Belgian Pro League Knockout phase Sat, Oct 4 2025 · 15:00 AFAS Stadion, Malines
1–3 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 0.97 – 2.88
  • S. Taniguchi 40’ (OG)
  • 74’ (P) A. Muja
  • 87’ Keisuke Goto
  • 90+5’ A. Ferrari
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

St. Truiden come from behind to beat KV Mechelen

KV Mechelen entered as favourites and led 1–0 at half-time through an own goal. But Muja, Goto and Ferrari scored to turn it around for St. Truiden, who won 3–1. St. Truiden finished with the higher xG (2.88 vs 0.97).

KV Mechelen50%
Draw26%
St. Truiden ✓24%

Model vs reality

KV Mechelen goals
1
Model 1.64 · xG 0.97
St. Truiden goals
3
Model 1.07 · xG 2.88
Total goals
4
Model 2.71 · xG 3.85
Score 1–3
2%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 51%
Both scored
Yes
Model 54%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchNacho MirásKV Mechelen
8.7
  • RefereeJasper Vergoote
  • VenueAFAS Stadion
  • Table before kick-offKV Mechelen 4th · St. Truiden 6th

Timeline

  1. ⇄ A. MujaFor R. Van Helden
    18’
  2. S. Taniguchi (own goal) 1–0
    40’
  3. ✕ A. FerrariMissed penalty
    45+1’
  4. Half time · 1–0
  5. R. HalhalYellow card
    64’
  6. Mathis ServaisYellow card
    69’
  7. ⇄ B. RamanFor B. Bafdili
    70’
  8. ⇄ B. AntonioFor T. Koudou
    70’
  9. ⇄ Kaito MatsuzawaFor I. Sebaoui
    70’
  10. ⇄ S. JukleroedFor T. Hata
    70’
  11. A. Muja (pen) 1–1
    74’
  12. A. FerrariYellow card
    74’
  13. ⇄ Moncef ZekriFor José Marsà
    81’
  14. ⇄ A. MrabtiFor M. van Brederode
    81’
  15. Keisuke Goto 1–2Assist R. Yamamoto
    87’
  16. F. HammarYellow card
    90+3’
  17. A. Ferrari 1–3
    90+5’
  18. Full time · 1–3

Team stats

KV Mechelen10 shots · 8 in box, 2 outside
St. Truiden16 shots · 12 in box, 4 outside
KV MechelenSt. Truiden
49% Possession 51%
0.97 Expected goals (xG) 2.88
0.43 Expected points (xPts) 2.43
10 Shots 16
3 Shots on target 7
4 Shots off target 4
3 Blocked shots 5
8 Shots inside the box 12
2 Shots outside the box 4
354 Passes 365
81% Pass accuracy 81%
5 Corners 8
6 Goalkeeper saves 3
16 Fouls 13
0 Offsides 2
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
6.84 Team rating 6.90

Line-ups

KV Mechelen 3-4-1-2

138.7★ Nacho Mirás(G)
45.9 Gora Diouf 86.3 M. Konaté 26.5 R. Halhal
36.9 José Marsà ↓81’ 176.9 Mathis Servais 66.6 F. Hammar 77.3 T. Koudou ↓70’
116.3 B. Bafdili ↓70’
97.2 M. van Brederode ↓81’ 206.9 L. Lauberbach
  • 13Nacho Mirás (G) ★8.7
  • 4Gora Diouf5.9
  • 8M. Konaté6.3
  • 2R. Halhal6.5
  • 3José Marsà↓81’6.9
  • 17Mathis Servais6.9
  • 6F. Hammar6.6
  • 7T. Koudou↓70’7.3
  • 11B. Bafdili↓70’6.3
  • 9M. van Brederode↓81’7.2
  • 20L. Lauberbach6.9

Substitutes used

  • 23Moncef Zekri↑81’6.3
  • 38B. Antonio↑70’6.9
  • 14B. Raman↑70’6.2
  • 19A. Mrabti↑81’6.5

Unused: Axel Willockx, Tijn Van Ingelgom, M. Decoene, Ian Struyf, L. Golič

St. Truiden 4-2-3-1

167.0 L. Kokubo(G)
36.2 T. Hata ↓70’ 267.0 V. Musliu 56.3 S. Taniguchi 206.6 R. Van Helden ↓18’
86.9 A. Sissako 67.9 R. Yamamoto A
106.7 I. Sebaoui ↓70’ 427.3 Keisuke Goto 607.3 R. Vanwesemael
95.9 A. Ferrari
  • 16L. Kokubo (G)7.0
  • 3T. Hata↓70’6.2
  • 26V. Musliu7.0
  • 5S. Taniguchi6.3
  • 20R. Van Helden↓18’6.6
  • 8A. Sissako6.9
  • 6R. YamamotoA7.9
  • 10I. Sebaoui↓70’6.7
  • 42Keisuke Goto7.3
  • 60R. Vanwesemael7.3
  • 9A. Ferrari5.9

Substitutes used

  • 7A. Muja↑18’7.6
  • 38Kaito Matsuzawa↑70’6.2

Unused: M. Lendfers, Hugo Lambotte, S. Juklerød, A. Diriken, W. Janssens, I. Benachour, I. Delpupo

Player stats

Top rated
Nacho MirásKV Mechelen8.7
2nd
R. YamamotoSt. Truiden7.9
3rd
A. MujaSt. Truiden7.6

KV Mechelen

St. Truiden

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.