17th · Bundesliga · 5 points · Matches played: 6
9 points behind Bayern München · Table & Fixtures →
LLLWD+2.0 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.
Base L90 Strength changed -1.7 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 39.3+2.0
Short on strength, fighting for points.
Union Berlin rely on a mid-table defence, but their attack is among the league's weakest and costs them. Across the 6 league matches with forecasts, their points total is close to our pre-match expectations. E. Latte Lath is out, and The toughest of the next 3 matches is the trip to SC Freiburg.
Bundesliga · 6 games. Their underlying numbers look better than their results. They are scoring fewer goals than their chances suggest. They are conceding more goals than expected; goalkeeping or opponents' finishing may contribute, but these figures do not establish the cause.
They are wasteful in front of goal (6% of shots scored). Home is where they earn their points: 1.2 per game there against 0.0 away.
- Relegation 20%Likely 14th · 37 projected points
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Next 3: about 3 of 9 points Toughest at
SC Freiburg · , 18% to win
- 1 key player outE. Latte Lath · 10% of squad weight missing · Last match: 17 Oct
- 5 pts vs 6.3 expected-1.3 vs pre-match expectations · 6 matches with forecasts
Key insights
Automatic descriptive highlights for Union Berlin. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals for this club in each category.Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.
Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.
xG Difference uses observed Playing style averages; window size is not xG coverage and the two metrics can have different denominators. Points minus xPts uses the same covered current-league matches and stored forecasts as Club strength, including labelled historical reconstructions.
Headlines
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Insight
Union Berlin
−1.2
Points below expected
6/6 covered matches · current leagues
Points5.0xPts6.2
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Insight
Union Berlin
−0.69
xG difference per match
Underlying performance · 10-match window
xG for1.31xG against2.00
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Alert
Union Berlin
2.8
Goals conceded per match
Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals conceded · W/D/L colours
Attack
Not enough recorded data for this category yet.
Defence
Streaks
Not enough recorded data for this category yet.
Season
League position and season results.
Overview
2026-2027Expected metrics · 6 of 6 matches covered
Expected metrics · 6 of 6 matches covered
Season totals cover all competitions and stages. Positions and points refer to each competition table.
League standings
Bundesliga · 2026-2027
Swipe to explore the league table →
| # | Club | Rating | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1▲ | 94 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +17 | 14 | DWWDW | |
| 2– | 81 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +7 | 14 | WWWDD | |
| 3▼ | 64 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +9 | 13 | WWDWL | |
| 4– | 79 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +7 | 13 | WDWWW | |
| 5▲ | 55 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 10 | WLWLW | |
| 6▲ | 42 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 10 | WLDLW | |
| 7▼ | 68 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | +5 | 9 | LWLWL | |
| 8▼ | 43 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +0 | 9 | WDWDD | |
| 9▲ | 40 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -9 | 9 | LLWWW | |
| 10▼ | 50 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 8 | WDLDL | |
| 11▲ | 48 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -6 | 8 | LWDLW | |
| 12▼ | 34 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 | LDLWL | |
| 13▼ | 68 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -2 | 6 | WLLWL | |
| 14▲ | 49 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -3 | 6 | LWLLW | |
| 15▼ | 46 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 5 | DWDLL | |
| 16▼ | 38 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 5 | LLWLD | |
| 17▼ | 39 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -12 | 5 | LLLWD | |
| 18– | 36 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -12 | 0 | LLLLL |
18 clubs · ▲ Up · ▼ Down · – Unchanged · Since the start of the latest played matchweek.
League position over time
Position by matchweek
Higher is better. One point per matchweek; partial rounds are marked. Postponed games count when played. Hover, tap or focus a point for details.
View position history
| MW | Results through (UTC) | Position | Pts | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 Aug 2026 | 9 | 1 | 1 |
| 2 | 6 Sep 2026 | 15 | 1 | 2 |
| 3 | 13 Sep 2026 | 16 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | 20 Sep 2026 | 17 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | 11 Oct 2026 | 16 | 4 | 5 |
| 6 | 18 Oct 2026 | 17 | 5 | 6 |
Competition standings
There is no combined table across competitions. View each competition separately.
