Primeira Liga Gameweek 31 Sat, Apr 25 2026 · 15:30 Estádio João Cardoso, Tondela
0–2 Full time · HT 0–2 xG 1.82 – 0.83
  • 22’ J. Ramírez
  • 31’ (OG) Brayan Medina
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Nacional beat Tondela

Nacional entered as narrow favourites and won 2–0 through goals from Ramírez and an own goal. Nacional won despite the lower xG; Tondela created the better chances (1.82 vs 0.83). On the chances created, Tondela deserved more: 2.0 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Tondela33%
Draw30%
Nacional ✓37%

Model vs reality

Tondela goals
0
Model 1.10 · xG 1.82
Nacional goals
2
Model 1.18 · xG 0.83
Total goals
2
Model 2.28 · xG 2.65
Score 0–2
7%
Most likely 1–1 (14%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 40%
Both scored
No
Model 47%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchFilipe SoaresNacional
7.6
  • RefereeHelder Malheiro
  • VenueEstádio João Cardoso
  • Table before kick-offTondela 17th · Nacional 14th

Timeline

  1. ⇄ Pablo RuanFor Gabriel Veron
    14’
  2. J. Ramírez 0–1Assist Daniel Júnior
    22’
  3. Brayan Medina (own goal) 0–2
    31’
  4. ⇄ Tiago MansoFor Rodrigo Conceição
    38’
  5. Half time · 0–2
  6. Tiago MansoYellow card · misses next match
    58’
  7. ⇄ M. AïkoFor Hugo Félix
    61’
  8. ⇄ S. SitholeFor A. van der Heide
    61’
  9. J. RamírezYellow card
    64’
  10. ⇄ B. Mbunga KimpiokaFor J. Hodge
    76’
  11. ⇄ André SousaFor Daniel Júnior
    78’
  12. M. AïkoYellow card
    90’
  13. ⇄ Joel SilvaFor Filipe Soares
    90+1’
  14. ⇄ João AurélioFor José Gomes
    90+1’
  15. Full time · 0–2

Team stats

Tondela21 shots · 13 in box, 8 outside
Nacional17 shots · 8 in box, 9 outside
TondelaNacional
62% Possession 38%
1.82 Expected goals (xG) 0.83
2.05 Expected points (xPts) 0.73
21 Shots 17
5 Shots on target 6
8 Shots off target 4
8 Blocked shots 7
13 Shots inside the box 8
8 Shots outside the box 9
440 Passes 275
83% Pass accuracy 67%
7 Corners 7
5 Goalkeeper saves 5
16 Fouls 14
1 Offsides 1
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
6.78 Team rating 7.02

Line-ups

Tondela 4-3-3

317.3 Bernardo Fontes(G)
276.2 Rodrigo Conceição ↓38’ 206.3 Brayan Medina 446.2 João Silva 26.9 Bebeto
796.7 Hugo Félix ↓61’ 106.3 J. Hodge ↓76’ 326.6 Juan Rodríguez
266.9 A. van der Heide ↓61’ 167.3 Rony Lopes 707.5 M. Moudjatovic
  • 31Bernardo Fontes (G)7.3
  • 27Rodrigo Conceição↓38’6.2
  • 20Brayan Medina6.3
  • 44João Silva6.2
  • 2Bebeto6.9
  • 79Hugo Félix↓61’6.7
  • 10J. Hodge↓76’6.3
  • 32Juan Rodríguez6.6
  • 26A. van der Heide↓61’6.9
  • 16Rony Lopes7.3
  • 70M. Moudjatovic7.5

Substitutes used

  • 48Tiago Manso↑38’7.3
  • 15S. Sithole↑61’6.7
  • 90M. Aïko↑61’6.2
  • 23B. Mbunga Kimpioka↑76’6.3

Unused: Lucas Cañizares, João Afonso, R. Vita, Hélder Tavares, J. Siebatcheu

Nacional 4-2-3-1

17.2 Kaique(G)
56.2 José Gomes ↓90’ 387.3 Zé Vitor 347.2 Léo Santos 166.9 Alan Nuñez
67.2 Matheus Dias 227.6★ Filipe Soares ↓90’
116.7 Paulinho Bóia 276.3 Gabriel Veron ↓14’ 106.9 Daniel Júnior A↓78’
97.5 J. Ramírez
  • 1Kaique (G)7.2
  • 5José Gomes↓90’6.2
  • 38Zé Vitor7.3
  • 34Léo Santos7.2
  • 16Alan Nuñez6.9
  • 6Matheus Dias7.2
  • 22Filipe Soares ★↓90’7.6
  • 11Paulinho Bóia6.7
  • 27Gabriel Veron↓14’6.3
  • 10Daniel JúniorA↓78’6.9
  • 9J. Ramírez7.5

Substitutes used

  • 2João Aurélio↑90’
  • 26Joel Silva↑90’
  • 18André Sousa↑78’6.7
  • 99Pablo Ruan↑14’6.6

Unused: Kevyn, Francisco Gonçalves, Witi, Martim Watts, Lucas João

Player stats

Top rated
Filipe SoaresNacional7.6
2nd
M. MoudjatovicTondela7.5
3rd
J. RamírezNacional7.5

Tondela

Nacional

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.