Rizespor
Attack—
Defense risk—
Our take
No forecast yet.
Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.
Away travel970 kmRest days7 · 7Matches / 14d2 · 2
Real contextStrength only
Rizespor—%
Draw—%
Eyüpspor—%
Weather (Rize)
Forecast from 6 Feb
Referee—Not appointed yet
Key insights
Automatic descriptive highlights for Rizespor and Eyüpspor. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.
Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.
xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.
Headlines
-
Insight
Rizespor
+0.33
xG difference per match
Underlying performance · 10-match window
xG for1.36xG against1.03
-
Insight
Eyüpspor
−1.04
xG difference per match
Underlying performance · 10-match window
xG for0.74xG against1.78
-
Alert
Eyüpspor
2.8
Goals conceded per match
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals conceded · W/D/L colours
-
Streak
Eyüpspor
5
Losses in a row
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Losses in a row
Defence
Team strength
RizesporEyüpspor
—
L90 StrengthIn forecast
—
22
Current StrengthIn forecast
13
22
AttackIn forecast
9
35
DefenceIn forecast
10
17
Form indexContext
5
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisEyüpspor
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
RizesporEyüpspor
1.00
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
0.25
1.38
Goals concededVia Att/Def
2.75
1.27
xGVia Att/Def
0.71
0.90
xG allowedVia Att/Def
2.00
-0.27
Goals minus xGContext
-0.46
63%
Scored inContext
13%
25%
Clean sheetsContext
0%
15.00
ShotsContext
11.00
4.75
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
3.25
32%
On target shareContext
30%
8.00
Shots in the boxContext
6.71
57%
Box shareContext
58%
7%
ConversionContext
2%
1.67
OffsidesContext
1.33
13.50
Shots allowedContext
13.38
4.25
On target allowedVia Att/Def
5.63
4.43
BlocksContext
3.75
3.13
Goalkeeper savesContext
3.00
74%
Save rateContext
53%
54%
PossessionIn forecast
50%
434
PassesContext
397
367
Accurate passesContext
338
85%
Pass accuracyContext
85%
6.83
Team ratingContext
6.52
10.25
FoulsContext
10.00
12.25
Fouls sufferedContext
16.00
1.75
Yellow cardsContext
1.38
0.13
Red cardsContext
0.13
1.00
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
0.90
1.70
Goals concededVia Att/Def
2.50
1.36
xGVia Att/Def
0.74
1.03
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.78
-0.36
Goals minus xGContext
+0.16
60%
Scored inContext
30%
20%
Clean sheetsContext
10%
15.50
ShotsContext
10.40
4.70
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
3.40
30%
On target shareContext
33%
8.80
Shots in the boxContext
5.78
59%
Box shareContext
51%
7%
ConversionContext
9%
1.71
OffsidesContext
1.50
14.10
Shots allowedContext
13.80
4.80
On target allowedVia Att/Def
5.60
4.44
BlocksContext
3.90
3.40
Goalkeeper savesContext
3.20
71%
Save rateContext
57%
54%
PossessionIn forecast
46%
433
PassesContext
368
367
Accurate passesContext
308
85%
Pass accuracyContext
84%
6.81
Team ratingContext
6.61
9.90
FoulsContext
10.10
11.60
Fouls sufferedContext
14.70
1.50
Yellow cardsContext
1.40
0.10
Red cardsContext
0.10
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
Rizespor
LWDLL
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel0 km1,780 km in 14d
Schedule load5%Low
Form 17 · 4 pts vs 8.4 for an average club · -2.5 vs expected
Eyüpspor
LLLLL
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel970 km1,126 km in 14d
Schedule load12%Low
Form 5 · 0 pts vs 8.3 for an average club · -4.6 vs expected
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| Rizespor |
Eyüpspor |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 5 | Low · 12 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 7Süper Lig 2026-2027, 14 Feb | 7Süper Lig 2026-2027, 14 Feb |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 970 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 1,780 km | 1,126 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 1 / 2 / 4 | 1 / 2 / 4 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 7 | 7 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
Rizespor
Last XI · not confirmed
75Y. Fofana(G)
17Z. Ariss
93M. Sagnan
21S. Bakayoko
54M. Pala
14T. Antalyalı
7V. Mihăilă
20Q. Laçi
10I. Olawoyin
11A. Awokoya-Mebude
9A. Sowe
Eyüpspor
Last XI · not confirmed
1E. Bilgin(G)
21S. Giordano
33Z. Jules
4S. Yaşar
5J. El Yamiq
77K. Michalak
15Charles-Andre Raux Yao
28T. İlter
88C. Massanga
9Y. Barası
98B. Boutobba
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences Rizespor
Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Eyüpspor
Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Total impact vs full squads
—
Home / Away this season
Rizespor · Home
0.00points per game · 3 home games
- W-D-L
- 0-0-3
- Scored
- 0.00
- Conceded
- 2.00
Eyüpspor · Away
0.00points per game · 4 away games
- W-D-L
- 0-0-4
- Scored
- 0.00
- Conceded
- 3.50
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Common opponents 5 this season
| Opponent | Rizespor | Eyüpspor |
|---|---|---|
| Çorum FK | L 1–2 A | L 0–3 A |
| Fenerbahce | L 0–3 H | L 0–8 A |
| Goztepe | D 2–2 A | L 0–4 H |
| Alanyaspor | L 0–1 H | W 2–1 H |
| Gazişehir Gaziantep | W 2–1 A | L 0–1 H |
| Points | 4 of 15 · 0.80 per game | 3 of 15 · 0.60 per game |
League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.
