- L2 Aug 25A · Gent0–11
Union St. Gilloise1 with this referee
Record1-0-0
Cards · opp.1.0 · 4.0
Pens for · against0 · 0
- W18 Feb 24A · Kortrijk3–11
From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.
Goal timing
RAAL La Louvière4 games · scored 2 · conceded 5
1
0-15
1
1
16-30
1
31-45
46-60
1
61-75
2
76-90
Union St. Gilloise4 games · scored 12 · conceded 3
2
0-15
2
16-30
1
31-45
3
46-60
4
61-75
1
2
76-90
RAAL La Louvière4 games · scored 2 · conceded 5
1
0-15
1
1
16-30
1
31-45
46-60
1
61-75
2
76-90
Union St. Gilloise10 games · scored 20 · conceded 10
3
0-15
4
2
16-30
1
2
31-45
4
2
46-60
5
1
61-75
3
3
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Beta
Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.
