Ligue 1 Gameweek 27 Sat, Mar 21 2026 · 16:00 Stadium de Toulouse, Toulouse
Toulouse
1–0 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 1.15 – 0.40
Lorient
  • Emersonn 82’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Emersonn goal decides it for Toulouse

Toulouse entered as narrow favourites and won 1–0 through a Emersonn goal. Toulouse finished with the higher xG (1.15 vs 0.40).

Toulouse ✓43%
Draw28%
Lorient29%

Model vs reality

Toulouse goals
1
Model 1.41 · xG 1.15
Lorient goals
0
Model 1.10 · xG 0.40
Total goals
1
Model 2.51 · xG 1.55
Score 1–0
11%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 46%
Both scored
No
Model 51%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchC. CásseresToulouse · 1 assist
7.7
  • RefereeGuillaume Paradis
  • VenueStadium de Toulouse
  • Table before kick-offToulouse 11th · Lorient 9th

Timeline

  1. S. HidalgoYellow card · Roughing
    5’
  2. Half time · 0–0
  3. Noah CadiouYellow card · Roughing
    48’
  4. ⇄ EmersonnFor J. Russell-Rowe
    65’
  5. ⇄ W. KamanziFor S. Hidalgo
    65’
  6. A. FayeYellow card · Roughing
    71’
  7. ⇄ S. SoumanoFor B. Dieng
    74’
  8. ⇄ A. TosinFor D. Karim
    74’
  9. ⇄ P. KatserisFor T. Le Bris
    79’
  10. Emersonn 1–0Assist C. Cásseres
    82’
  11. ⇄ M. SauerFor D. Sidibé
    85’
  12. A. DønnumYellow card · Delay of game
    86’
  13. J. MakengoYellow card · Roughing
    90+11’
  14. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

Toulouse12 shots · 8 in box, 4 outside
Lorient7 shots · 3 in box, 4 outside
ToulouseLorient
42% Possession 58%
1.15 Expected goals (xG) 0.40
1.97 Expected points (xPts) 0.71
12 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 2
6 Shots off target 3
2 Blocked shots 2
8 Shots inside the box 3
4 Shots outside the box 4
436 Passes 596
83% Pass accuracy 89%
1 Corners 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Fouls 10
1 Offsides 2
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
6.88 Team rating 6.70

Line-ups

Toulouse 3-4-3

16.9 G. Restes(G)
27.0 R. Nicolaisen 357.0 S. Koumbassa 36.9 M. McKenzie
197.3 D. Sidibé ↓85’ 186.9 Pape Diop 237.7★ C. Cásseres A 156.3 A. Dønnum
106.6 G. Gboho 136.3 J. Russell-Rowe ↓65’ 116.5 S. Hidalgo ↓65’
  • 1G. Restes (G)6.9
  • 2R. Nicolaisen7.0
  • 35S. Koumbassa7.0
  • 3M. McKenzie6.9
  • 19D. Sidibé↓85’7.3
  • 18Pape Diop6.9
  • 23C. Cásseres ★A7.7
  • 15A. Dønnum6.3
  • 10G. Gboho6.6
  • 13J. Russell-Rowe↓65’6.3
  • 11S. Hidalgo↓65’6.5

Substitutes used

  • 77M. Sauer↑85’6.5
  • 12W. Kamanzi↑65’6.3
  • 20Emersonn↑65’7.6

Unused: C. Haug, Naime Said Mchindra, Gaëtan Bakhouche, A. Vossah, Ilyas Azizi, Julián Vignolo

Lorient 3-4-2-1

387.0 Y. Mvogo(G)
256.9 A. Faye 326.9 N. Adjei 446.3 D. Yongwa
436.9 Arsène Kouassi 626.6 A. Avom 87.2 Noah Cadiou 116.3 T. Le Bris ↓79’
296.9 D. Karim ↓74’ 176.3 J. Makengo
126.5 B. Dieng ↓74’
  • 38Y. Mvogo (G)7.0
  • 25A. Faye6.9
  • 32N. Adjei6.9
  • 44D. Yongwa6.3
  • 43Arsène Kouassi6.9
  • 62A. Avom6.6
  • 8Noah Cadiou7.2
  • 11T. Le Bris↓79’6.3
  • 29D. Karim↓74’6.9
  • 17J. Makengo6.3
  • 12B. Dieng↓74’6.5

Substitutes used

  • 77P. Katseris↑79’6.2
  • 28S. Soumano↑74’6.3
  • 15A. Tosin↑74’6.3

Unused: B. Kamara, Izak Akakpo, Isaac Monnier, Daniel Semedo, Martin Bley, T. Sanusi

Player stats

Top rated
C. CásseresToulouse7.7
2nd
EmersonnToulouse7.6
3rd
D. SidibéToulouse7.3

Toulouse

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
G. Restes G 90 0 0 2 sv 0 88% 17 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
R. Nicolaisen D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 82% 44 0 0 0/0 0/1 7.0
S. Koumbassa D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 92% 51 1 0 0/0 0/0 7.0
M. McKenzie D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 95% 43 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.9
D. Sidibé D 85 0 0 0 (0) 0 88% 34 3 2 0/1 1/2 7.3
Pape Diop M 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 83% 41 2 2 1/1 1/2 6.9
C. Cásseres M 90 0 1 0 (0) 2 85% 73 1 1 2/2 1/1 7.7
A. Dønnum M 90 0 0 1 (0) 2 69% 52 0 1 0/0 0/1 6.3
G. Gboho F 90 0 0 1 (0) 2 85% 34 3 0 3/4 1/1 6.6
J. Russell-Rowe F 65 0 0 0 (0) 1 67% 15 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
S. Hidalgo F 65 0 0 3 (0) 0 69% 13 0 1 0/0 2/2 6.5
M. Sauer M 5 0 0 1 (0) 0 75% 4 0 1 0/0 2/0 6.5
W. Kamanzi D 25 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 8 0 0 0/1 0/0 6.3
Emersonn F 25 1 0 3 (3) 1 29% 7 0 0 2/2 0/0 7.6

Lorient

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
Y. Mvogo G 90 0 0 3 sv 0 88% 60 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.0
A. Faye D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 91% 80 1 3 0/0 2/2 6.9
N. Adjei D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 95% 76 0 3 0/0 0/1 6.9
D. Yongwa D 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 86% 36 2 0 2/2 2/2 6.3
Arsène Kouassi D 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 89% 36 0 0 2/2 0/2 6.9
A. Avom M 90 0 0 1 (0) 2 83% 103 1 3 0/1 0/0 6.6
Noah Cadiou M 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 88% 91 1 3 4/4 2/0 7.2
T. Le Bris M 79 0 0 0 (0) 0 84% 25 1 2 0/0 0/1 6.3
D. Karim M 74 0 0 0 (0) 1 100% 29 3 1 1/2 1/1 6.9
J. Makengo M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 95% 37 1 2 2/2 1/0 6.3
B. Dieng F 74 0 0 0 (0) 0 40% 5 0 0 1/1 1/0 6.5
P. Katseris D 11 0 0 0 (0) 1 100% 7 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.2
S. Soumano F 16 0 0 1 (0) 0 0% 2 0 0 0/1 0/0 6.3
A. Tosin F 16 0 0 0 (0) 0 89% 9 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.3

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.