Head to head last 5 of 5 meetings
4 Rizespor wins0 draws1 Eyüpspor wins
Goals per game1.60 – 1.00
Over 2.560%
Both scored20%
Clean sheets60% · 20%
- 12 Sep 2026Eyüpspor0–2Rizespor
- 9 May 2026Eyüpspor4–0Rizespor
- 13 Dec 2025Rizespor3–0Eyüpspor
- 20 Apr 2025Rizespor1–0Eyüpspor
- 23 Nov 2024Eyüpspor1–2Rizespor
All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.
Goals & match trends
| Rizespor | Eyüpspor | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.00 | 0.25 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.38 | 2.75 | |
| Match goals | 2.38 | 3.00 | |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 75% | |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 50% | |
| Over 3.5 | 13% | 25% | |
| Both teams scored | 38% | 13% | |
| Clean sheets | 25% | 0% | |
| Failed to score | 38% | 88% | |
| Games | 8 | 8 |
| Rizespor | Eyüpspor | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.00 | 0.90 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.70 | 2.50 | |
| Match goals | 2.70 | 3.40 | |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 80% | |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 60% | |
| Over 3.5 | 30% | 40% | |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 20% | |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 10% | |
| Failed to score | 40% | 70% | |
| Games | 10 | 10 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| Rizespor | Eyüpspor | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 5.43 | 3.25 | |
| Corners conceded | 3.86 | 5.00 | |
| Match total | 9.29 | 8.25 | 9.12 |
| Over 8.5 | 43% 3/7 | 63% 5/8 | |
| Over 9.5 | 29% 2/7 | 38% 3/8 | |
| Over 10.5 | 29% 2/7 | 25% 2/8 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 1.88 | 1.63 | |
| Opponent cards | 1.38 | 1.63 | |
| Match total | 3.26 | 3.26 | 4.04 |
| Over 3.5 | 50% 4/8 | 50% 4/8 | |
| Over 4.5 | 25% 2/8 | 25% 2/8 | |
| Rizespor | Eyüpspor | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 5.78 | 3.22 | |
| Corners conceded | 3.67 | 5.11 | |
| Match total | 9.45 | 8.33 | 9.12 |
| Over 8.5 | 56% 5/9 | 67% 6/9 | |
| Over 9.5 | 33% 3/9 | 33% 3/9 | |
| Over 10.5 | 33% 3/9 | 22% 2/9 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 1.60 | 1.60 | |
| Opponent cards | 1.40 | 1.80 | |
| Match total | 3.00 | 3.40 | 4.04 |
| Over 3.5 | 50% 5/10 | 50% 5/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 20% 2/10 | 30% 3/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Goal timing
Rizespor8 games · scored 8 · conceded 11
1
2
0-15
1
16-30
2
2
31-45
46-60
1
2
61-75
3
5
76-90
Eyüpspor8 games · scored 2 · conceded 22
5
0-15
5
16-30
1
2
31-45
6
46-60
61-75
1
4
76-90
Rizespor10 games · scored 10 · conceded 17
1
2
0-15
2
2
16-30
3
3
31-45
1
46-60
1
3
61-75
3
6
76-90
Eyüpspor10 games · scored 9 · conceded 25
5
0-15
3
5
16-30
3
2
31-45
6
46-60
1
61-75
3
6
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Soon
Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.
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