La Liga Gameweek 29 Sun, Mar 21 · 16:00 Campos de Sport de El Sardinero, Santander
Racing Santander 16th · 8 pts · 9 played
VS— Compare
Real Betis 4th · 19 pts · 9 played
Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel701 kmRest days7 · 7Matches / 14d2 · 2
Real contextStrength only
Racing Santander—%
Draw—%
Real Betis—%
Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.
Weather (Santander)

Forecast from 6 Mar

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Racing Santander and Real Betis. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.

Headlines

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Streaks insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Team strength

Racing SantanderReal Betis
— L90 StrengthIn forecast —
41 Current StrengthIn forecast 72
42 AttackIn forecast 79
22 DefenceIn forecast 59
34 Form indexContext 80
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Racing Santander

Attack—
Defense risk—

Real Betis

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Racing SantanderReal Betis
1.44 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.78
2.78 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.56
1.31 xGVia Att/Def 1.65
2.28 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.96
+0.13 Goals minus xGContext +0.13
67% Scored inContext 100%
0% Clean sheetsContext 44%
11.22 ShotsContext 16.44
4.44 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 6.33
40% On target shareContext 39%
6.38 Shots in the boxContext 9.67
54% Box shareContext 56%
13% ConversionContext 11%
1.78 OffsidesContext 1.33
16.33 Shots allowedContext 15.33
6.67 On target allowedVia Att/Def 6.22
3.56 BlocksContext 3.78
5.00 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.33
61% Save rateContext 70%
50% PossessionIn forecast 51%
437 PassesContext 495
362 Accurate passesContext 429
83% Pass accuracyContext 87%
6.62 Team ratingContext 7.03
13.78 FoulsContext 9.89
14.78 Fouls sufferedContext 11.67
2.67 Yellow cardsContext 1.56
0.11 Red cardsContext 0.11
This league season, per match · 9 and 9 games
1.70 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.10
2.60 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.80
1.47 xGVia Att/Def 1.71
2.17 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.79
+0.23 Goals minus xGContext +0.39
70% Scored inContext 100%
0% Clean sheetsContext 30%
12.20 ShotsContext 16.70
4.80 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 6.20
39% On target shareContext 37%
7.56 Shots in the boxContext 10.00
57% Box shareContext 58%
14% ConversionContext 13%
1.80 OffsidesContext 1.40
15.90 Shots allowedContext 14.60
6.30 On target allowedVia Att/Def 6.00
3.40 BlocksContext 3.50
4.63 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.33
62% Save rateContext 67%
50% PossessionIn forecast 52%
441 PassesContext 504
367 Accurate passesContext 438
83% Pass accuracyContext 87%
6.70 Team ratingContext 6.98
13.40 FoulsContext 10.70
14.10 Fouls sufferedContext 11.90
2.40 Yellow cardsContext 1.80
0.10 Red cardsContext 0.10
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Racing Santander
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel0 km1,075 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 34 · 4 pts vs 5.8 for an average club · -1.4 vs expected
  • L18 OctA · Osasuna0–21.1 xPts
  • D11 OctH · Valencia2–21.6 xPts
  • L19 SepA · Celta Vigo0–51.2 xPts
  • L16 SepA · Barcelona2–70.2 xPts
  • W12 SepH · Alaves2–11.3 xPts
Real Betis
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel701 km1,656 km in 14d
Schedule load11%Low
Form 80 · 10 pts vs 6.1 for an average club · +2.3 vs expected
  • L17 OctH · Barcelona2–50.8 xPts
  • W14 OctH · FC Porto3–21.4 xPts
  • W11 OctH · Osasuna5–22.0 xPts
  • D20 SepA · Deportivo La Coruna1–11.6 xPts
  • W17 SepH · Getafe1–02.0 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
Racing Santander Real Betis
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 0Low · 11
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match7La Liga 2026-2027, 14 Mar7La Liga 2026-2027, 14 Mar
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km701 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways1,075 km1,656 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days1 / 2 / 41 / 2 / 4
Next matchdays after this one1414

