Bundesliga Gameweek 31 Fri, Apr 24 2026 · 19:30 Red Bull Arena, Leipzig
3–1 Full time · HT 2–0 xG 3.75 – 0.18
  • M. Finkgräfe 22’
  • Rômulo 25’
  • R. Baku 63’
  • 78’ D. Doekhi
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

RB Leipzig beat Union Berlin

RB Leipzig entered as clear favourites and won 3–1 through goals from Finkgräfe, Rômulo and Baku. Union Berlin replied through a Doekhi goal. RB Leipzig finished with the higher xG (3.75 vs 0.18).

RB Leipzig ✓74%
Draw16%
Union Berlin11%

Model vs reality

RB Leipzig goals
3
Model 2.72 · xG 3.75
Union Berlin goals
1
Model 0.99 · xG 0.18
Total goals
4
Model 3.71 · xG 3.93
Score 3–1
8%
Most likely 2–0 (9%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 72%
Both scored
Yes
Model 59%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchR. BakuRB Leipzig · 1 goal
8.2
  • RefereeSven Jablonski
  • VenueRed Bull Arena
  • Table before kick-offRB Leipzig 3rd · Union Berlin 11th

Timeline

  1. M. Finkgräfe 1–0
    22’
  2. Rômulo 2–0
    25’
  3. ⇄ C. KlausFor F. Rønnow
    31’
  4. C. BaumgartnerYellow card · Roughing
    34’
  5. Half time · 2–0
  6. ⇄ Ilyas AnsahFor A. Ilić
    59’
  7. ⇄ A. KemleinFor J. Haberer
    59’
  8. ⇄ J. JuranovićFor C. Trimmel
    59’
  9. R. Baku 3–0Assist Y. Diomande
    63’
  10. ⇄ C. HarderFor F. Ouédraogo
    68’
  11. ⇄ B. GrudaFor Rômulo
    68’
  12. D. Doekhi 3–1Assist J. Juranović
    78’
  13. ⇄ S. BakayokoFor Y. Diomande
    79’
  14. ⇄ B. HenrichsFor R. Baku
    79’
  15. ⇄ Livan BurcuFor A. Schäfer
    83’
  16. Diogo LeiteYellow card · Roughing
    84’
  17. ⇄ Tidiam GomisFor A. Nusa
    90’
  18. Full time · 3–1

Team stats

RB Leipzig18 shots · 13 in box, 5 outside
Union Berlin4 shots · 2 in box, 2 outside
RB LeipzigUnion Berlin
67% Possession 33%
3.75 Expected goals (xG) 0.18
2.91 Expected points (xPts) 0.05
18 Shots 4
9 Shots on target 1
6 Shots off target 3
3 Blocked shots 0
13 Shots inside the box 2
5 Shots outside the box 2
575 Passes 281
87% Pass accuracy 72%
10 Corners 4
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Fouls 10
1 Offsides 2
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
7.14 Team rating 6.71

Line-ups

RB Leipzig 4-3-3

266.2 M. Vandevoordt(G)
357.6 M. Finkgräfe 57.2 E. Bitshiabu 47.2 V. Orbán 178.2★ R. Baku ↓79’
146.3 C. Baumgartner 247.6 X. Schlager 206.5 F. Ouédraogo ↓68’
77.0 A. Nusa ↓90’ 406.9 Rômulo ↓68’ 498.2 Y. Diomande A↓79’
  • 26M. Vandevoordt (G)6.2
  • 35M. Finkgräfe7.6
  • 5E. Bitshiabu7.2
  • 4V. Orbán7.2
  • 17R. Baku ★↓79’8.2
  • 14C. Baumgartner6.3
  • 24X. Schlager7.6
  • 20F. Ouédraogo↓68’6.5
  • 7A. Nusa↓90’7.0
  • 40Rômulo↓68’6.9
  • 49Y. DiomandeA↓79’8.2

Substitutes used

  • 10B. Gruda↑68’6.6
  • 11C. Harder↑68’7.3
  • 39B. Henrichs↑79’6.3
  • 9S. Bakayoko↑79’6.2
  • 27Tidiam Gomis↑90’

Unused: P. Gulácsi, K. Nedeljković, L. Klostermann, A. Maksimović

Union Berlin 3-5-2

16.2 F. Rønnow(G) ↓31’
46.2 Diogo Leite 147.5 L. Querfeld 57.6 D. Doekhi
156.2 T. Rothe 196.5 J. Haberer ↓59’ 86.3 R. Khedira 137.2 A. Schäfer ↓83’ 286.3 C. Trimmel ↓59’
236.3 A. Ilić ↓59’ 76.5 O. Burke
  • 1F. Rønnow (G)↓31’6.2
  • 4Diogo Leite6.2
  • 14L. Querfeld7.5
  • 5D. Doekhi7.6
  • 15T. Rothe6.2
  • 19J. Haberer↓59’6.5
  • 8R. Khedira6.3
  • 13A. Schäfer↓83’7.2
  • 28C. Trimmel↓59’6.3
  • 23A. Ilić↓59’6.3
  • 7O. Burke6.5

Substitutes used

  • 25C. Klaus (G)↑31’7.2
  • 10Ilyas Ansah↑59’6.5
  • 18J. JuranovićA↑59’6.7
  • 6A. Kemlein↑59’6.9
  • 9Livan Burcu↑83’

Unused: S. Nsoki, T. Skarke, A. Král, D. Köhn

Player stats

Top rated
R. BakuRB Leipzig8.2
2nd
Y. DiomandeRB Leipzig8.2
3rd
M. FinkgräfeRB Leipzig7.6

RB Leipzig

Union Berlin

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.