Bundesliga Gameweek 9 Sat, Nov 1 2025 · 14:30 Red Bull Arena, Leipzig
RB Leipzig
3–1 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 2.13 – 1.49
VfB Stuttgart
  • J. Chabot 45’ (OG)
  • Y. Diomande 53’
  • Rômulo 90+1’
  • 65’ Tiago Tomás
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

RB Leipzig beat VfB Stuttgart

RB Leipzig entered as favourites and won 3–1 through goals from Diomande, Rômulo and an own goal. VfB Stuttgart replied through a Tomás goal. RB Leipzig finished with the higher xG (2.13 vs 1.49). On the chances created, VfB Stuttgart deserved more: 1.0 expected points against the 0 points they took.

RB Leipzig ✓49%
Draw24%
VfB Stuttgart26%

Model vs reality

RB Leipzig goals
3
Model 1.78 · xG 2.13
VfB Stuttgart goals
1
Model 1.24 · xG 1.49
Total goals
4
Model 3.02 · xG 3.62
Score 3–1
6%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 58%
Both scored
Yes
Model 60%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchY. DiomandeRB Leipzig · 1 goal · 1 assist
8.7
  • RefereeSven Jablonski
  • VenueRed Bull Arena
  • Table before kick-offRB Leipzig 3rd · VfB Stuttgart 4th

Timeline

  1. C. BaumgartnerYellow card · Roughing
    38’
  2. J. Chabot (own goal) 1–0Assist Y. Diomande
    45’
  3. Half time · 1–0
  4. Y. Diomande 2–0Assist C. Baumgartner
    53’
  5. D. UndavYellow card · Holding
    57’
  6. ⇄ N. NarteyFor M. Mittelstädt
    58’
  7. ⇄ Tiago TomásFor C. Führich
    58’
  8. Tiago Tomás 2–1Assist L. Jaquez
    65’
  9. ⇄ X. SchlagerFor F. Ouédraogo
    71’
  10. ⇄ S. BakayokoFor A. Nusa
    71’
  11. ⇄ J. LewelingFor D. Undav
    77’
  12. R. HendriksYellow card · Tripping
    84’
  13. ⇄ E. BanzuziFor C. Baumgartner
    85’
  14. ⇄ B. BouananiFor A. Karazor
    88’
  15. Rômulo 3–1
    90+1’
  16. ⇄ C. HarderFor Rômulo
    90+2’
  17. ⇄ L. KlostermannFor R. Baku
    90+2’
  18. Full time · 3–1

Team stats

RB Leipzig14 shots · 13 in box, 1 outside
VfB Stuttgart14 shots · 7 in box, 7 outside
RB LeipzigVfB Stuttgart
42% Possession 58%
2.13 Expected goals (xG) 1.49
1.78 Expected points (xPts) 1.01
14 Shots 14
8 Shots on target 4
5 Shots off target 6
1 Blocked shots 4
13 Shots inside the box 7
1 Shots outside the box 7
399 Passes 533
79% Pass accuracy 88%
5 Corners 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
7 Fouls 10
0 Offsides 6
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
6.98 Team rating 6.50

Line-ups

RB Leipzig 4-3-3

16.3 P. Gulácsi(G)
226.9 D. Raum 237.2 C. Lukeba 46.9 V. Orbán 177.2 R. Baku ↓90’
146.6 C. Baumgartner A↓85’ 137.0 N. Seiwald 206.9 F. Ouédraogo ↓71’
76.9 A. Nusa ↓71’ 406.3 Rômulo ↓90’ 498.7★ Y. Diomande A
  • 1P. Gulácsi (G)6.3
  • 22D. Raum6.9
  • 23C. Lukeba7.2
  • 4V. Orbán6.9
  • 17R. Baku↓90’7.2
  • 14C. BaumgartnerA↓85’6.6
  • 13N. Seiwald7.0
  • 20F. Ouédraogo↓71’6.9
  • 7A. Nusa↓71’6.9
  • 40Rômulo↓90’6.3
  • 49Y. Diomande ★A8.7

Substitutes used

  • 16L. Klostermann↑90’
  • 24X. Schlager↑71’6.7
  • 6E. Banzuzi↑85’
  • 9S. Bakayoko↑71’6.5
  • 11C. Harder↑90’

