Villarreal

12th · La Liga · 9 points · Matches played: 9

18 points behind Barcelona · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

+8.6 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed +3.4 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 66.5+8.6
World Rank 38th Global, by Elo
La Liga Rank 5th L90 Strength
Last ElcheH xG 2.2–0.3 0–0 Next LiverpoolA 21%

Compare clubs

Choose a second club to explore what separates them.
Our take

Mid-table strength, top-table form.

Villarreal build on a top-third defence and back it with a top-third attack. Across the 9 league matches with forecasts, they have collected around 5 fewer points than our pre-match forecasts predicted. N. Pépé is out, and The toughest of the next 5 matches is the trip to Liverpool, in a congested stretch.

La Liga · 9 games. Their underlying numbers look better than their results. They are scoring fewer goals than their chances suggest. They are conceding more goals than expected; goalkeeping or opponents' finishing may contribute, but these figures do not establish the cause.

They dominate the ball, with 60% possession, 2nd in the league. Their results hold up much the same at home and away.

  • Top 4 8% · Relegation <1%Likely 6th · 56 projected points
  • Next 5: about 8 of 15 points Toughest at Liverpool · , 21% to win · congested stretch
  • 1 key player outN. Pépé · 10% of squad weight missing
  • 9 pts vs 13.9 expected-4.9 vs pre-match expectations · 9 matches with forecasts

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Villarreal. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals for this club in each category.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses observed Playing style averages; window size is not xG coverage and the two metrics can have different denominators. Points minus xPts uses the same covered current-league matches and stored forecasts as Club strength, including labelled historical reconstructions.

Headlines

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

The full picture, with the evidence behind every signal.View all Club insights →

Season

League position and season results.

Overview

2026-2027
La LigaView table →
Position
12th/ 20
Points
91.00 PPG
Played
9
League gap
18pts behind leader
22.2%Win %
Wins2
Draws3
Losses4

Expected metrics · 9 of 9 matches covered

Goals For
131.44 / game
xG 19.16 6.16 fewer goals than expected. vs 13 goals
Goals Against
131.44 / game
xGA 10.14 2.86 more conceded than expected. vs 13 conceded
Goal Difference
+0+0.00 / game
xGD +9.02 Goal difference is 9.02 lower than expected. vs +0 GD
Clean Sheets
111% of games

League standings

La Liga · 2026-2027

Full standings →

Swipe to explore the league table →

Full La Liga table, Villarreal highlighted
#ClubRatingPWDLGDPtsForm
1– Barcelona 93 9900 +30 27
2– Atletico Madrid 81 9711 +11 22
3▲ Real Madrid 89 9702 +14 21
4▼ Real Betis 72 9612 +2 19
5▲ Real Sociedad 58 9513 +0 16
6▼ Sevilla 50 9423 -2 14
7– Alaves 48 9324 +3 11
8▲ Celta Vigo 54 9252 +3 11
9▼ Deportivo La Coruna 45 9252 +1 11
10▲ Osasuna 46 9324 -8 11
11▼ Athletic Club 55 7232 +1 9
12▼ Villarreal 67 9234 +0 9
13– Rayo Vallecano 58 8233 -5 9
14– Getafe 48 9234 -6 9
15▼ Espanyol 44 9225 -1 8
16▼ Racing Santander 41 9225 -12 8
17– Levante 48 8143 -4 7
18– Elche 44 9144 -6 7
19– Valencia 51 9135 -9 6
20– Malaga 41 9045 -12 4

20 clubs · ▲ Up · ▼ Down · – Unchanged · Since the start of the latest played matchweek.

League position over time

Position by matchweek

Higher is better. One point per matchweek; partial rounds are marked. Postponed games count when played. Hover, tap or focus a point for details.

View position history
Villarreal league position by matchweek
MWResults through (UTC)PositionPtsP
1 · Partial19 Aug 2026611
227 Aug 20261022
331 Aug 20261523
6 · Partial17 Sep 20261456
720 Sep 2026987
8 · Partial12 Oct 20261188
919 Oct 20261299

