SC Braga
Attack—
Defense risk—
Our take
SC Braga were slight favourites.
The two sides are close in strength. Recent goals, xG and shots on target tip the balance towards Real Betis. SC Braga had 4 days of rest, Real Betis 4 and had to travel 509 km.
Away travel509 kmRest days4 · 4Matches / 14d1 · 1
SC Braga41%
Draw28%
Real Betis31%
SC Braga43%
Draw27%
Real Betis30%
SC Braga41%
Draw28%
Real Betis31%
SC Braga34%
Draw28%
Real Betis38%
SC Braga40%
Draw29%
Real Betis31%
Over 2.5 48%
Both score 53%
Likeliest score 1–1
Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (Braga)
No weather data yet
Referee · GermanyFelix Zwayer
- Cards per match 4.8
- Penalties per match 0.31
- Matches 126
Team strength
SC Braga
Real Betis
64
L90 StrengthIn forecast
66
56
Current StrengthIn forecast
72
42
AttackIn forecast
79
59
DefenceIn forecast
59
—
Form indexContext
—
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisReal Betis
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
SC BragaReal Betis
2.00
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
2.00
1.00
Goals concededVia Att/Def
0.50
1.19
xGVia Att/Def
1.79
0.68
xG allowedVia Att/Def
0.62
+0.81
Goals minus xGContext
+0.21
50%
Scored inContext
50%
50%
Clean sheetsContext
50%
9.00
ShotsContext
17.00
5.00
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
8.00
56%
On target shareContext
47%
7.00
Shots in the boxContext
9.50
78%
Box shareContext
58%
22%
ConversionContext
12%
—
OffsidesContext
1.00
8.50
Shots allowedContext
5.50
3.00
On target allowedVia Att/Def
1.50
—
BlocksContext
2.00
2.00
Goalkeeper savesContext
1.50
67%
Save rateContext
100%
60%
PossessionIn forecast
65%
533
PassesContext
602
460
Accurate passesContext
530
86%
Pass accuracyContext
88%
6.92
Team ratingContext
7.09
14.00
FoulsContext
10.00
13.50
Fouls sufferedContext
11.00
3.50
Yellow cardsContext
2.00
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.00
2.10
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.20
1.10
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.00
1.52
xGVia Att/Def
1.37
0.87
xG allowedVia Att/Def
0.70
+0.58
Goals minus xGContext
-0.17
90%
Scored inContext
70%
40%
Clean sheetsContext
30%
10.20
ShotsContext
14.00
5.00
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
5.10
49%
On target shareContext
36%
7.78
Shots in the boxContext
8.40
74%
Box shareContext
59%
21%
ConversionContext
9%
1.88
OffsidesContext
1.86
10.20
Shots allowedContext
9.50
3.30
On target allowedVia Att/Def
3.50
3.11
BlocksContext
2.20
2.30
Goalkeeper savesContext
2.60
70%
Save rateContext
74%
60%
PossessionIn forecast
54%
549
PassesContext
497
479
Accurate passesContext
429
87%
Pass accuracyContext
86%
6.96
Team ratingContext
6.90
13.70
FoulsContext
9.50
10.40
Fouls sufferedContext
13.70
2.50
Yellow cardsContext
2.10
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.00
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
SC Braga
Rest4 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel0 km39 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Real Betis
Rest4 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel509 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load6%Low
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| SC Braga |
Real Betis |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 0 | Low · 6 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 4Primeira Liga 2025-2026, 4 Apr | 4La Liga 2025-2026, 4 Apr |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 509 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 39 km | 0 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 1 / 1 / 4 | 1 / 1 / 5 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 4 | 3.8 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
SC Braga
Confirmed XI
1L. Horníček(G)
26B. Arrey-Mbi
4S. Niakaté
14G. Lagerbielke
77Gabri Martínez
27F. Grillitsch
29Jean-Baptiste Gorby
2Víctor Gómez
50D. Rodrigues
21Ricardo Horta
18Pau Víctor
Real Betis
Confirmed XI
25Pau López(G)
12R. Rodríguez
4Natan
5Marc Bartra
24Aitor Ruibal
21Marc Roca
14S. Amrabat
10A. Ezzalzouli
15Álvaro Fidalgo
8Pablo Fornals
19C. Hernández
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences SC Braga
Scores -0.02 · concedes +0.03 goals Absences are shown before kick-off
Real Betis
Scores -0.01 · concedes +0.01 goals Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
- SC Braga-0.5 pp
- Draw+0.0 pp
- Real Betis+0.6 pp
Home / Away this season
SC Braga · Home
3.00points per game · 1 home games
- W-D-L
- 1-0-0
- Scored
- 4.00
- Conceded
- 0.00
Real Betis · Away
0.00points per game · 1 away games
- W-D-L
- 0-0-1
- Scored
- 0.00
- Conceded
- 1.00
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Head to head
No earlier meetings in our data.