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Racing Santander Last XI · not confirmed
4-2-3-1 · vs Osasuna (A) 0–2, 18 Oct
13Julen Agirrezabala(G)
17Jorge Salinas 24J. Belocian 5Pablo Ramón 2Álvaro Mantilla
18M. Prati 23Iván Martín
10Iñigo Vicente 8André Almeida 20Sergio Canales
21M. Zabiri
Real Betis Last XI · not confirmed
4-2-3-1 · vs Barcelona (H) 2–5, 17 Oct
1Álvaro Vallés(G)
11Fran García 16Valentín Gómez 3Diego Llorente 2Héctor Bellerín
25Dani Ceballos 6F. Bernal
10A. Ezzalzouli 8Pablo Fornals 20G. Lo Celso
9C. Hernández

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
Racing Santander Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Real Betis Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Racing Santander · Home 2.00points per game · 4 home games
W-D-L
2-2-0
Scored
2.25
Conceded
1.75
Real Betis · Away 1.75points per game · 4 away games
W-D-L
2-1-1
Scored
1.50
Conceded
1.75

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 5 this season

OpponentRacing SantanderReal Betis
Osasuna L 0–2 A W 5–2 H
Valencia D 2–2 H W 1–0 A
Barcelona L 2–7 A L 2–5 H
Getafe L 0–1 A W 1–0 H
Villarreal D 2–2 H W 2–1 A
Points2 of 15 · 0.40 per game12 of 15 · 2.40 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goals & match trends

Racing SantanderReal BetisForecast
Scored per game 1.441.78
Conceded per game 2.781.56
Match goals 4.223.33
Over 1.5 89%56%
Over 2.5 78%44%
Over 3.5 67%33%
Both teams scored 67%56%
Clean sheets 0%44%
Failed to score 33%0%
Games99
Racing SantanderReal BetisForecast
Scored per game 1.442.10
Conceded per game 2.781.80
Match goals 4.223.90
Over 1.5 89%70%
Over 2.5 78%60%
Over 3.5 67%50%
Both teams scored 67%70%
Clean sheets 0%30%
Failed to score 33%0%
Games910

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

Racing SantanderReal BetisLeague
Corners
Corners won5.254.78
Corners conceded7.006.44
Match total12.2511.229.91
Over 8.588% 7/878% 7/9
Over 9.588% 7/867% 6/9
Over 10.575% 6/856% 5/9
Cards
Cards2.781.67
Opponent cards2.672.67
Match total5.454.344.73
Over 3.589% 8/956% 5/9
Over 4.578% 7/956% 5/9
Racing SantanderReal BetisLeague
Corners
Corners won5.004.90
Corners conceded6.565.90
Match total11.5610.809.91
Over 8.578% 7/970% 7/10
Over 9.578% 7/970% 7/10
Over 10.567% 6/950% 5/10
Cards
Cards2.501.90
Opponent cards2.402.60
Match total4.904.504.73
Over 3.580% 8/1060% 6/10
Over 4.570% 7/1060% 6/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Goal timing

Racing Santander9 games · scored 13 · conceded 25
2 3 0-15
4 3 16-30
4 7 31-45
2 1 46-60
1 3 61-75
8 76-90
Real Betis9 games · scored 16 · conceded 14
1 1 0-15
1 2 16-30
7 2 31-45
2 4 46-60
2 2 61-75
3 3 76-90
Racing Santander10 games · scored 17 · conceded 26
3 3 0-15
5 3 16-30
5 7 31-45
2 2 46-60
2 3 61-75
8 76-90
Real Betis10 games · scored 21 · conceded 18
1 2 0-15
1 2 16-30
8 3 31-45
5 5 46-60
2 3 61-75
4 3 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Soon

Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.

Next fixtures La Liga

View all fixtures →
Atletico Madrid Getafe Mar 2116:00 Valencia Deportivo La Coruna Mar 2116:00 Villarreal Malaga Mar 2116:00 Sevilla Elche Mar 2116:00 Celta Vigo Real Madrid Mar 2116:00 Levante Osasuna Mar 2116:00 Espanyol Athletic Club Mar 2116:00 Real Sociedad Alaves Mar 2116:00 Rayo Vallecano Barcelona Mar 2116:00 Racing Santander Real Betis Mar 2116:00