Bundesliga Gameweek 12 Sun, Nov 30 2025 · 18:30 Europa-Park Stadion, Freiburg im Breisgau
4–0 Full time · HT 2–0 xG 3.33 – 0.11
  • L. Kübler 12’
  • V. Grifo 26’
  • J. Manzambi 50’
  • P. Osterhage 90’
  • 28’ P. Nebel
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

SC Freiburg cruise past FSV Mainz 05

SC Freiburg entered as favourites and won 4–0 through goals from Kübler, Grifo, Manzambi and Osterhage. FSV Mainz 05 played with ten men from the 28th minute after Nebel was sent off. SC Freiburg finished with the higher xG (3.33 vs 0.11).

SC Freiburg ✓52%
Draw24%
FSV Mainz 0524%

Model vs reality

SC Freiburg goals
4
Model 1.81 · xG 3.33
FSV Mainz 05 goals
0
Model 1.16 · xG 0.11
Total goals
4
Model 2.97 · xG 3.44
Score 4–0
2%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 57%
Both scored
No
Model 58%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchJ. ManzambiSC Freiburg · 1 goal
8.9
  • RefereeDaniel Schlager
  • VenueEuropa-Park Stadion
  • Table before kick-offSC Freiburg 12th · FSV Mainz 05 18th

Timeline

  1. VAR L. HölerGoal Disallowed - offside
    6’
  2. L. Kübler 1–0Assist P. Lienhart
    12’
  3. V. Grifo 2–0Assist L. Höler
    26’
  4. P. NebelRed card · Serious foul
    28’
  5. Half time · 2–0
  6. J. Manzambi 3–0Assist Y. Suzuki
    50’
  7. Sota KawasakiYellow card · Tripping
    53’
  8. ⇄ L. MaloneyFor A. Nordin
    54’
  9. S. BellYellow card · Roughing
    65’
  10. ⇄ C. GünterFor L. Kübler
    68’
  11. ⇄ I. MatanovićFor Y. Suzuki
    69’
  12. ⇄ A. Hanche-OlsenFor S. Bell
    73’
  13. ⇄ W. BøvingFor J. Lee
    73’
  14. ⇄ A. SiebFor B. Hollerbach
    73’
  15. VAR J. ManzambiGoal Disallowed - offside
    78’
  16. ⇄ D. ScherhantFor J. Beste
    81’
  17. ⇄ P. OsterhageFor J. Manzambi
    81’
  18. P. Osterhage 4–0Assist M. Ginter
    90’
  19. Full time · 4–0

Team stats

SC Freiburg23 shots · 16 in box, 7 outside
FSV Mainz 051 shots · 1 outside
SC FreiburgFSV Mainz 05
75% Possession 25%
3.33 Expected goals (xG) 0.11
2.89 Expected points (xPts) 0.06
23 Shots 1
10 Shots on target 1
7 Shots off target 0
6 Blocked shots 0
16 Shots inside the box 0
7 Shots outside the box 1
687 Passes 234
90% Pass accuracy 71%
6 Corners 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
9 Fouls 12
4 Offsides 0
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
7.53 Team rating 6.32

Line-ups

SC Freiburg 4-4-1-1

17.2 N. Atubolu(G)
296.7 P. Treu 37.6 P. Lienhart A 288.3 M. Ginter A 178.0 L. Kübler ↓68’
328.6 V. Grifo 448.9★ J. Manzambi ↓81’ 86.3 M. Eggestein 196.6 J. Beste ↓81’
147.0 Y. Suzuki A↓69’
98.5 L. Höler A
  • 1N. Atubolu (G)7.2
  • 29P. Treu6.7
  • 3P. LienhartA7.6
  • 28M. GinterA8.3
  • 17L. Kübler↓68’8.0
  • 32V. Grifo8.6
  • 44J. Manzambi ★↓81’8.9
  • 8M. Eggestein6.3
  • 19J. Beste↓81’6.6
  • 14Y. SuzukiA↓69’7.0
  • 9L. HölerA8.5

Substitutes used

  • 30C. Günter↑68’6.3
  • 31I. Matanović↑69’5.9
  • 6P. Osterhage↑81’7.0
  • 7D. Scherhant↑81’7.0

Unused: F. Müller, M. Rosenfelder, A. Jung, N. Höfler, C. Adamu

FSV Mainz 05 3-4-2-1

17.2 L. Rieß(G)
486.2 K. Potulski 165.6 S. Bell ↓73’ 215.9 D. da Costa
26.0 P. Mwene 76.9 J. Lee ↓73’ 66.2 K. Sano 247.2 Sota Kawasaki
175.9 B. Hollerbach ↓73’ 84.7 P. Nebel
96.5 A. Nordin ↓54’
  • 1L. Rieß (G)7.2
  • 48K. Potulski6.2
  • 16S. Bell↓73’5.6
  • 21D. da Costa5.9
  • 2P. Mwene6.0
  • 7J. Lee↓73’6.9
  • 6K. Sano6.2
  • 24Sota Kawasaki7.2
  • 17B. Hollerbach↓73’5.9
  • 8P. Nebel4.7
  • 9A. Nordin↓54’6.5

Substitutes used

  • 15L. Maloney↑54’6.3
  • 14W. Bøving↑73’6.6
  • 25A. Hanche-Olsen↑73’6.3
  • 11A. Sieb↑73’6.3

Unused: D. Batz, N. Veratschnig, S. Widmer, Fabio Moreno Fell, B. Bobzien

Player stats

Top rated
J. ManzambiSC Freiburg8.9
2nd
V. GrifoSC Freiburg8.6
3rd
L. HölerSC Freiburg8.5

SC Freiburg

FSV Mainz 05

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.