Goals & match trends
| SC Braga | Real Betis | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 2.00 | 2.00 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.00 | 0.50 | |
| Match goals | 3.00 | 2.50 | 2.58 |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 50% | |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 50% | 48% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 50% | |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 0% | 53% |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 50% | |
| Failed to score | 50% | 50% | |
| Games | 2 | 2 |
| SC Braga | Real Betis | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 2.10 | 1.20 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.10 | 1.00 | |
| Match goals | 3.20 | 2.20 | 2.58 |
| Over 1.5 | 90% | 70% | |
| Over 2.5 | 80% | 40% | 48% |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | 20% | |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% | 53% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 30% | |
| Failed to score | 10% | 30% | |
| Games | 10 | 10 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| SC Braga | Real Betis | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 7.00 | 5.00 | |
| Corners conceded | 1.50 | 3.00 | |
| Match total | 8.50 | 8.00 | 9.36 |
| Over 8.5 | 50% 1/2 | 50% 1/2 | |
| Over 9.5 | 50% 1/2 | 50% 1/2 | |
| Over 10.5 | 50% 1/2 | 50% 1/2 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 3.50 | 2.50 | |
| Opponent cards | 1.00 | 2.50 | |
| Match total | 4.50 | 5.00 | 4.71 |
| Over 3.5 | 50% 1/2 | 100% 2/2 | |
| Over 4.5 | 50% 1/2 | 50% 1/2 | |
| SC Braga | Real Betis | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 6.22 | 4.30 | |
| Corners conceded | 2.78 | 4.40 | |
| Match total | 9.00 | 8.70 | 9.36 |
| Over 8.5 | 56% 5/9 | 50% 5/10 | |
| Over 9.5 | 44% 4/9 | 50% 5/10 | |
| Over 10.5 | 44% 4/9 | 30% 3/10 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 2.50 | 2.20 | |
| Opponent cards | 1.80 | 2.90 | |
| Match total | 4.30 | 5.10 | 4.71 |
| Over 3.5 | 50% 5/10 | 90% 9/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 50% 5/10 | 60% 6/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Referee · Felix Zwayer Germany · 126 matches before this one
Per match, all competitions
Yellow cards4.67league 4.69
Red cards0.15league 0.38
Cards 5+53%league 63%
Fouls21.8league 26.3
Penalties0.31league 0.19
Home wins44%league 50%
SC Braga1 with this referee
Record1-0-0
Cards · opp.2.0 · 3.0
Pens for · against0 · 0
- W23 Aug 23H · Panathinaikos2–12
Real BetisNo previous matches with this referee.
From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.
Goal timing
SC Braga2 games · scored 4 · conceded 2
2
0-15
16-30
1
1
31-45
1
46-60
1
61-75
76-90
Real Betis2 games · scored 4 · conceded 1
1
0-15
16-30
1
31-45
1
46-60
1
61-75
1
76-90
SC Braga10 games · scored 21 · conceded 11
5
0-15
4
2
16-30
3
2
31-45
3
2
46-60
1
3
61-75
5
2
76-90
Real Betis10 games · scored 12 · conceded 10
1
1
0-15
4
2
16-30
3
3
31-45
2
46-60
2
2
61-75
2
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Beta
Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.
