La Liga Gameweek 8 Sat, Oct 10 2026 · 20:00 Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid
Real Madrid
1–0 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 0.99 – 0.64
Villarreal
  • Y. Diomande 62’
  • Vinícius 72’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Diomande goal decides it for Real Madrid

Real Madrid entered as clear favourites and won 1–0 through a Diomande goal. Real Madrid played with ten men from the 72nd minute after Vinícius was sent off. Real Madrid finished with the higher xG (0.99 vs 0.64). On the chances created, Villarreal deserved more: 1.0 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Real Madrid ✓65%
Draw18%
Villarreal17%

Model vs reality

Real Madrid goals
1
Model 2.38 · xG 0.99
Villarreal goals
0
Model 1.15 · xG 0.64
Total goals
1
Model 3.53 · xG 1.63
Score 1–0
7%
Most likely 2–1 (10%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 68%
Both scored
No
Model 62%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchY. DiomandeReal Madrid · 1 goal
8.2
  • RefereeIsidro Diaz de Mera Escuderos
  • CoachesJosé Mourinho · Iñigo Pérez
  • VenueEstadio Santiago Bernabéu
  • Table before kick-offReal Madrid 4th · Villarreal 9th
  • Weather at kick-off20°C · Clear · wind 4 km/h

Timeline

  1. Renato VeigaYellow card · Foul
    10’
  2. J. BellinghamYellow card · Foul
    19’
  3. ⇄ Marc CucurellaFor Álvaro Fernández
    45’
  4. Half time · 0–0
  5. ⇄ ViníciusFor T. Alexander-Arnold
    52’
  6. ⇄ N. SalibaFor Santi Comesaña
    56’
  7. ⇄ Carlos RomeroFor J. Foyth
    56’
  8. Y. Diomande 1–0Assist F. Valverde
    62’
  9. VAR Y. DiomandeGoal confirmed
    63’
  10. ⇄ Gerard MorenoFor I. Akhomach
    67’
  11. ⇄ G. MikautadzeFor Sergi Cardona
    67’
  12. VAR ViníciusGoal cancelled
    72’
  13. ViníciusRed card · Violent Conduct
    72’
  14. ⇄ E. CamavingaFor A. Güler
    77’
  15. I. KonatéYellow card · Foul
    81’
  16. A. RüdigerYellow card · Dissent
    83’
  17. Pau NavarroYellow card · Foul
    84’
  18. ⇄ D. DumfriesFor Y. Diomande
    86’
  19. ⇄ Nizar El JmiliFor Alberto Moleiro
    86’
  20. A. TchouaméniYellow card · Time Wasting
    87’
  21. K. MbappéYellow card · Time Wasting
    90+4’
  22. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

Real Madrid11 shots · 9 in box, 2 outside
Villarreal15 shots · 7 in box, 8 outside
Real MadridVillarreal
46% Possession 54%
0.99 Expected goals (xG) 0.64
1.63 Expected points (xPts) 1.03
11 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 4
4 Shots off target 7
3 Blocked shots 4
9 Shots inside the box 7
2 Shots outside the box 8
406 Passes 477
83% Pass accuracy 88%
9 Corners 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Fouls 13
3 Offsides 1
5 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
6.95 Team rating 6.51

Line-ups

Real Madrid 4-2-3-1

17.7 T. Courtois(G)
187.2 Álvaro Fernández ↓45’ 226.8 A. Rüdiger 166.7 I. Konaté 126.7 T. Alexander-Arnold ↓52’
146.5 A. Tchouaméni 87.7 F. Valverde A
258.2★ Y. Diomande ↓86’ 56.5 J. Bellingham 156.8 A. Güler ↓77’
106.3 K. Mbappé
  • 1T. Courtois (G)7.7
  • 18Álvaro Fernández↓45’7.2
  • 22A. Rüdiger6.8
  • 16I. Konaté6.7
  • 12T. Alexander-Arnold↓52’6.7
  • 14A. Tchouaméni6.5
  • 8F. ValverdeA7.7
  • 25Y. Diomande ★↓86’8.2
  • 5J. Bellingham6.5
  • 15A. Güler↓77’6.8
  • 10K. Mbappé6.3

Substitutes used

  • 6E. Camavinga↑77’6.6
  • 17Marc Cucurella↑45’6.6
  • 24D. Dumfries↑86’6.1
  • 7Vinícius↑52’5.9

Unused: Carlos Espí, A. Lunin, Sergio Mestre, Endrick, Bernardo Silva, Thiago Pitarch, Brahim Díaz

