Rennes vs Lorient – 30 Jan 2027

Ligue 1 Gameweek 18 Sat, Jan 30 · 16:00 Roazhon Park, Rennes

Rennes 6th · 13 pts · 7 played WWLWL

VS— Compare

Lorient 7th · 11 pts · 7 played WDLWW

Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel133 kmRest days1.8 · 7Matches / 14d4 · 2

Real contextStrength only

Rennes—%

Draw—%

Lorient—%

Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.

Weather (Rennes)

Forecast from 15 Jan

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Headlines

Attack

Defence

Streaks

Streak Lorient 6 Scoring in a row Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Scoring in a row

Team strength

Rennes

Lorient

— L90 StrengthIn forecast —

52 Current StrengthIn forecast 34

63 AttackIn forecast 28

39 DefenceIn forecast 45

42 Form indexContext 69

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Rennes

Attack—

Defense risk—

Lorient

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Rennes

Lorient

2.14 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.00

2.00 Goals concededVia Att/Def 0.86

2.22 xGVia Att/Def 1.16

2.39 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.08

-0.08 Goals minus xGContext -0.16

86% Scored inContext 86%

14% Clean sheetsContext 57%

16.29 ShotsContext 9.86

6.29 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.43

39% On target shareContext 35%

11.00 Shots in the boxContext 6.71

65% Box shareContext 70%

13% ConversionContext 10%

1.75 OffsidesContext 1.25

15.29 Shots allowedContext 13.86

5.86 On target allowedVia Att/Def 3.71

4.71 BlocksContext 4.71

3.71 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.33

63% Save rateContext 83%

51% PossessionIn forecast 46%

472 PassesContext 482

398 Accurate passesContext 408

84% Pass accuracyContext 85%

6.78 Team ratingContext 6.86

13.57 FoulsContext 9.29

11.43 Fouls sufferedContext 15.14

2.43 Yellow cardsContext 1.14

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

This league season, per match · 7 and 7 games

1.80 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.30

1.80 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.00

2.12 xGVia Att/Def 1.24

1.91 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.16

-0.32 Goals minus xGContext +0.06

80% Scored inContext 80%

20% Clean sheetsContext 50%

18.60 ShotsContext 9.80

6.30 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.40

34% On target shareContext 35%

12.60 Shots in the boxContext 6.10

66% Box shareContext 65%

10% ConversionContext 13%

2.43 OffsidesContext 1.43

14.70 Shots allowedContext 13.60

5.70 On target allowedVia Att/Def 3.80

4.89 BlocksContext 4.78

4.22 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.22

68% Save rateContext 81%

54% PossessionIn forecast 46%

476 PassesContext 458

403 Accurate passesContext 390

85% Pass accuracyContext 85%

6.81 Team ratingContext 6.83

12.40 FoulsContext 9.10

11.30 Fouls sufferedContext 13.40

2.00 Yellow cardsContext 1.30

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Rennes DLWWL

Rest1.8 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d4High congestion

Travel0 km2,783 km in 14d

Schedule load55%High

Form 42 · 7 pts vs 7.9 for an average club · -1.4 vs expected

L18 OctA · Paris FC3–41.4 xPts
W15 OctH · OFI2–12.2 xPts
W11 OctH · Auxerre4–12.1 xPts
L19 SepA · Lyon0–41.2 xPts
D16 SepA · Sturm Graz0–01.4 xPts

Lorient WDLWW

Rest7 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel133 km1,343 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

Form 69 · 10 pts vs 7.7 for an average club · +4.0 vs expected

W18 OctH · Monaco1–01.2 xPts
W10 OctH · Paris FC1–01.4 xPts
L19 SepA · Le Mans1–21.3 xPts
D12 SepH · Toulouse2–21.6 xPts
W5 SepA · Lens1–00.6 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Rennes	Lorient
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	High · 55	Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	Yes	No
Rest dayssince last match	1.8UEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase, 28 Jan	7Ligue 1 2026-2027, 23 Jan
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	133 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	2,783 km	1,343 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	2 / 4 / 5	1 / 2 / 3
Next matchdays after this one	7	7

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Rennes Last XI · not confirmed

4-3-3 · vs Paris FC (A) 3–4, 18 Oct

30B. Samba(G)

95P. Frankowski 24A. Rouault 4C. Cresswell 14B. Reynolds

28A. Thomasson 6D. Cissé 17S. Szymański

90I. Soumaré 9E. Lepaul 10L. Blas

Lorient Last XI · not confirmed

3-4-2-1 · vs Monaco (H) 1–0, 18 Oct

38Y. Mvogo(G)

95S. Touré 3M. Talbi 32N. Adjei

43Arsène Kouassi 62A. Avom 8Noah Cadiou 20D. Sylla

33Gabin Bernardeau 17J. Makengo

18I. Baldé

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Rennes Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Lorient Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Rennes · Home 2.50points per game · 4 home games

W-D-L: 3-1-0
Scored: 2.50
Conceded: 1.25

Lorient · Away 1.33points per game · 3 away games

W-D-L: 1-1-1
Scored: 0.67
Conceded: 0.67

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 2 this season

Opponent	Rennes	Lorient
Paris FC	L 3–4 A	W 1–0 H
Le Mans	W 3–2 H	L 1–2 A
Points	3 of 6 · 1.50 per game	3 of 6 · 1.50 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 8 of 8 meetings

2 Rennes wins0 draws6 Lorient wins

Goals per game1.25 – 1.63 Over 2.563% Both scored38% Clean sheets25% · 38%

24 Jan 2026Rennes0–2Lorient
24 Aug 2025Lorient4–0Rennes
3 Mar 2024Rennes1–2Lorient
22 Oct 2023Lorient2–1Rennes
27 Jan 2023Lorient2–1Rennes
7 Aug 2022Rennes0–1Lorient

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Rennes	Lorient
Scored per game	2.14	1.00
Conceded per game	2.00	0.86
Match goals	4.14	1.86
Over 1.5	86%	43%
Over 2.5	86%	43%
Over 3.5	71%	14%
Both teams scored	71%	43%
Clean sheets	14%	57%
Failed to score	14%	14%
Games	7	7

	Rennes	Lorient
Scored per game	1.80	1.30
Conceded per game	1.80	1.00
Match goals	3.60	2.30
Over 1.5	80%	60%
Over 2.5	80%	50%
Over 3.5	60%	30%
Both teams scored	70%	40%
Clean sheets	20%	50%
Failed to score	20%	20%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Rennes	Lorient	League
Corners
Corners won	6.83	3.00
Corners conceded	5.67	5.17
Match total	12.50	8.17	9.63
Over 8.5	67% 4/6	33% 2/6
Over 9.5	67% 4/6	33% 2/6
Over 10.5	67% 4/6	33% 2/6
Cards
Cards	2.43	1.14
Opponent cards	2.43	2.29
Match total	4.86	3.43	3.47
Over 3.5	86% 6/7	57% 4/7
Over 4.5	57% 4/7	43% 3/7

	Rennes	Lorient	League
Corners
Corners won	7.56	3.11
Corners conceded	5.11	5.67
Match total	12.67	8.78	9.63
Over 8.5	78% 7/9	44% 4/9
Over 9.5	67% 6/9	44% 4/9
Over 10.5	67% 6/9	44% 4/9
Cards
Cards	2.00	1.30
Opponent cards	2.50	2.00
Match total	4.50	3.30	3.47
Over 3.5	80% 8/10	50% 5/10
Over 4.5	40% 4/10	30% 3/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.