Squad 40 players · this season, all competitions · 5 out
Absences reported for the last match: 17 Oct 2026
| Player | Age | Apps | Min | G | A | Rating | Model role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goalkeepers | |||||||
| 34 | 5 (5) | 450 | 0 | 0 | 6.83 | starter | |
| 27 | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 5.30 | depth | |
| — | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | |
| 32 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | rotation | |
| Defenders | |||||||
| 21 | 6 (6) | 540 | 0 | 1 | 6.47 | rotation | |
| 29 | 5 (5) | 450 | 0 | 0 | 6.95 | starter | |
| 23 | 5 (4) | 379 | 0 | 0 | 6.37 | starter | |
| 22 | 3 (3) | 270 | 1 | 1 | 6.73 | starter | |
| 31 | 3 (3) | 254 | 0 | 2 | 6.67 | rotation | |
| 39 | 4 (1) | 114 | 0 | 0 | 6.52 | rotation | |
| 27 | 2 (0) | 16 | 0 | 0 | 6.65 | rotation | |
| — | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | |
| 30 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | |
| 20 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | |
| 27 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | |
| 20 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | |
| Midfielders | |||||||
| 32 | 6 (6) | 540 | 0 | 0 | 6.47 | starter | |
| 29 | 6 (6) | 466 | 0 | 0 | 6.29 | starter | |
| 27 | 6 (4) | 386 | 0 | 0 | 6.71 | rotation | |
| 27 | 6 (4) | 364 | 0 | 0 | 6.70 | rotation | |
| 32 | 6 (3) | 273 | 0 | 0 | 6.36 | rotation | |
| 30 | 6 (2) | 262 | 2 | 0 | 6.70 | rotation | |
| 22 | 6 (3) | 228 | 0 | 0 | 6.56 | starter | |
| 26 | 2 (2) | 103 | 0 | 0 | 6.89 | starter | |
| ?M. Gray | — | 1 (0) | 20 | 0 | 0 | 6.72 | rotation |
| — | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | |
| — | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | |
| — | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | |
| — | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | |
| Forwards | |||||||
| 27 | 5 (4) | 291 | 1 | 0 | 6.68 | starter | |
| 22 | 5 (2) | 216 | 1 | 0 | 6.96 | rotation | |
| 24 | 3 (2) | 216 | 0 | 0 | 6.47 | depth | |
| 29 | 1 (0) | 12 | 0 | 0 | 6.64 | rotation | |
| 21 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | |
| — | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | |
| — | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | |
| 16 | 1 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | depth | |
| 26 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | |
| — | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | |
| 30 | 1 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.50 | depth | |
Stats are this season in all competitions. Model role is how much the availability model weighs each player before the trip to FC Augsburg: core, starter, rotation or depth, from several seasons of minutes and ratings.
Performance
Strength, recent form and playing style.
Strength Bundesliga · 18 clubs
In forecast League average
L90 Strength comes from Elo; Attack and Defence from goals scored and conceded, expected goals (xG) and shots on target, all on fixed 0–100 scales shared by every league. These are the numbers the forecast uses.
Form last 5 for the index · last 6 listed
- Points, last 5
- 4
- Median top-5 club
- 5.4
- Own forecasts
- 4.8 -0.8
Table position in line with their strength.
Form compares points with what a median top-five club (L90 Strength 50) would take from the same fixtures, so wins over strong sides count for more; 50 is a typical run. "Own forecasts" is the gap to this club's pre-match expectations. Form is context: in our tests it did not improve the forecast.
- D17 OctH · Borussia Dortmund0–00.9 xPts
- W10 OctH · SV Elversberg1–01.4 xPts
- L18 SepA · Bayern München0–70.2 xPts
- L11 SepH · FC Schalke 041–31.6 xPts
- L5 SepA · Bayer Leverkusen0–40.7 xPts
- D29 AugH · Eintracht Frankfurt3–31.5 xPts
Trends last 6, all competitions
Playing style vs Bundesliga average
Home and away this league season
Goal timing this league season · 6 games
scored conceded, per 15 minutes
Possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Goals, xG and shots on target feed the Attack and Defence ratings. The rest describes how the team plays and does not change the forecast.
Team rankings Bundesliga · 6 games · rank of 18
Attack
Defence
Overall
Scorelines
- 3–3×1
- 0–4×1
- 1–3×1
- 0–7×1
- 1–0×1
- 0–0×1
Goals per game both teams
Totals club · league
- Over 1.5
- 67%81%
- Over 2.5
- 67%74%
- Over 3.5
- 67%56%
- Both scored
- 33%59%
- Clean sheet
- 33%24%
- Failed to score
- 50%24%
This league season only. xPts adds up our pre-match win and draw chances (pure EloLambda, the same numbers as Form). xG and TR come from match data and describe the season so far; none of these rankings change the forecast directly.