RAAL La Louvière
Attack—
Defense risk—
RAAL La Louvière
10th · 11 pts · 9 played
DLWWD
0–0Full time
Zulte Waregem
7th · 13 pts · 9 played
LLWWW
Our take
RAAL La Louvière were slight favourites.
The two sides are close in strength. Zulte Waregem usually keep the ball (46% on average), which points to more chances at both ends. RAAL La Louvière had 6 days of rest, Zulte Waregem 7.1 and had to travel 70 km.
Away travel70 kmRest days6 · 7.1Matches / 14d1 · 2
RAAL La Louvière43%
Draw28%
Zulte Waregem29%
RAAL La Louvière44%
Draw27%
Zulte Waregem29%
RAAL La Louvière43%
Draw28%
Zulte Waregem29%
RAAL La Louvière36%
Draw28%
Zulte Waregem36%
RAAL La Louvière44%
Draw27%
Zulte Waregem29%
Over 2.5 46%
Both score 51%
Likeliest score 1–1
Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (La Louvière)
No weather data yet
RefereeKevin Van Damme
- Cards per match 4.0
- Penalties per match 0.44
- Matches 16
Team strength
RAAL La LouvièreZulte Waregem
28
L90 StrengthIn forecast
27
17
Current StrengthIn forecast
30
15
AttackIn forecast
27
15
DefenceIn forecast
31
—
Form indexContext
—
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisZulte Waregem
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
RAAL La LouvièreZulte Waregem
0.78
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.44
1.00
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.44
0.71
xGVia Att/Def
1.00
1.24
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.35
+0.07
Goals minus xGContext
+0.44
56%
Scored inContext
78%
44%
Clean sheetsContext
22%
9.11
ShotsContext
12.00
2.44
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
4.33
27%
On target shareContext
36%
6.00
Shots in the boxContext
7.88
65%
Box shareContext
62%
9%
ConversionContext
12%
2.29
OffsidesContext
1.83
11.78
Shots allowedContext
14.00
4.78
On target allowedVia Att/Def
4.00
3.11
BlocksContext
3.78
3.89
Goalkeeper savesContext
2.56
81%
Save rateContext
64%
34%
PossessionIn forecast
46%
255
PassesContext
379
176
Accurate passesContext
310
69%
Pass accuracyContext
82%
6.77
Team ratingContext
6.90
11.56
FoulsContext
11.44
12.67
Fouls sufferedContext
11.00
1.78
Yellow cardsContext
1.78
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.11
0.78
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.44
1.00
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.44
0.71
xGVia Att/Def
1.00
1.24
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.35
+0.07
Goals minus xGContext
+0.44
56%
Scored inContext
78%
44%
Clean sheetsContext
22%
9.11
ShotsContext
12.00
2.44
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
4.33
27%
On target shareContext
36%
6.00
Shots in the boxContext
7.88
65%
Box shareContext
62%
9%
ConversionContext
12%
2.29
OffsidesContext
1.83
11.78
Shots allowedContext
14.00
4.78
On target allowedVia Att/Def
4.00
3.11
BlocksContext
3.78
3.89
Goalkeeper savesContext
2.56
81%
Save rateContext
64%
34%
PossessionIn forecast
46%
255
PassesContext
379
176
Accurate passesContext
310
69%
Pass accuracyContext
82%
6.77
Team ratingContext
6.90
11.56
FoulsContext
11.44
12.67
Fouls sufferedContext
11.00
1.78
Yellow cardsContext
1.78
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.11
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
RAAL La Louvière
Rest6 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel0 km90 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Zulte Waregem
Rest7.1 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel70 km178 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| RAAL La Louvière |
Zulte Waregem |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 0 | Low · 0 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 6Belgian Pro League 2025-2026, 28 Sep | 7.1Belgian Pro League 2025-2026, 27 Sep |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 70 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 90 km | 178 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 1 / 1 / 3 | 0 / 2 / 3 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 13.9 | 15 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
RAAL La Louvière
Confirmed XI
21M. Peano(G)
25D. Lamego
99Y. Okou
4Wagane Faye
15S. Lahssaini
5T. Lutonda
23J. Ito
98Owen Maes
11J. Liongola
22J. Afriyie
14M. Belkheir
Zulte Waregem
Confirmed XI
13B. Gabriël(G)
55Y. Cappelle
5Jakob Kiilerich
3Anton Tanghe
12W. Paugain
8T. Claes
21Tochukwu Nnadi
22J. Opoku
24Jeppe Erenbjerg
11S. Gavriel
18A. Ementa
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences RAAL La Louvière
Absences are shown before kick-off
Zulte Waregem
Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
- RAAL La Louvière+0.0 pp
- Draw+0.0 pp
- Zulte Waregem+0.0 pp
Home / Away this season
RAAL La Louvière · Home
1.75points per game · 4 home games
- W-D-L
- 2-1-1
- Scored
- 0.50
- Conceded
- 0.50
Zulte Waregem · Away
1.50points per game · 4 away games
- W-D-L
- 2-0-2
- Scored
- 2.00
- Conceded
- 2.25
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Common opponents 5 this season
| Opponent | RAAL La Louvière | Zulte Waregem |
|---|---|---|
| OH Leuven | W 2–1 A | W 2–0 H |
| Club Brugge KV | W 1–0 H | L 0–1 H |
| KV Mechelen | L 2–3 A | D 1–1 H |
| St. Truiden | L 1–2 A | L 0–2 H |
| Charleroi | W 1–0 H | W 2–1 A |
| Points | 9 of 15 · 1.80 per game | 7 of 15 · 1.40 per game |
League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.
