Premier League Gameweek 11 Sat, Nov 8 2025 · 17:30 Stadium of Light, Sunderland
2–2 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 0.44 – 1.91
  • D. Ballard 36’
  • B. Brobbey 90’
  • 54’ B. Saka
  • 74’ L. Trossard
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Sunderland snatch a late draw

Arsenal entered as clear favourites and led 2–1 after 74 minutes through goals from Saka and Trossard. But Brobbey scored to rescue a draw for Sunderland. Arsenal finished with the higher xG (1.91 vs 0.44). On the chances created, Arsenal deserved more: 2.4 expected points against the 1 point they took.

Sunderland9%
Draw ✓16%
Arsenal74%

Model vs reality

Sunderland goals
2
Model 0.82 · xG 0.44
Arsenal goals
2
Model 2.54 · xG 1.91
Total goals
4
Model 3.35 · xG 2.35
Score 2–2
4%
Most likely 0–2 (11%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 65%
Both scored
Yes
Model 52%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchB. SakaArsenal · 1 goal
7.9
  • RefereeCraig Pawson
  • VenueStadium of Light
  • Table before kick-offSunderland 5th · Arsenal 1st

Timeline

  1. Martín ZubimendiYellow card · Foul
    36’
  2. D. Ballard 1–0Assist N. Mukiele
    36’
  3. G. XhakaYellow card · Foul
    45+1’
  4. Half time · 1–0
  5. B. Saka 1–1Assist Mikel Merino
    54’
  6. ⇄ B. BrobbeyFor W. Isidor
    63’
  7. ⇄ C. TalbiFor B. Traoré
    64’
  8. ⇄ S. AdingraFor E. Le Fée
    64’
  9. ReinildoYellow card · Foul
    72’
  10. L. Trossard 1–2Assist Martín Zubimendi
    74’
  11. ⇄ Eliezer MayendaFor L. Geertruida
    87’
  12. ⇄ Cristhian MosqueraFor E. Eze
    88’
  13. B. Brobbey 2–2
    90’
  14. Full time · 2–2

Team stats

Sunderland6 shots · 6 in box
Arsenal17 shots · 12 in box, 5 outside
SunderlandArsenal
35% Possession 65%
0.44 Expected goals (xG) 1.91
0.42 Expected points (xPts) 2.38
6 Shots 17
2 Shots on target 7
2 Shots off target 6
2 Blocked shots 4
6 Shots inside the box 12
0 Shots outside the box 5
287 Passes 529
79% Pass accuracy 87%
2 Corners 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 0
13 Fouls 13
2 Offsides 0
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
6.63 Team rating 6.87

Line-ups

Sunderland 5-4-1

226.3 R. Roefs(G)
175.6 Reinildo 66.7 L. Geertruida ↓87’ 57.6 D. Ballard 206.6 N. Mukiele A 326.6 T. Hume
285.6 E. Le Fée ↓64’ 277.3 N. Sadiki 347.3 G. Xhaka 256.5 B. Traoré ↓64’
186.2 W. Isidor ↓63’
  • 22R. Roefs (G)6.3
  • 17Reinildo5.6
  • 6L. Geertruida↓87’6.7
  • 5D. Ballard7.6
  • 20N. MukieleA6.6
  • 32T. Hume6.6
  • 28E. Le Fée↓64’5.6
  • 27N. Sadiki7.3
  • 34G. Xhaka7.3
  • 25B. Traoré↓64’6.5
  • 18W. Isidor↓63’6.2

Substitutes used

  • 9B. Brobbey↑63’7.3
  • 7C. Talbi↑64’6.7
  • 24S. Adingra↑64’6.5
  • 12Eliezer Mayenda↑87’6.2

Unused: A. Patterson, A. Masuaku, C. Rigg, L. O'Nien, D. Neil

Arsenal 4-2-3-1

15.9 David Raya(G)
336.2 R. Calafiori 67.0 Gabriel Magalhães 26.9 W. Saliba 126.5 J. Timber
417.7 D. Rice 367.2 Martín Zubimendi A
197.5 L. Trossard 106.6 E. Eze ↓88’ 77.9★ B. Saka
236.2 Mikel Merino A
  • 1David Raya (G)5.9
  • 33R. Calafiori6.2
  • 6Gabriel Magalhães7.0
  • 2W. Saliba6.9
  • 12J. Timber6.5
  • 41D. Rice7.7
  • 36Martín ZubimendiA7.2
  • 19L. Trossard7.5
  • 10E. Eze↓88’6.6
  • 7B. Saka ★7.9
  • 23Mikel MerinoA6.2

Substitutes used

  • 3Cristhian Mosquera↑88’6.2

Unused: Kepa, B. White, P. Hincapié, E. Nwaneri, M. Lewis-Skelly, M. Dowman, A. Annous, C. Nørgaard

Player stats

Top rated
B. SakaArsenal7.9
2nd
D. RiceArsenal7.7
3rd
D. BallardSunderland7.6

Sunderland

Arsenal

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.