Coach: José Mourinho

Villarreal 4-2-3-1

256.5 P. Gulácsi(G)
236.6 Sergi Cardona ↓67’ 126.2 Renato Veiga 66.3 Pau Navarro 37.4 A. Freeman
186.8 P. Gueye 86.8 J. Foyth ↓56’
105.9 Alberto Moleiro ↓86’ 146.5 Santi Comesaña ↓56’ 116.4 I. Akhomach ↓67’
226.1 Ayoze Pérez
  • 25P. Gulácsi (G)6.5
  • 23Sergi Cardona↓67’6.6
  • 12Renato Veiga6.2
  • 6Pau Navarro6.3
  • 3A. Freeman7.4
  • 18P. Gueye6.8
  • 8J. Foyth↓56’6.8
  • 10Alberto Moleiro↓86’5.9
  • 14Santi Comesaña↓56’6.5
  • 11I. Akhomach↓67’6.4
  • 22Ayoze Pérez6.1

Substitutes used

  • 7Gerard Moreno↑67’6.3
  • 9G. Mikautadze↑67’6.7
  • 27Nizar El Jmili↑86’6.2
  • 20Carlos Romero↑56’6.7
  • 24N. Saliba↑56’7.1

Unused: S. Mouriño, Carlos Macia, A. Diatta, Logan Costa, T. Oluwaseyi, Luíz Júnior

Coach: Iñigo Pérez

Player stats

Top rated
Y. DiomandeReal Madrid8.2
2nd
F. ValverdeReal Madrid7.7
3rd
T. CourtoisReal Madrid7.7

Real Madrid

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
T. Courtois G 90 0 0 4 sv 0 69% 36 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.7
Álvaro Fernández D 45 0 0 0 (0) 1 86% 29 3 0 0/0 0/0 7.2
A. Rüdiger D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 92% 36 2 0 0/0 1/1 6.8
I. Konaté D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 87% 39 2 0 0/0 1/0 6.7
T. Alexander-Arnold D 52 0 0 0 (0) 2 82% 28 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
A. Tchouaméni M 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 95% 41 0 3 0/0 0/1 6.5
F. Valverde M 90 0 1 0 (0) 3 77% 44 1 2 0/0 1/1 7.7
Y. Diomande F 86 1 0 2 (1) 3 86% 28 3 0 2/5 0/1 8.2
J. Bellingham M 90 0 0 2 (0) 0 71% 31 1 0 1/1 1/4 6.5
A. Güler M 77 0 0 1 (0) 0 90% 40 1 0 1/2 2/1 6.8
K. Mbappé F 90 0 0 3 (2) 0 89% 19 0 0 4/7 0/2 6.3
E. Camavinga M 13 0 0 0 (0) 0 80% 5 1 0 0/0 0/2 6.6
Marc Cucurella D 45 0 0 0 (0) 0 73% 22 5 0 1/1 1/0 6.6
D. Dumfries D 4 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.1
Vinícius F 20 0 0 1 (1) 0 71% 7 0 0 2/2 1/0 5.9

Villarreal

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
P. Gulácsi G 90 0 0 3 sv 0 77% 22 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
Sergi Cardona D 67 0 0 0 (0) 0 83% 30 0 0 0/0 2/1 6.6
Renato Veiga M 90 0 0 2 (0) 0 82% 68 0 1 1/1 0/0 6.2
Pau Navarro D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 91% 64 1 0 0/0 1/1 6.3
A. Freeman D 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 91% 53 7 3 1/2 0/0 7.4
P. Gueye M 90 0 0 4 (2) 1 87% 46 2 1 0/0 1/2 6.8
J. Foyth D 56 0 0 0 (0) 0 97% 36 1 1 0/0 1/0 6.8
Alberto Moleiro M 86 0 0 2 (0) 3 94% 31 0 0 0/0 0/0 5.9
Santi Comesaña M 56 0 0 0 (0) 0 83% 24 1 0 0/1 1/0 6.5
I. Akhomach F 67 0 0 1 (0) 1 93% 14 2 0 2/4 1/0 6.4
Ayoze Pérez F 90 0 0 1 (0) 3 100% 16 0 0 0/3 0/2 6.1
Gerard Moreno F 23 0 0 1 (0) 0 92% 12 0 0 0/0 1/1 6.3
G. Mikautadze F 23 0 0 2 (1) 1 83% 6 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
Nizar El Jmili F 4 0 0 0 (0) 0 80% 5 0 0 0/1 1/0 6.2
Carlos Romero D 34 0 0 1 (1) 2 89% 19 1 0 2/3 0/0 6.7
N. Saliba M 34 0 0 1 (0) 0 90% 31 0 0 0/0 4/1 7.1

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.