La Liga Gameweek 29 Sun, Mar 22 2026 · 20:00 Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid
3–2 Full time · HT 0–1 xG 2.42 – 0.91
  • Vinícius 52’ (P), 72’
  • F. Valverde 55’
  • F. Valverde 77’
  • 33’ A. Lookman
  • 66’ N. Molina
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Real Madrid come from behind to beat Atletico Madrid

Real Madrid entered as clear favourites, yet Atletico Madrid led 1–0 at half-time through a Lookman goal. But Vinícius and Valverde scored to turn it around for Real Madrid, who won 3–2. Real Madrid played with ten men from the 77th minute after Valverde was sent off. Real Madrid finished with the higher xG (2.42 vs 0.91).

Real Madrid ✓63%
Draw21%
Atletico Madrid17%

Model vs reality

Real Madrid goals
3
Model 2.18 · xG 2.42
Atletico Madrid goals
2
Model 1.04 · xG 0.91
Total goals
5
Model 3.22 · xG 3.33
Score 3–2
4%
Most likely 2–1 (10%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 62%
Both scored
Yes
Model 58%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchG. SimeoneAtletico Madrid · 1 assist
8.6
  • RefereeJosé Luis Munuera Montero
  • VenueEstadio Santiago Bernabéu
  • Table before kick-offReal Madrid 2nd · Atletico Madrid 4th

Timeline

  1. J. CardosoYellow card
    27’
  2. A. Lookman 0–1Assist G. Simeone
    33’
  3. M. RuggeriYellow card · Roughing
    36’
  4. Half time · 0–1
  5. ⇄ J. GiménezFor R. Le Normand
    46’
  6. Vinícius (pen) 1–1
    52’
  7. F. Valverde 2–1
    55’
  8. ⇄ A. SørlothFor A. Griezmann
    57’
  9. ⇄ N. GonzálezFor J. Cardoso
    57’
  10. ⇄ N. MolinaFor A. Lookman
    57’
  11. D. HanckoYellow card · Roughing
    61’
  12. Thiago PitarchYellow card · Holding
    63’
  13. ⇄ K. MbappéFor Thiago Pitarch
    64’
  14. ⇄ T. Alexander-ArnoldFor Dani Carvajal
    64’
  15. N. Molina 2–2Assist J. Alvarez
    66’
  16. Marcos LlorenteYellow card · Holding
    68’
  17. ⇄ Álex BaenaFor G. Simeone
    71’
  18. Vinícius 3–2Assist T. Alexander-Arnold
    72’
  19. ⇄ J. BellinghamFor A. Güler
    74’
  20. ⇄ E. CamavingaFor Brahim Díaz
    74’
  21. F. ValverdeRed card · Tripping
    77’
  22. ⇄ Álvaro FernándezFor Vinícius
    87’
  23. Full time · 3–2

Team stats

Real Madrid17 shots · 8 in box, 9 outside
Atletico Madrid12 shots · 7 in box, 5 outside
Real MadridAtletico Madrid
53% Possession 47%
2.42 Expected goals (xG) 0.91
2.29 Expected points (xPts) 0.54
17 Shots 12
10 Shots on target 6
6 Shots off target 5
1 Blocked shots 1
8 Shots inside the box 7
9 Shots outside the box 5
556 Passes 499
91% Pass accuracy 90%
4 Corners 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
2 Fouls 15
2 Offsides 0
1 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
6.97 Team rating 6.63

Line-ups

Real Madrid 4-4-2

137.0 A. Lunin(G)
206.5 Fran García 247.0 D. Huijsen 226.3 A. Rüdiger 26.3 Dani Carvajal ↓64’
157.3 A. Güler ↓74’ 147.2 A. Tchouaméni 456.5 Thiago Pitarch ↓64’ 87.5 F. Valverde
78.3 Vinícius ↓87’ 217.0 Brahim Díaz ↓74’
  • 13A. Lunin (G)7.0
  • 20Fran García6.5
  • 24D. Huijsen7.0
  • 22A. Rüdiger6.3
  • 2Dani Carvajal↓64’6.3
  • 15A. Güler↓74’7.3
  • 14A. Tchouaméni7.2
  • 45Thiago Pitarch↓64’6.5
  • 8F. Valverde7.5
  • 7Vinícius↓87’8.3
  • 21Brahim Díaz↓74’7.0

Substitutes used

  • 12T. Alexander-ArnoldA↑64’6.3
  • 18Álvaro Fernández↑87’6.5
  • 6E. Camavinga↑74’6.3
  • 5J. Bellingham↑74’6.6
  • 10K. Mbappé↑64’6.9

Unused: Fran González, Sergio Mestre, D. Alaba, Diego Aguado Facio, Manuel Ángel Morán, Franco Mastantuono, Gonzalo García

Atletico Madrid 4-4-2

16.0 J. Musso(G)
36.0 M. Ruggeri 176.0 D. Hancko 246.9 R. Le Normand ↓46’ 146.3 Marcos Llorente
227.7 A. Lookman ↓57’ 66.3 Koke 56.3 J. Cardoso ↓57’ 208.6★ G. Simeone A↓71’
197.5 J. Alvarez A 76.9 A. Griezmann ↓57’
  • 1J. Musso (G)6.0
  • 3M. Ruggeri6.0
  • 17D. Hancko6.0
  • 24R. Le Normand↓46’6.9
  • 14Marcos Llorente6.3
  • 22A. Lookman↓57’7.7
  • 6Koke6.3
  • 5J. Cardoso↓57’6.3
  • 20G. Simeone ★A↓71’8.6
  • 19J. AlvarezA7.5
  • 7A. Griezmann↓57’6.9

Substitutes used

  • 2J. Giménez↑46’5.3
  • 16N. Molina↑57’7.2
  • 23N. González↑57’6.3
  • 9A. Sørloth↑57’6.5
  • 10Álex Baena↑71’6.7

Unused: Salvador Esquivel, Mario de Luis, C. Lenglet, Julio Díaz, T. Almada, O. Vargas

Player stats

Top rated
G. SimeoneAtletico Madrid8.6
2nd
ViníciusReal Madrid8.3
3rd
A. LookmanAtletico Madrid7.7

Real Madrid

Atletico Madrid

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.