Bundesliga Gameweek 23 Sat, Feb 21 2026 · 17:30 Red Bull Arena, Leipzig
RB Leipzig
2–2 Full time · HT 2–0 xG 1.78 – 1.32
Borussia Dortmund
  • C. Baumgartner 20’, 39’
  • 50’ (OG) Rômulo
  • 90+5’ Fábio Silva
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Borussia Dortmund fight back from two goals down

Borussia Dortmund entered as narrow favourites, yet RB Leipzig led 2–0 at half-time through two Baumgartner goals. But an own goal and Silva scored to rescue a draw for Borussia Dortmund. RB Leipzig finished with the higher xG (1.78 vs 1.32).

RB Leipzig34%
Draw ✓24%
Borussia Dortmund41%

Model vs reality

RB Leipzig goals
2
Model 1.52 · xG 1.78
Borussia Dortmund goals
2
Model 1.69 · xG 1.32
Total goals
4
Model 3.20 · xG 3.10
Score 2–2
7%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 62%
Both scored
Yes
Model 64%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchY. DiomandeRB Leipzig · 1 assist
9.2
  • RefereeBenjamin Brand
  • VenueRed Bull Arena
  • Table before kick-offRB Leipzig 5th · Borussia Dortmund 2nd

Timeline

  1. C. Baumgartner 1–0Assist Y. Diomande
    20’
  2. RômuloYellow card · Foul
    30’
  3. C. Baumgartner 2–0Assist D. Raum
    39’
  4. C. LukebaYellow card · Foul
    41’
  5. A. BensebainiYellow card · Tripping
    45+2’
  6. Half time · 2–0
  7. Rômulo (own goal) 2–1
    50’
  8. Luca ReggianiYellow card · Holding
    54’
  9. ⇄ J. BrandtFor M. Beier
    64’
  10. ⇄ C. ChukwuemekaFor F. Nmecha
    64’
  11. ⇄ Yan CoutoFor Luca Reggiani
    65’
  12. ⇄ A. NusaFor X. Schlager
    65’
  13. J. RyersonYellow card
    69’
  14. ⇄ Fábio SilvaFor S. Guirassy
    72’
  15. ⇄ K. AdeyemiFor M. Sabitzer
    76’
  16. Fábio SilvaYellow card · Holding
    78’
  17. ⇄ E. BanzuziFor B. Gruda
    81’
  18. ⇄ C. HarderFor Rômulo
    81’
  19. ⇄ B. HenrichsFor R. Baku
    82’
  20. D. RaumYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    90+2’
  21. ⇄ M. FinkgräfeFor Y. Diomande
    90+4’
  22. Fábio Silva 2–2Assist K. Adeyemi
    90+5’
  23. Full time · 2–2

Team stats

RB Leipzig13 shots · 12 in box, 1 outside
Borussia Dortmund10 shots · 9 in box, 1 outside
RB LeipzigBorussia Dortmund
56% Possession 44%
1.78 Expected goals (xG) 1.32
1.68 Expected points (xPts) 1.09
13 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 4
6 Shots off target 2
4 Blocked shots 4
12 Shots inside the box 9
1 Shots outside the box 1
445 Passes 353
84% Pass accuracy 76%
6 Corners 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
11 Fouls 17
0 Offsides 3
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
7.40 Team rating 6.76

Line-ups

RB Leipzig 4-3-3

268.2 M. Vandevoordt(G)
228.3 D. Raum A 236.9 C. Lukeba 47.3 V. Orbán 177.0 R. Baku ↓82’
246.2 X. Schlager ↓65’ 136.9 N. Seiwald 147.2 C. Baumgartner
499.2★ Y. Diomande A↓90’ 406.9 Rômulo ↓81’ 107.5 B. Gruda ↓81’
  • 26M. Vandevoordt (G)8.2
  • 22D. RaumA8.3
  • 23C. Lukeba6.9
  • 4V. Orbán7.3
  • 17R. Baku↓82’7.0
  • 24X. Schlager↓65’6.2
  • 13N. Seiwald6.9
  • 14C. Baumgartner7.2
  • 49Y. Diomande ★A↓90’9.2
  • 40Rômulo↓81’6.9
  • 10B. Gruda↓81’7.5

Substitutes used

  • 39B. Henrichs↑82’6.3
  • 35M. Finkgräfe↑90’
  • 6E. Banzuzi↑81’6.3
  • 7A. Nusa↑65’6.5
  • 11C. Harder↑81’6.3