Unused: M. Vandevoordt, E. Bitshiabu, Tidiam Gomis, A. Maksimović

VfB Stuttgart 3-4-1-2

336.7 A. Nübel(G)
36.3 R. Hendriks 246.0 J. Chabot 146.2 L. Jaquez A
76.3 M. Mittelstädt ↓58’ 67.3 A. Stiller 166.9 A. Karazor ↓88’ 46.3 J. Vagnoman
116.9 B. El Khannouss
106.3 C. Führich ↓58’ 265.6 D. Undav ↓77’
  • 33A. Nübel (G)6.7
  • 3R. Hendriks6.3
  • 24J. Chabot6.0
  • 14L. JaquezA6.2
  • 7M. Mittelstädt↓58’6.3
  • 6A. Stiller7.3
  • 16A. Karazor↓88’6.9
  • 4J. Vagnoman6.3
  • 11B. El Khannouss6.9
  • 10C. Führich↓58’6.3
  • 26D. Undav↓77’5.6

Substitutes used

  • 27B. Bouanani↑88’
  • 28N. Nartey↑58’6.6
  • 18J. Leweling↑77’6.3
  • 8Tiago Tomás↑58’7.6

Unused: F. Bredlow, A. Al Dakhil, P. Stenzel, Finn Jeltsch, Chema Andrés

Player stats

Top rated
Y. DiomandeRB Leipzig8.7
2nd
Tiago TomásVfB Stuttgart7.6
3rd
A. StillerVfB Stuttgart7.3

RB Leipzig

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
P. Gulácsi G 90 0 0 3 sv 0 74% 39 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
D. Raum D 90 0 0 1 (1) 3 64% 36 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
C. Lukeba D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 95% 38 2 0 1/1 0/1 7.2
V. Orbán D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 88% 42 3 0 0/0 1/0 6.9
R. Baku M 90 0 0 1 (0) 2 76% 59 1 0 0/0 1/0 7.2
C. Baumgartner M 85 0 1 1 (0) 1 69% 39 1 0 1/1 1/0 6.6
N. Seiwald M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 90% 30 2 4 0/0 0/0 7.0
F. Ouédraogo M 71 0 0 2 (2) 1 86% 21 0 0 0/1 0/2 6.9
A. Nusa M 71 0 0 3 (2) 1 69% 16 0 0 2/3 0/3 6.9
Rômulo F 90 1 0 4 (2) 2 67% 27 1 0 0/1 1/4 6.3
Y. Diomande F 90 1 1 1 (1) 1 82% 34 1 0 5/5 1/0 8.7
L. Klostermann D 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
X. Schlager M 19 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 9 1 0 0/0 1/0 6.7
E. Banzuzi M 5 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 2 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
S. Bakayoko F 19 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 7 0 0 1/2 1/0 6.5
C. Harder F 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 —

VfB Stuttgart

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
A. Nübel G 90 0 0 6 sv 0 92% 24 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
R. Hendriks D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 97% 59 0 2 1/1 2/0 6.3
J. Chabot D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 90% 86 0 1 0/0 3/0 6.0
L. Jaquez D 90 0 1 1 (0) 1 96% 69 0 2 0/0 1/0 6.2
M. Mittelstädt D 58 0 0 1 (1) 0 79% 33 1 2 0/0 0/1 6.3
A. Stiller M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 93% 69 2 3 1/2 0/1 7.3
A. Karazor M 88 0 0 0 (0) 1 88% 41 4 1 1/2 0/2 6.9
J. Vagnoman D 90 0 0 0 (0) 3 83% 46 2 0 1/1 0/0 6.3
B. El Khannouss M 90 0 0 1 (0) 3 80% 40 0 0 0/0 1/1 6.9
C. Führich M 58 0 0 2 (1) 2 80% 25 1 0 1/2 0/0 6.3
D. Undav F 77 0 0 4 (1) 0 65% 17 0 0 0/0 2/1 5.6
B. Bouanani M 2 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
N. Nartey M 32 0 0 0 (0) 0 94% 16 0 1 1/1 0/0 6.6
J. Leweling F 13 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.3
Tiago Tomás F 32 1 0 1 (1) 0 71% 7 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.6

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.