RB Leipzig vs Borussia Mönchengladbach – 29 Aug 2026

Bundesliga Gameweek 1 Sat, Aug 29 · 14:30 Leipzig Stadium, Leipzig

RB Leipzig

3–0Full time

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

RB Leipzig were slight favourites.

RB Leipzig were the stronger side on L90 Strength (69 vs 46). Recent goals, xG and shots on target narrow the gap for Borussia Mönchengladbach. RB Leipzig had 105 days of rest, Borussia Mönchengladbach 105 and had to travel 413 km. Conditions were neutral.

Away travel413 kmRest days105 · 105Matches / 14d0 · 0

RB Leipzig60%

Draw21%

Borussia Mönchengladbach19%

Expected goals 1.98 – 1.03

RB Leipzig59%

Draw22%

Borussia Mönchengladbach19%

Expected goals 1.88 – 0.95

RB Leipzig60%

Draw21%

Borussia Mönchengladbach19%

Expected goals 1.99 – 1.02

RB Leipzig52%

Draw23%

Borussia Mönchengladbach25%

Expected goals 1.77 – 1.16

RB Leipzig59%

Draw22%

Borussia Mönchengladbach20%

Expected goals 1.94 – 1.03

Over 2.5 58% Both score 55% Likeliest score 1–1

Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (Leipzig)

26°CPartly cloudy

Precipitation 0.0 mm
Wind 14 km/h
Humidity 36%

Referee · GermanySven Jablonski

Cards per match 3.9
Penalties per match 0.18
Matches 110

Team strength

RB Leipzig

Borussia Mönchengladbach

69 L90 StrengthIn forecast 46

67 Current StrengthIn forecast 36

76 AttackIn forecast 34

53 DefenceIn forecast 21

— Form indexContext —

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

RB Leipzig

Attack—

Defense risk—

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

RB Leipzig

Borussia Mönchengladbach

— Goals scoredVia Att/Def —

— Goals concededVia Att/Def —

— xGVia Att/Def —

— xG allowedVia Att/Def —

— Goals minus xGContext —

— Scored inContext —

— Clean sheetsContext —

— ShotsContext —

— Shots on targetVia Att/Def —

— On target shareContext —

— Shots in the boxContext —

— Box shareContext —

— ConversionContext —

— OffsidesContext —

— Shots allowedContext —

— On target allowedVia Att/Def —

— BlocksContext —

— Goalkeeper savesContext —

— Save rateContext —

— PossessionIn forecast —

— PassesContext —

— Accurate passesContext —

— Pass accuracyContext —

— Team ratingContext —

— FoulsContext —

— Fouls sufferedContext —

— Yellow cardsContext —

— Red cardsContext —

This league season, per match

2.00 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.50

1.40 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.40

1.86 xGVia Att/Def 0.97

1.54 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.50

+0.14 Goals minus xGContext +0.53

90% Scored inContext 80%

20% Clean sheetsContext 40%

14.70 ShotsContext 10.40

6.60 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.70

45% On target shareContext 36%

10.60 Shots in the boxContext 7.00

71% Box shareContext 69%

14% ConversionContext 14%

2.00 OffsidesContext 2.22

11.80 Shots allowedContext 13.20

3.90 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.60

3.11 BlocksContext 3.00

2.56 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.30

61% Save rateContext 77%

55% PossessionIn forecast 47%

475 PassesContext 428

402 Accurate passesContext 347

85% Pass accuracyContext 81%

7.00 Team ratingContext 6.87

9.00 FoulsContext 9.80

9.20 Fouls sufferedContext 10.20

1.60 Yellow cardsContext 2.50

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.20

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

RB Leipzig

Rest105 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d0all competitions

Travel0 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Rest105 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d0all competitions

Travel413 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load6%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	RB Leipzig	Borussia Mönchengladbach
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 6
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	105Bundesliga 2025-2026, 16 May	105Bundesliga 2025-2026, 16 May
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	413 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	0 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	0 / 0 / 0	0 / 0 / 0
Next matchdays after this one	7	7

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

RB Leipzig Confirmed XI

4-3-3

26M. Vandevoordt(G)

