Bundesliga Gameweek 22 Sun, Feb 15 2026 · 16:30 Red Bull Arena, Leipzig
2–2 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 2.62 – 0.59
  • Y. Diomande 70’
  • B. Gruda 89’
  • 52’ M. Amoura
  • 78’ M. Svanberg
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

RB Leipzig snatch a late draw

RB Leipzig entered as clear favourites, yet VfL Wolfsburg led 1–0 after 52 minutes through a Amoura goal. But Diomande and Gruda scored to rescue a draw for RB Leipzig. RB Leipzig finished with the higher xG (2.62 vs 0.59). On the chances created, RB Leipzig deserved more: 2.6 expected points against the 1 point they took.

RB Leipzig64%
Draw ✓20%
VfL Wolfsburg16%

Model vs reality

RB Leipzig goals
2
Model 2.23 · xG 2.62
VfL Wolfsburg goals
2
Model 1.05 · xG 0.59
Total goals
4
Model 3.27 · xG 3.21
Score 2–2
5%
Most likely 2–1 (10%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 63%
Both scored
Yes
Model 58%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchY. DiomandeRB Leipzig · 1 goal
8.9
  • RefereeMatthias Jollenbeck
  • Coaches— · D. Bauer
  • VenueRed Bull Arena
  • Table before kick-offRB Leipzig 6th · VfL Wolfsburg 15th

Timeline

  1. ⇄ M. VandevoordtFor P. Gulácsi
    29’
  2. Half time · 0–0
  3. S. KumbediYellow card · Tripping
    48’
  4. M. Amoura 0–1Assist A. Daghim
    52’
  5. ⇄ M. SvanbergFor K. Shiogai
    60’
  6. ⇄ R. BakuFor B. Henrichs
    63’
  7. ⇄ RômuloFor C. Harder
    63’
  8. X. SchlagerYellow card · Tripping
    63’
  9. Y. Diomande 1–1Assist B. Gruda
    70’
  10. M. MüllerYellow card
    77’
  11. M. Svanberg 1–2Assist J. Belocian
    78’
  12. ⇄ C. LukebaFor N. Seiwald
    82’
  13. ⇄ S. BakayokoFor A. Nusa
    82’
  14. ⇄ K. KoulierakisFor M. Amoura
    83’
  15. ⇄ D. PejčinovićFor L. Majer
    84’
  16. B. Gruda 2–2
    89’
  17. ⇄ J. AdjeteyFor A. Daghim
    90+5’
  18. Full time · 2–2

Team stats

RB Leipzig19 shots · 16 in box, 3 outside
VfL Wolfsburg10 shots · 3 in box, 7 outside
RB LeipzigVfL Wolfsburg
68% Possession 32%
2.62 Expected goals (xG) 0.59
2.55 Expected points (xPts) 0.32
19 Shots 10
10 Shots on target 3
6 Shots off target 6
3 Blocked shots 1
16 Shots inside the box 3
3 Shots outside the box 7
686 Passes 330
88% Pass accuracy 77%
6 Corners 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 8
6 Fouls 10
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
7.25 Team rating 6.92

Line-ups

RB Leipzig 4-2-3-1

16.3 P. Gulácsi(G) ↓29’
357.0 M. Finkgräfe 136.9 N. Seiwald ↓82’ 47.3 V. Orbán 396.9 B. Henrichs ↓63’
146.0 C. Baumgartner 247.7 X. Schlager
77.3 A. Nusa ↓82’ 108.6 B. Gruda A 498.9★ Y. Diomande
116.6 C. Harder ↓63’
  • 1P. Gulácsi (G)↓29’6.3
  • 35M. Finkgräfe7.0
  • 13N. Seiwald↓82’6.9
  • 4V. Orbán7.3
  • 39B. Henrichs↓63’6.9
  • 14C. Baumgartner6.0
  • 24X. Schlager7.7
  • 7A. Nusa↓82’7.3
  • 10B. GrudaA8.6
  • 49Y. Diomande ★8.9
  • 11C. Harder↓63’6.6

Substitutes used

  • 26M. Vandevoordt (G)↑29’7.0
  • 23C. Lukeba↑82’6.9
  • 17R. Baku↑63’6.2
  • 9S. Bakayoko↑82’6.9
  • 40Rômulo↑63’6.5

Unused: E. Bitshiabu, Tidiam Gomis, A. Maksimović, E. Banzuzi

VfL Wolfsburg 4-2-3-1

18.2 K. Grabara(G)
66.2 J. Belocian A 157.0 M. Jenz 37.7 D. Vavro 266.5 S. Kumbedi
276.7 M. Arnold 246.9 C. Eriksen
76.3 K. Shiogai ↓60’ 106.3 L. Majer ↓84’ 116.5 A. Daghim A↓90’
97.5 M. Amoura ↓83’
  • 1K. Grabara (G)8.2
  • 6J. BelocianA6.2
  • 15M. Jenz7.0
  • 3D. Vavro7.7
  • 26S. Kumbedi6.5
  • 27M. Arnold6.7
  • 24C. Eriksen6.9
  • 7K. Shiogai↓60’6.3
  • 10L. Majer↓84’6.3
  • 11A. DaghimA↓90’6.5
  • 9M. Amoura↓83’7.5

Substitutes used

  • 18J. Adjetey↑90’
  • 4K. Koulierakis↑83’6.2
  • 32M. Svanberg↑60’7.5
  • 17D. Pejčinović↑84’6.6

Unused: M. Müller, Jan Bürger, Pharell Hensel, Y. Gerhardt, Vinicius Souza

Coach: D. Bauer

Player stats

Top rated
Y. DiomandeRB Leipzig8.9
2nd
B. GrudaRB Leipzig8.6
3rd
K. GrabaraVfL Wolfsburg8.2

RB Leipzig

VfL Wolfsburg

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.