Primeira Liga Gameweek 26 Sun, Mar 15 2026 · 18:00 Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube, Vila do Conde
2–1 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 2.75 – 1.34
  • Jalen Blesa 27’, 48’
  • 66’ Rodrigo Pinho
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Rio Ave beat Estrela

Rio Ave entered as narrow favourites and won 2–1 through two Blesa goals. Estrela replied through a Pinho goal. Rio Ave finished with the higher xG (2.75 vs 1.34).

Rio Ave ✓45%
Draw29%
Estrela25%

Model vs reality

Rio Ave goals
2
Model 1.33 · xG 2.75
Estrela goals
1
Model 0.92 · xG 1.34
Total goals
3
Model 2.25 · xG 4.09
Score 2–1
9%
Most likely 1–1 (14%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 39%
Both scored
Yes
Model 45%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchJalen BlesaRio Ave · 2 goals
8.9
  • RefereeFabio Jose Costa Verissimo
  • Coaches— · Joao Nuno
  • VenueEstádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
  • Table before kick-offRio Ave 15th · Estrela 13th

Timeline

  1. J. BrabecYellow card
    8’
  2. M. ScholzeYellow card
    15’
  3. Jalen Blesa 1–0Assist D. Špikić
    27’
  4. O. PohlmannYellow card
    45+1’
  5. Half time · 1–0
  6. Jalen Blesa 2–0Assist D. Špikić
    48’
  7. ⇄ RobinhoFor I. Stoica
    54’
  8. ⇄ G. DoueFor Otávio
    54’
  9. ⇄ Ryan GuilhermeFor O. Pohlmann
    58’
  10. Rodrigo Pinho 2–1Assist Robinho
    66’
  11. E. van der GouwYellow card
    67’
  12. Ryan GuilhermeYellow card
    68’
  13. ⇄ João ToméFor D. Špikić
    76’
  14. ⇄ Tamble MonteiroFor N. Abbey
    76’
  15. G. DoueYellow card
    80’
  16. ⇄ Leandro AntonettiFor M. Scholze
    83’
  17. ⇄ G. LiavasFor Diogo Bezerra
    88’
  18. ⇄ F. PetrassoFor Jalen Blesa
    89’
  19. ⇄ Yahya KalleyFor B. Langa
    89’
  20. ⇄ T. MoustierFor Luan Patrick
    89’
  21. Full time · 2–1

Team stats

Rio Ave18 shots · 12 in box, 6 outside
Estrela11 shots · 5 in box, 6 outside
Rio AveEstrela
45% Possession 55%
2.75 Expected goals (xG) 1.34
2.18 Expected points (xPts) 0.66
18 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 3
3 Shots off target 6
9 Blocked shots 2
12 Shots inside the box 5
6 Shots outside the box 6
357 Passes 459
83% Pass accuracy 84%
10 Corners 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
15 Fouls 11
0 Offsides 1
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
6.90 Team rating 6.94

Line-ups

Rio Ave 4-2-3-1

996.3 E. van der Gouw(G)
66.9 N. Abbey ↓76’ 396.7 Gustavo Mancha 326.5 J. Brabec 177.2 M. Vrousai
56.9 A. Ntoi 447.2 T. Nikitscher
187.3 D. Špikić AA↓76’ 805.6 O. Pohlmann ↓58’ 76.3 Diogo Bezerra
118.9★ Jalen Blesa ↓89’
  • 99E. van der Gouw (G)6.3
  • 6N. Abbey↓76’6.9
  • 39Gustavo Mancha6.7
  • 32J. Brabec6.5
  • 17M. Vrousai7.2
  • 5A. Ntoi6.9
  • 44T. Nikitscher7.2
  • 18D. ŠpikićA×2↓76’7.3
  • 80O. Pohlmann↓58’5.6
  • 7Diogo Bezerra6.3
  • 11Jalen Blesa ★↓89’8.9

Substitutes used

  • 8Ryan Guilherme↑58’6.5
  • 20João Tomé↑76’6.6
  • 23F. Petrasso↑89’
  • 54G. Liavas↑88’
  • 9Tamble Monteiro↑76’6.3

Unused: C. Miszta, Leonardo Buta, A. Papakanellos, João Graça

Estrela 4-2-3-1

407.3 Renan Ribeiro(G)
246.6 B. Langa ↓89’ 836.9 Otávio ↓54’ 307.5 Luan Patrick ↓89’ 216.2 M. Scholze ↓83’
196.5 Paulo Moreira 67.5 Kevin Höög Jansson
106.5 I. Stoica ↓54’ 116.7 Jovane Cabral 997.0 A. Marcus
97.2 Rodrigo Pinho
  • 40Renan Ribeiro (G)7.3
  • 24B. Langa↓89’6.6
  • 83Otávio↓54’6.9
  • 30Luan Patrick↓89’7.5
  • 21M. Scholze↓83’6.2
  • 19Paulo Moreira6.5
  • 6Kevin Höög Jansson7.5
  • 10I. Stoica↓54’6.5
  • 11Jovane Cabral6.7
  • 99A. Marcus7.0
  • 9Rodrigo Pinho7.2

Substitutes used

  • 8RobinhoA↑54’8.0
  • 39G. Doue↑54’6.3
  • 2Yahya Kalley↑89’
  • 28T. Moustier↑89’
  • 7Leandro Antonetti↑83’

Unused: Dudu, Ni, A. Sola, Jorge Meireles

Coach: Joao Nuno

Player stats

Top rated
Jalen BlesaRio Ave8.9
2nd
RobinhoEstrela8.0
3rd
Luan PatrickEstrela7.5

Rio Ave

Estrela

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.