Unused: L. Zingerle, E. Bitshiabu, Tidiam Gomis, S. Bakayoko

Borussia Dortmund 3-5-2

16.6 G. Kobel(G)
56.5 A. Bensebaini 37.2 W. Anton 496.3 Luca Reggiani ↓65’
247.2 D. Svensson 86.5 F. Nmecha ↓64’ 76.9 J. Bellingham 206.9 M. Sabitzer ↓76’ 267.5 J. Ryerson
146.3 M. Beier ↓64’ 96.5 S. Guirassy ↓72’
  • 1G. Kobel (G)6.6
  • 5A. Bensebaini6.5
  • 3W. Anton7.2
  • 49Luca Reggiani↓65’6.3
  • 24D. Svensson7.2
  • 8F. Nmecha↓64’6.5
  • 7J. Bellingham6.9
  • 20M. Sabitzer↓76’6.9
  • 26J. Ryerson7.5
  • 14M. Beier↓64’6.3
  • 9S. Guirassy↓72’6.5

Substitutes used

  • 2Yan Couto↑65’6.3
  • 17C. Chukwuemeka↑64’6.9
  • 10J. Brandt↑64’6.3
  • 27K. AdeyemiA↑76’6.2
  • 21Fábio Silva↑72’6.5

Unused: A. Meyer, E. Benkara, S. Özcan, Samuele Inacio

Player stats

Top rated
Y. DiomandeRB Leipzig9.2
2nd
D. RaumRB Leipzig8.3
3rd
M. VandevoordtRB Leipzig8.2

RB Leipzig

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
M. Vandevoordt G 90 0 0 3 sv 0 75% 44 0 0 0/0 0/0 8.2
D. Raum D 90 0 1 0 (0) 4 88% 57 0 1 0/0 2/1 8.3
C. Lukeba D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 95% 43 1 0 0/1 0/0 6.9
V. Orbán D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 87% 46 1 3 0/0 0/0 7.3
R. Baku M 82 0 0 1 (0) 0 88% 52 1 4 1/1 0/2 7.0
X. Schlager M 65 0 0 0 (0) 1 80% 20 1 1 0/0 1/0 6.2
N. Seiwald M 90 0 0 2 (0) 0 95% 39 2 2 0/0 0/0 6.9
C. Baumgartner M 90 2 0 4 (2) 1 70% 30 3 0 0/0 4/1 7.2
Y. Diomande F 90 0 1 1 (0) 4 94% 31 1 1 2/3 0/2 9.2
Rômulo F 81 0 0 1 (1) 1 80% 25 0 1 1/1 2/1 6.9
B. Gruda M 81 0 0 0 (0) 1 83% 29 2 0 1/2 2/4 7.5
B. Henrichs D 8 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
M. Finkgräfe D 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
E. Banzuzi M 9 0 0 0 (0) 0 67% 6 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
A. Nusa M 25 0 0 0 (0) 1 75% 12 0 0 0/2 0/3 6.5
C. Harder F 9 0 0 0 (0) 0 0% 3 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.3

Borussia Dortmund

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
G. Kobel G 90 0 0 1 sv 0 70% 33 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.6
A. Bensebaini D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 72% 46 2 0 0/0 4/3 6.5
W. Anton D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 83% 58 6 0 0/0 2/0 7.2
Luca Reggiani D 65 0 0 0 (0) 0 82% 22 2 0 0/0 2/0 6.3
D. Svensson D 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 68% 22 1 0 0/0 0/1 7.2
F. Nmecha M 64 0 0 1 (1) 0 85% 20 1 0 0/1 2/1 6.5
J. Bellingham M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 82% 33 0 0 1/1 0/1 6.9
M. Sabitzer M 76 0 0 2 (1) 0 80% 15 0 1 0/0 0/1 6.9
J. Ryerson D 90 0 0 0 (0) 3 79% 29 0 1 1/2 4/1 7.5
M. Beier F 64 0 0 1 (1) 1 56% 9 0 0 1/2 0/0 6.3
S. Guirassy F 72 0 0 0 (0) 0 78% 18 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
Yan Couto D 25 0 0 0 (0) 1 89% 9 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
C. Chukwuemeka M 26 0 0 0 (0) 0 89% 9 2 0 1/2 1/0 6.9
J. Brandt M 26 0 0 0 (0) 0 58% 12 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.3
K. Adeyemi F 14 0 1 0 (0) 0 25% 4 0 0 0/1 0/0 6.2
Fábio Silva F 18 1 0 0 (0) 0 73% 11 0 0 0/1 1/0 6.5

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.