Squad 30 players · this season, all competitions · 2 out

Top scorer
P. Gueye3 goals (1 pen)
Most assists
Alberto Moleiro3 assists
Best rated
P. Gulácsi7.19 avg rating
Most minutes
Renato Veiga900 min
Key to the model
Renato VeigaStarter · weight 1.64
PlayerAgeAppsMinGARatingModel role
Goalkeepers
P. Gulácsi 36 6 (6) 540 0 0 7.19 starter
Luíz Júnior 25 5 (5) 450 0 0 6.25 starter
Rubén Gómez 24 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Y. Kinareykin — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Defenders
A. Freeman 22 10 (5) 565 0 0 6.86 rotation
Pau Navarro 21 6 (6) 523 0 0 6.64 starter
S. Mouriño 24 8 (6) 516 2 0 6.71 starter
Carlos Romero 24 7 (5) 511 0 0 6.68 rotation
Sergi Cardona 27 7 (6) 479 0 0 6.63 rotation
J. Foyth 28 6 (5) 438 0 0 6.73 rotation
Logan Costa 25 2 (2) 173 0 0 7.00 rotation
E. Chukwuma — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
E. Pujol — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Midfielders
Renato Veiga 23 10 (10) 900 0 1 6.90 starter
P. Gueye 27 11 (9) 814 3 0 7.04 starter
Alberto Moleiro 23 11 (8) 685 2 3 6.92 starter
Santi Comesaña 30 10 (9) 653 0 0 6.71 starter
N. Saliba 22 8 (5) 503 0 0 6.82 starter
T. Buchanan injured 27 8 (5) 454 0 0 6.85 rotation
Carlos Macia — 5 (1) 124 0 0 6.63 depth
A. Diatta 21 1 (0) 15 0 0 6.20 depth
C. Tidiane Thiam — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
A. Kaares 17 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Forwards
G. Mikautadze 25 11 (6) 619 3 2 6.92 starter
Ayoze Pérez 33 10 (7) 532 1 3 6.63 rotation
N. Pépé injured 31 7 (5) 453 2 0 7.01 starter
Gerard Moreno 34 10 (4) 404 2 1 6.90 starter
I. Akhomach 22 8 (4) 323 0 2 6.69 rotation
T. Oluwaseyi 26 7 (2) 206 1 0 6.74 rotation
Nizar El Jmili — 2 (0) 10 0 0 6.21 depth

Stats are this season in all competitions. Model role is how much the availability model weighs each player before the trip to Liverpool: core, starter, rotation or depth, from several seasons of minutes and ratings.

Performance

Strength, recent form and playing style.

Strength La Liga · 20 clubs

L90 Strength5th of 20
67 Elo 1749 · World #38
Current Strength
65 With absences before 20 Oct: -9 Elo
Attack5th of 20
76 Scores 2.02 per match against an average top-five side
Defence4th of 20
73 Concedes 1.21 per match against an average top-five side

In forecast League average

L90 Strength comes from Elo; Attack and Defence from goals scored and conceded, expected goals (xG) and shots on target, all on fixed 0–100 scales shared by every league. These are the numbers the forecast uses.

Strong at both ends Defence first Attack first Struggling Attack → Defence → Barcelona: attack 97, defence 92, L90 Strength 93 Atletico Madrid: attack 82, defence 87, L90 Strength 81 Real Madrid: attack 89, defence 85, L90 Strength 89 Real Betis: attack 79, defence 59, L90 Strength 72 Real Sociedad: attack 62, defence 48, L90 Strength 58 Sevilla: attack 48, defence 57, L90 Strength 50 Alaves: attack 48, defence 55, L90 Strength 48 Celta Vigo: attack 36, defence 61, L90 Strength 54 Deportivo La Coruna: attack 40, defence 57, L90 Strength 45 Osasuna: attack 50, defence 50, L90 Strength 46 Athletic Club: attack 51, defence 64, L90 Strength 55 Villarreal: attack 76, defence 73, L90 Strength 67 Rayo Vallecano: attack 61, defence 60, L90 Strength 58 Getafe: attack 27, defence 59, L90 Strength 48 Espanyol: attack 36, defence 51, L90 Strength 44 Racing Santander: attack 42, defence 22, L90 Strength 41 Levante: attack 55, defence 41, L90 Strength 48 Elche: attack 39, defence 51, L90 Strength 44 Valencia: attack 39, defence 52, L90 Strength 51 Malaga: attack 28, defence 31, L90 Strength 41
Every La Liga club on the Attack and Defence scales. Dashed lines are the league average. Tap a crest to open that club.

Form last 5 for the index · last 10 listed

79
Form index · 6th of 20 in league
Points, last 5
10
Median top-5 club
6.2
Own forecasts
7.8 +2.2
Table12th L90 Strength5th Form6th

Lower in the table than their strength suggests.

Form compares points with what a median top-five club (L90 Strength 50) would take from the same fixtures, so wins over strong sides count for more; 50 is a typical run. "Own forecasts" is the gap to this club's pre-match expectations. Form is context: in our tests it did not improve the forecast.

