UEFA Europa League Matchday 4 Thu, Nov 6 2025 · 17:45 Merkur Arena, Graz
Sturm Graz
0–0 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 0.05 – 1.41
Nottingham Forest
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

No way through for Sturm Graz or Nottingham Forest

Nottingham Forest entered as narrow favourites, but neither side found a way through. Nottingham Forest finished with the higher xG (1.41 vs 0.05). On the chances created, Nottingham Forest deserved more: 2.5 expected points against the 1 point they took.

Sturm Graz29%
Draw ✓26%
Nottingham Forest44%

Model vs reality

Sturm Graz goals
0
Model 1.22 · xG 0.05
Nottingham Forest goals
0
Model 1.54 · xG 1.41
Total goals
0
Model 2.76 · xG 1.46
Score 0–0
7%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 52%
Both scored
No
Model 56%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchA. MalićSturm Graz
8.3
  • RefereeMykola Balakin
  • VenueMerkur Arena
  • Table before kick-offSturm Graz 27th · Nottingham Forest 17th

Timeline

  1. ✕ M. Gibbs-WhiteMissed penalty
    35’
  2. Half time · 0–0
  3. R. YatesYellow card · Holding
    48’
  4. ⇄ S. JattaFor M. Malone
    57’
  5. ⇄ D. LavaléeFor N. Geyrhofer
    57’
  6. ⇄ A. KayomboFor O. Kiteishvili
    57’
  7. ⇄ D. NdoyeFor J. McAtee
    66’
  8. A. KayomboYellow card · Roughing
    74’
  9. ⇄ MurilloFor M. Gibbs-White
    77’
  10. ⇄ S. HierländerFor T. Horvat
    78’
  11. ⇄ Z. AbbottFor A. Kalimuendo
    79’
  12. ⇄ J. MitchellFor A. Malić
    88’
  13. Full time · 0–0

Team stats

Sturm Graz2 shots · 1 in box, 1 outside
Nottingham Forest9 shots · 7 in box, 2 outside
Sturm GrazNottingham Forest
42% Possession 58%
0.05 Expected goals (xG) 1.41
0.29 Expected points (xPts) 2.47
2 Shots 9
2 Shots on target 2
0 Shots off target 5
0 Blocked shots 2
1 Shots inside the box 7
1 Shots outside the box 2
379 Passes 509
77% Pass accuracy 86%
0 Corners 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
17 Fouls 13
2 Offsides 2
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
6.87 Team rating 6.95

Line-ups

Sturm Graz 4-3-1-2

17.2 O. Christensen(G)
177.2 E. Karić 357.9 N. Geyrhofer ↓57’ 476.7 E. Aiwu 238.3★ A. Malić ↓88’
436.3 J. Hödl 46.2 J. Gorenc Stankovič 196.6 T. Horvat ↓78’
106.9 O. Kiteishvili ↓57’
776.2 M. Malone ↓57’ 86.9 Filip Rózga
  • 1O. Christensen (G)7.2
  • 17E. Karić7.2
  • 35N. Geyrhofer↓57’7.9
  • 47E. Aiwu6.7
  • 23A. Malić ★↓88’8.3
  • 43J. Hödl6.3
  • 4J. Gorenc Stankovič6.2
  • 19T. Horvat↓78’6.6
  • 10O. Kiteishvili↓57’6.9
  • 77M. Malone↓57’6.2
  • 8Filip Rózga6.9

Substitutes used

  • 24D. Lavalée↑57’6.6
  • 20S. Jatta↑57’6.2
  • 11A. Kayombo↑57’6.2
  • 25S. Hierländer↑78’6.3
  • 2J. Mitchell↑88’

Unused: M. Bignetti, D. Khudyakov, T. Oermann, J. Beck, L. Grgić

Nottingham Forest 4-2-3-1

137.2 John Victor(G)
37.9 N. Williams 48.2 Morato 317.2 N. Milenković 377.3 N. Savona
67.2 I. Sangaré 226.3 R. Yates
166.3 N. Domínguez 105.7 M. Gibbs-White ↓77’ 246.6 J. McAtee ↓66’
156.5 A. Kalimuendo ↓79’
  • 13John Victor (G)7.2
  • 3N. Williams7.9
  • 4Morato8.2
  • 31N. Milenković7.2
  • 37N. Savona7.3
  • 6I. Sangaré7.2
  • 22R. Yates6.3
  • 16N. Domínguez6.3
  • 10M. Gibbs-White↓77’5.7
  • 24J. McAtee↓66’6.6
  • 15A. Kalimuendo↓79’6.5

Substitutes used

  • 14D. Ndoye↑66’6.3
  • 5Murillo↑77’6.6
  • 44Z. Abbott↑79’6.7

Unused: M. Sels, Keehan Willows, W. Boly, Ben Hammond, Jimmy Sinclair, Jack Thompson, Archie Whitehall

Player stats

Top rated
A. MalićSturm Graz8.3
2nd
MoratoNottingham Forest8.2
3rd
N. GeyrhoferSturm Graz7.9

Sturm Graz

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
O. Christensen G 90 0 0 1 sv 0 58% 33 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.2
E. Karić D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 83% 52 2 2 0/0 1/0 7.2
N. Geyrhofer D 57 0 0 0 (0) 0 91% 44 1 0 0/0 0/0 7.9
E. Aiwu D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 85% 40 0 1 0/0 1/0 6.7
A. Malić D 88 0 0 0 (0) 0 68% 25 6 1 0/0 2/0 8.3
J. Hödl M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 77% 35 0 0 2/4 4/1 6.3
J. Gorenc Stankovič M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 87% 38 0 2 0/0 1/1 6.2
T. Horvat M 78 0 0 1 (1) 0 57% 23 2 2 0/0 1/1 6.6
O. Kiteishvili M 57 0 0 1 (1) 0 74% 35 1 1 1/3 1/2 6.9
M. Malone F 57 0 0 0 (0) 1 80% 10 0 1 2/3 0/1 6.2
Filip Rózga M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 67% 21 4 0 0/2 3/4 6.9
D. Lavalée D 33 0 0 0 (0) 0 81% 16 1 0 0/1 0/2 6.6
S. Jatta F 33 0 0 0 (0) 0 0% 1 0 0 0/1 1/0 6.2
A. Kayombo F 33 0 0 0 (0) 0 75% 4 0 0 0/0 2/0 6.2
S. Hierländer M 12 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 2 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
J. Mitchell D 2 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 —

Nottingham Forest

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
John Victor G 90 0 0 2 sv 0 90% 20 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.2
N. Williams D 90 0 0 0 (0) 3 93% 43 0 1 1/3 0/3 7.9
Morato D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 91% 74 4 1 0/0 0/0 8.2
N. Milenković D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 85% 73 0 1 0/0 1/2 7.2
N. Savona D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 77% 48 5 0 0/3 2/2 7.3
I. Sangaré M 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 89% 72 5 1 0/1 3/0 7.2
R. Yates M 90 0 0 2 (1) 0 89% 46 2 2 0/0 2/3 6.3
N. Domínguez M 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 85% 34 1 0 1/2 0/1 6.3
M. Gibbs-White M 77 0 0 1 (1) 1 79% 38 1 0 2/3 1/1 5.7
J. McAtee M 66 0 0 1 (0) 0 70% 30 3 2 1/1 1/0 6.6
A. Kalimuendo F 79 0 0 0 (0) 0 78% 9 0 1 2/3 2/3 6.5
D. Ndoye F 24 0 0 0 (0) 0 75% 4 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.3
Murillo D 13 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 11 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.6
Z. Abbott D 11 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 7 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.7

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.