Bundesliga Gameweek 17 Wed, Jan 14 2026 · 19:30 Red Bull Arena, Leipzig
2–0 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 2.24 – 0.17
  • V. Orbán 53’
  • Rômulo 56’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

RB Leipzig beat SC Freiburg

RB Leipzig entered as favourites and won 2–0 through goals from Orbán and Rômulo. RB Leipzig finished with the higher xG (2.24 vs 0.17).

RB Leipzig ✓48%
Draw25%
SC Freiburg27%

Model vs reality

RB Leipzig goals
2
Model 1.72 · xG 2.24
SC Freiburg goals
0
Model 1.23 · xG 0.17
Total goals
2
Model 2.95 · xG 2.41
Score 2–0
8%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 57%
Both scored
No
Model 59%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchD. RaumRB Leipzig · 1 assist
8.5
  • RefereeRobert Hartmann
  • VenueRed Bull Arena
  • Table before kick-offRB Leipzig 4th · SC Freiburg 8th

Timeline

  1. Y. SuzukiYellow card · Tripping
    14’
  2. Half time · 0–0
  3. P. TreuYellow card · Handling
    52’
  4. V. Orbán 1–0Assist D. Raum
    53’
  5. ⇄ V. GrifoFor Y. Suzuki
    55’
  6. Rômulo 2–0
    56’
  7. ⇄ A. NusaFor F. Ouédraogo
    60’
  8. ⇄ Y. DiomandeFor Tidiam Gomis
    60’
  9. ⇄ I. MatanovićFor L. Höler
    65’
  10. ⇄ J. BesteFor P. Treu
    65’
  11. ⇄ C. HarderFor Rômulo
    74’
  12. J. BesteYellow card · Tripping
    77’
  13. ⇄ D. ScherhantFor P. Osterhage
    85’
  14. ⇄ J. MakengoFor C. Günter
    85’
  15. ⇄ E. BanzuziFor C. Baumgartner
    88’
  16. ⇄ E. BitshiabuFor C. Lukeba
    88’
  17. Full time · 2–0

Team stats

RB Leipzig20 shots · 18 in box, 2 outside
SC Freiburg3 shots · 3 in box
RB LeipzigSC Freiburg
63% Possession 37%
2.24 Expected goals (xG) 0.17
2.69 Expected points (xPts) 0.19
20 Shots 3
7 Shots on target 1
6 Shots off target 1
7 Blocked shots 1
18 Shots inside the box 3
2 Shots outside the box 0
540 Passes 309
88% Pass accuracy 76%
7 Corners 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
12 Fouls 13
0 Offsides 2
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
7.11 Team rating 6.73

Line-ups

RB Leipzig 4-3-3

16.6 P. Gulácsi(G)
228.5★ D. Raum A 236.9 C. Lukeba ↓88’ 48.2 V. Orbán 177.3 R. Baku
146.9 C. Baumgartner ↓88’ 136.9 N. Seiwald 246.7 X. Schlager
206.7 F. Ouédraogo ↓60’ 406.9 Rômulo ↓74’ 276.3 Tidiam Gomis ↓60’
  • 1P. Gulácsi (G)6.6
  • 22D. Raum ★A8.5
  • 23C. Lukeba↓88’6.9
  • 4V. Orbán8.2
  • 17R. Baku7.3
  • 14C. Baumgartner↓88’6.9
  • 13N. Seiwald6.9
  • 24X. Schlager6.7
  • 20F. Ouédraogo↓60’6.7
  • 40Rômulo↓74’6.9
  • 27Tidiam Gomis↓60’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 7A. Nusa↑60’7.3
  • 49Y. Diomande↑60’7.0
  • 11C. Harder↑74’6.2
  • 5E. Bitshiabu↑88’
  • 6E. Banzuzi↑88’

Unused: M. Vandevoordt, M. Finkgräfe, K. Nedeljković, A. Maksimović

SC Freiburg 4-2-3-1

18.2 N. Atubolu(G)
306.2 C. Günter ↓85’ 56.6 A. Jung 437.2 B. Ogbus 176.2 L. Kübler
66.3 P. Osterhage ↓85’ 87.0 M. Eggestein
446.3 J. Manzambi 146.9 Y. Suzuki ↓55’ 296.3 P. Treu ↓65’
97.2 L. Höler ↓65’
  • 1N. Atubolu (G)8.2
  • 30C. Günter↓85’6.2
  • 5A. Jung6.6
  • 43B. Ogbus7.2
  • 17L. Kübler6.2
  • 6P. Osterhage↓85’6.3
  • 8M. Eggestein7.0
  • 44J. Manzambi6.3
  • 14Y. Suzuki↓55’6.9
  • 29P. Treu↓65’6.3
  • 9L. Höler↓65’7.2

Substitutes used

  • 32V. Grifo↑55’6.5
  • 19J. Beste↑65’6.3
  • 31I. Matanović↑65’6.3
  • 33J. Makengo↑85’6.5
  • 7D. Scherhant↑85’6.2

Unused: F. Müller, N. Höfler, C. Adamu

Player stats

Top rated
D. RaumRB Leipzig8.5
2nd
V. OrbánRB Leipzig8.2
3rd
N. AtuboluSC Freiburg8.2

RB Leipzig

SC Freiburg

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.