22D. Raum 23C. Lukeba 4V. Orbán 17R. Baku

6E. Banzuzi 13N. Seiwald 20R. Reitz

7A. Nusa 27Tidiam Gomis 10B. Gruda

+7 more reported missing outside this XI

Borussia Mönchengladbach Confirmed XI

4-2-3-1

1M. Nicolas(G)

26L. Ullrich 4K. Diks 6K. Itakura 14D. Hashioka

7K. Stöger 16P. Sander

25R. Hack 36W. Mohya 38A. Bolin

11T. Kleindienst

+5 more reported missing outside this XI

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

RB Leipzig Absences are shown before kick-off

Borussia Mönchengladbach Absences are shown before kick-off

Total impact vs full squads

RB Leipzig-0.4 pp
Draw+0.1 pp
Borussia Mönchengladbach+0.3 pp

Home / Away this season

RB Leipzig · Home No home games yet this season.

Borussia Mönchengladbach · Away No away games yet this season.

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head last 10 of 10 meetings

5 RB Leipzig wins2 draws3 Borussia Mönchengladbach wins

Goals per game1.20 – 0.80 Over 2.540% Both scored20% Clean sheets60% · 40%

11 Apr 2026RB Leipzig1–0Borussia Mönchengladbach
28 Nov 2025Borussia Mönchengladbach0–0RB Leipzig
29 Mar 2025Borussia Mönchengladbach1–0RB Leipzig
9 Nov 2024RB Leipzig0–0Borussia Mönchengladbach
17 Feb 2024RB Leipzig2–0Borussia Mönchengladbach
23 Sep 2023Borussia Mönchengladbach0–1RB Leipzig

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	RB Leipzig	Borussia Mönchengladbach	Forecast
Scored per game	—	—
Conceded per game	—	—
Match goals	—	—	3.01
Over 1.5	—	—
Over 2.5	—	—	58%
Over 3.5	—	—
Both teams scored	—	—	55%
Clean sheets	—	—
Failed to score	—	—
Games	0	0

	RB Leipzig	Borussia Mönchengladbach	Forecast
Scored per game	2.00	1.50
Conceded per game	1.40	1.40
Match goals	3.40	2.90	3.01
Over 1.5	80%	70%
Over 2.5	80%	50%	58%
Over 3.5	50%	50%
Both teams scored	70%	50%	55%
Clean sheets	20%	40%
Failed to score	10%	20%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	RB Leipzig	Borussia Mönchengladbach	League
Corners
Corners won	—	—
Corners conceded	—	—
Match total	—	—	12.00
Over 8.5	—	—
Over 9.5	—	—
Over 10.5	—	—
Cards
Cards	—	—
Opponent cards	—	—
Match total	—	—	4.00
Over 3.5	—	—
Over 4.5	—	—

	RB Leipzig	Borussia Mönchengladbach	League
Corners
Corners won	5.33	2.00
Corners conceded	4.22	5.33
Match total	9.55	7.33	12.00
Over 8.5	67% 6/9	33% 3/9
Over 9.5	67% 6/9	33% 3/9
Over 10.5	44% 4/9	22% 2/9
Cards
Cards	1.60	2.70
Opponent cards	0.90	2.70
Match total	2.50	5.40	4.00
Over 3.5	20% 2/10	80% 8/10
Over 4.5	10% 1/10	50% 5/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Sven Jablonski Germany · 110 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards3.81league 4.00

Red cards0.11league 0.00

Cards 5+39%league 0%

Fouls20.5league 27.0

Penalties0.18league 0.00

Home wins41%league 100%

RB Leipzig14 with this referee

Record9-2-3 Cards · opp.2.2 · 1.6 Pens for · against1 · 2

W24 Apr 26H · Union Berlin3–11
W20 Mar 26H · 1899 Hoffenheim5–01
W1 Nov 25H · VfB Stuttgart3–11
W13 Sep 25A · FSV Mainz 051–00
D8 Mar 25A · SC Freiburg0–03

Borussia Mönchengladbach12 with this referee

Record4-4-4 Cards · opp.1.7 · 1.9 Pens for · against2 · 3

L19 Dec 25A · Borussia Dortmund0–21
L30 Aug 25A · VfB Stuttgart0–11
L10 May 25A · Bayern München0–21
W15 Feb 25A · Union Berlin2–11
W24 Feb 24H · VfL Bochum5–22

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.