Bundesliga Gameweek 16 Sat, Jan 10 2026 · 14:30 Europa-Park Stadion, Freiburg im Breisgau
SC Freiburg
2–1 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 2.83 – 0.64
Hamburger SV
  • V. Grifo 53’ (P)
  • I. Matanović 83’
  • 49’ L. Vušković
  • 51’ Daniel Elfadli
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

SC Freiburg come from behind to beat Hamburger SV

SC Freiburg entered as clear favourites, yet Hamburger SV led 1–0 after 49 minutes through a Vušković goal. But Grifo and Matanović scored to turn it around for SC Freiburg, who won 2–1. Hamburger SV played with ten men from the 51st minute after Elfadli was sent off. SC Freiburg finished with the higher xG (2.83 vs 0.64).

SC Freiburg ✓62%
Draw21%
Hamburger SV17%

Model vs reality

SC Freiburg goals
2
Model 2.07 · xG 2.83
Hamburger SV goals
1
Model 0.98 · xG 0.64
Total goals
3
Model 3.06 · xG 3.47
Score 2–1
10%
Most likely 1–1 (10%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 59%
Both scored
Yes
Model 55%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchL. VuškovićHamburger SV · 1 goal
7.7
  • RefereeTimo Gerach
  • VenueEuropa-Park Stadion
  • Table before kick-offSC Freiburg 9th · Hamburger SV 13th

Timeline

  1. Daniel ElfadliYellow card · Foul
    4’
  2. P. TreuYellow card · Delay of game
    39’
  3. P. LienhartYellow card · Holding
    43’
  4. Half time · 0–0
  5. ⇄ A. JungFor P. Lienhart
    46’
  6. L. Vušković 0–1Assist M. Muheim
    49’
  7. Daniel ElfadliSecond yellow · Tripping
    51’
  8. V. Grifo (pen) 1–1
    53’
  9. ⇄ J. TorunarighaFor Jean-Luc Dompe
    57’
  10. L. VuškovićYellow card · Tripping
    63’
  11. ⇄ I. MatanovićFor L. Höler
    65’
  12. ⇄ P. OsterhageFor V. Grifo
    65’
  13. D. Heuer FernandesYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    77’
  14. ⇄ Alexander Røssing-LelesiitFor D. Downs
    78’
  15. ⇄ G. GocholeishviliFor B. Jatta
    78’
  16. ⇄ Guilherme RamosFor Fábio Vieira
    79’
  17. ⇄ J. BesteFor P. Treu
    79’
  18. I. Matanović 2–1Assist J. Beste
    83’
  19. ⇄ R. KönigsdörfferFor A. Sambi Lokonga
    90+2’
  20. ⇄ N. HöflerFor J. Manzambi
    90+4’
  21. P. OsterhageYellow card · Foul
    90+7’
  22. Alexander Røssing-LelesiitYellow card
    90+12’
  23. Full time · 2–1

Team stats

SC Freiburg20 shots · 14 in box, 6 outside
Hamburger SV10 shots · 5 in box, 5 outside
SC FreiburgHamburger SV
61% Possession 39%
2.83 Expected goals (xG) 0.64
2.59 Expected points (xPts) 0.29
20 Shots 10
7 Shots on target 6
7 Shots off target 4
6 Blocked shots 0
14 Shots inside the box 5
6 Shots outside the box 5
502 Passes 325
84% Pass accuracy 77%
0 Corners 3
6 Goalkeeper saves 5
13 Fouls 11
1 Offsides 0
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
6.80 Team rating 6.71

Line-ups

SC Freiburg 4-2-3-1

17.2 N. Atubolu(G)
307.3 C. Günter 37.2 P. Lienhart ↓46’ 287.2 M. Ginter 176.2 L. Kübler
446.9 J. Manzambi ↓90’ 86.3 M. Eggestein
327.2 V. Grifo ↓65’ 146.7 Y. Suzuki 296.3 P. Treu ↓79’
96.6 L. Höler ↓65’
  • 1N. Atubolu (G)7.2
  • 30C. Günter7.3
  • 3P. Lienhart↓46’7.2
  • 28M. Ginter7.2
  • 17L. Kübler6.2
  • 44J. Manzambi↓90’6.9
  • 8M. Eggestein6.3
  • 32V. Grifo↓65’7.2
  • 14Y. Suzuki6.7
  • 29P. Treu↓79’6.3
  • 9L. Höler↓65’6.6

Substitutes used

  • 5A. Jung↑46’6.5
  • 6P. Osterhage↑65’6.2
  • 31I. Matanović↑65’7.2
  • 19J. BesteA↑79’7.5
  • 27N. Höfler↑90’