Head to head
No earlier meetings in our data.
Goals & match trends
| RAAL La Louvière | Zulte Waregem | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 0.78 | 1.44 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.00 | 1.44 | |
| Match goals | 1.78 | 2.89 | 2.52 |
| Over 1.5 | 44% | 89% | |
| Over 2.5 | 33% | 44% | 46% |
| Over 3.5 | 11% | 33% | |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 56% | 51% |
| Clean sheets | 44% | 22% | |
| Failed to score | 44% | 22% | |
| Games | 9 | 9 |
| RAAL La Louvière | Zulte Waregem | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 0.78 | 1.44 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.00 | 1.44 | |
| Match goals | 1.78 | 2.89 | 2.52 |
| Over 1.5 | 44% | 89% | |
| Over 2.5 | 33% | 44% | 46% |
| Over 3.5 | 11% | 33% | |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 56% | 51% |
| Clean sheets | 44% | 22% | |
| Failed to score | 44% | 22% | |
| Games | 9 | 9 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| RAAL La Louvière | Zulte Waregem | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 3.67 | 5.00 | |
| Corners conceded | 3.44 | 6.22 | |
| Match total | 7.11 | 11.22 | 9.56 |
| Over 8.5 | 22% 2/9 | 67% 6/9 | |
| Over 9.5 | 22% 2/9 | 56% 5/9 | |
| Over 10.5 | 11% 1/9 | 56% 5/9 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 1.78 | 1.89 | |
| Opponent cards | 1.33 | 2.11 | |
| Match total | 3.11 | 4.00 | 4.16 |
| Over 3.5 | 33% 3/9 | 56% 5/9 | |
| Over 4.5 | 22% 2/9 | 44% 4/9 | |
| RAAL La Louvière | Zulte Waregem | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 3.67 | 5.00 | |
| Corners conceded | 3.44 | 6.22 | |
| Match total | 7.11 | 11.22 | 9.56 |
| Over 8.5 | 22% 2/9 | 67% 6/9 | |
| Over 9.5 | 22% 2/9 | 56% 5/9 | |
| Over 10.5 | 11% 1/9 | 56% 5/9 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 1.78 | 1.89 | |
| Opponent cards | 1.33 | 2.11 | |
| Match total | 3.11 | 4.00 | 4.16 |
| Over 3.5 | 33% 3/9 | 56% 5/9 | |
| Over 4.5 | 22% 2/9 | 44% 4/9 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Referee · Kevin Van Damme 16 matches before this one
Per match, all competitions
Yellow cards3.75league 3.93
Red cards0.25league 0.22
Cards 5+44%league 43%
Fouls23.3league 22.7
Penalties0.44league 0.32
Home wins25%league 41%
RAAL La LouvièreNo previous matches with this referee.
Zulte Waregem2 with this referee
Record0-1-1
Cards · opp.3.0 · 2.0
Pens for · against1 · 0
Reds1
- L23 Aug 25H · St. Truiden0–23
- D26 Jul 25H · KV Mechelen1–13
From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.
Goal timing
RAAL La Louvière9 games · scored 7 · conceded 9
2
0-15
4
2
16-30
1
31-45
46-60
2
61-75
1
4
76-90
Zulte Waregem9 games · scored 13 · conceded 13
2
4
0-15
2
2
16-30
2
31-45
1
2
46-60
2
2
61-75
4
3
76-90
RAAL La Louvière9 games · scored 7 · conceded 9
2
0-15
4
2
16-30
1
31-45
46-60
2
61-75
1
4
76-90
Zulte Waregem9 games · scored 13 · conceded 13
2
4
0-15
2
2
16-30
2
31-45
1
2
46-60
2
2
61-75
4
3
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Beta
Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.