  • D17 OctH · Elche0–02.1 xPts
  • W13 OctH · Napoli3–11.7 xPts
  • L10 OctA · Real Madrid0–10.7 xPts
  • W20 SepH · Levante3–11.9 xPts
  • W17 SepA · Malaga3–11.5 xPts
  • L14 SepH · Real Betis1–21.7 xPts
  • L8 SepA · Borussia Dortmund2–31.0 xPts
  • L5 SepH · Deportivo La Coruna2–32.2 xPts
  • L28 AugA · Alaves0–11.4 xPts
  • D23 AugA · Atletico Madrid2–21.0 xPts

Trends last 10, all competitions

Scored 7/10
Clean sheet 1/10
Conceded 2+ 4/10
Over 2.5 7/10
Both teams scored 7/10

Playing style vs La Liga average

VILLeagueRank
Goals scored 1.44 1.54 9th
Goals conceded 1.44 1.55 10th
xG 2.13 1.45 3rd
xG allowed 1.13 1.46 4th
Scored in 67% 75% 10th
Clean sheets 11% 25% 15th
VILLeagueRank
Shots 16.33 13.43 5th
Shots on target 6.33 4.90 4th
On target share 39% 35% 5th
Box share 68% 59% 3rd
Conversion 9% 11% 16th
VILLeagueRank
Shots allowed 12.00 13.36 4th
On target allowed 3.44 4.92 2nd
Blocks 5.14 3.56 1st
Save rate 77% 69% 3rd
VILLeagueRank
Possession 60% 50% 2nd
Passes 573 456 3rd
Pass accuracy 89% 84% 3rd
VILLeagueRank
Fouls 11.11 12.30 6th
Fouls suffered 11.67 12.30 12th
Yellow cards 1.78 2.17 6th
Red cards 0.00 0.11 1st
This league season, per match · 9 games. Rank among 20 clubs; for conceded, allowed, fouls and cards the lowest ranks 1st.
VILLeagueRank
Goals scored 1.60 1.56 7th
Goals conceded 1.50 1.55 10th
xG 2.12 1.44 3rd
xG allowed 1.30 1.43 9th
Scored in 70% 76% 11th
Clean sheets 10% 22% 15th
VILLeagueRank
Shots 16.50 13.43 4th
Shots on target 6.00 4.92 4th
On target share 36% 35% 11th
Box share 67% 60% 4th
Conversion 10% 11% 14th
VILLeagueRank
Shots allowed 12.00 13.15 5th
On target allowed 3.70 4.91 3rd
Blocks 4.63 3.45 1st
Save rate 72% 68% 6th
VILLeagueRank
Possession 59% 50% 3rd
Passes 560 450 3rd
Pass accuracy 88% 84% 3rd
VILLeagueRank
Fouls 10.40 12.32 4th
Fouls suffered 12.10 12.28 11th
Yellow cards 1.70 2.11 5th
Red cards 0.00 0.11 1st
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 games. Rank among 20 clubs; for conceded, allowed, fouls and cards the lowest ranks 1st.

Home and away this league season

Home1.00pts per game1-1-2 · 1.5–1.5 goals · 4 games
Away1.00pts per game1-2-2 · 1.4–1.4 goals · 5 games

Goal timing this league season · 9 games

1 0-15
2 1 16-30
5 6 31-45
1 1 46-60
1 1 61-75
4 3 76-90

scored conceded, per 15 minutes

In forecastVia Att/DefContextLeague average

Possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Goals, xG and shots on target feed the Attack and Defence ratings. The rest describes how the team plays and does not change the forecast.

Team rankings La Liga · 9 games · rank of 20

Attack

GF 13 7th / 20
GF/G 1.44 9th / 20
xG/G 2.13 3rd / 20
G − xG -0.69 20th / 20

Defence

GA 13 10th / 20
GA/G 1.44 10th / 20
xGA/G 1.13 4th / 20
xGA − GA -0.31 16th / 20

Overall

Pts 9 11th / 20
xPts 13.9 4th / 20
PPG 1.00 13th / 20
TR 6.87 7th / 20
GD +0 9th / 20
xGD +9.0 3rd / 20
W 2 9th / 20
L 4 12th / 20

Scorelines

  • 2–2×2
  • 0–1×2
  • 3–1×2
  • 2–3×1
  • 1–2×1
  • 0–0×1

Goals per game both teams

11% 0
22% 1
0% 2
11% 3
44% 4
11% 5+

Totals club · league

Over 1.5
67%76%
Over 2.5
67%56%
Over 3.5
56%39%
Both scored
67%59%
Clean sheet
11%25%
Failed to score
33%25%
ClubLeague average

This league season only. xPts adds up our pre-match win and draw chances (pure EloLambda, the same numbers as Form). xG and TR come from match data and describe the season so far; none of these rankings change the forecast directly.