Unused: F. Müller, J. Makengo, D. Scherhant, C. Adamu

Hamburger SV 3-4-3

17.2 D. Heuer Fernandes(G)
84.9 Daniel Elfadli 447.7★ L. Vušković 246.5 N. Capaldo
287.2 M. Muheim A 217.2 N. Remberg 66.6 A. Sambi Lokonga ↓90’ 186.2 B. Jatta ↓78’
76.6 Jean-Luc Dompe ↓57’ 196.0 D. Downs ↓78’ 207.0 Fábio Vieira ↓79’
  • 1D. Heuer Fernandes (G)7.2
  • 8Daniel Elfadli4.9
  • 44L. Vušković ★7.7
  • 24N. Capaldo6.5
  • 28M. MuheimA7.2
  • 21N. Remberg7.2
  • 6A. Sambi Lokonga↓90’6.6
  • 18B. Jatta↓78’6.2
  • 7Jean-Luc Dompe↓57’6.6
  • 19D. Downs↓78’6.0
  • 20Fábio Vieira↓79’7.0

Substitutes used

  • 25J. Torunarigha↑57’6.3
  • 38Alexander Røssing-Lelesiit↑78’6.7
  • 13Guilherme Ramos↑79’6.2
  • 16G. Gocholeishvili↑78’6.2
  • 11R. Königsdörffer↑90’6.5

Unused: H. Hermann, W. Mikelbrencis, Omar Megeed, I. Pherai

Player stats

Top rated
L. VuškovićHamburger SV7.7
2nd
C. GünterSC Freiburg7.3
3rd
N. AtuboluSC Freiburg7.2

SC Freiburg

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
N. Atubolu G 90 0 0 5 sv 0 58% 33 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.2
C. Günter D 90 0 0 0 (0) 4 80% 25 0 0 0/1 0/1 7.3
P. Lienhart D 46 0 0 0 (0) 0 92% 61 1 1 0/0 1/0 7.2
M. Ginter D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 90% 82 0 2 0/0 2/1 7.2
L. Kübler D 90 0 0 2 (0) 0 82% 44 1 1 0/0 1/1 6.2
J. Manzambi M 90 0 0 1 (0) 2 83% 60 1 3 0/0 2/2 6.9
M. Eggestein M 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 84% 56 5 0 0/0 2/1 6.3
V. Grifo M 65 1 0 1 (1) 1 79% 28 1 0 0/0 1/1 7.2
Y. Suzuki M 90 0 0 4 (2) 1 78% 23 2 0 0/0 0/2 6.7
P. Treu D 79 0 0 0 (0) 4 90% 29 1 0 1/2 2/1 6.3
L. Höler F 65 0 0 2 (2) 1 89% 9 0 0 0/0 1/1 6.6
A. Jung D 44 0 0 0 (0) 0 87% 30 0 1 0/0 0/0 6.5
P. Osterhage M 25 0 0 0 (0) 0 84% 19 0 0 1/2 0/0 6.2
I. Matanović F 25 1 0 3 (2) 0 80% 5 0 0 0/1 0/0 7.2
J. Beste D 11 0 1 0 (0) 1 67% 6 1 0 0/0 1/0 7.5
N. Höfler M 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 2 0 0 0/0 0/0 —

Hamburger SV

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
D. Heuer Fernandes G 90 0 0 5 sv 0 68% 56 0 0 0/0 0/1 7.2
Daniel Elfadli D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 29 0 0 0/0 3/1 4.9
L. Vušković D 90 1 0 2 (1) 0 72% 43 0 0 0/0 2/0 7.7
N. Capaldo M 90 0 0 2 (0) 1 79% 28 6 1 0/0 1/2 6.5
M. Muheim D 90 0 1 1 (1) 3 74% 38 0 0 2/2 0/1 7.2
N. Remberg M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 92% 36 2 0 0/1 0/4 7.2
A. Sambi Lokonga M 90 0 0 1 (0) 2 78% 27 0 0 0/0 1/2 6.6
B. Jatta M 78 0 0 1 (0) 0 63% 8 0 4 0/1 1/0 6.2
Jean-Luc Dompe F 57 0 0 0 (0) 0 82% 11 1 0 2/3 0/0 6.6
D. Downs F 78 0 0 1 (1) 0 88% 8 0 0 0/1 1/0 6.0
Fábio Vieira M 79 0 0 1 (1) 1 84% 19 1 0 0/0 0/1 7.0
J. Torunarigha D 33 0 0 0 (0) 0 65% 20 0 1 1/1 0/0 6.3
Alexander Røssing-Lelesiit F 12 0 0 0 (0) 1 75% 4 0 0 0/0 1/1 6.7
Guilherme Ramos D 11 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 6 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.2
G. Gocholeishvili D 12 0 0 0 (0) 0 80% 5 0 0 1/1 0/0 6.2
R. Königsdörffer F 1 0 0 1 (1) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.