Serie A Gameweek 10 Sat, Nov 1 2025 · 14:00 Bluenergy Stadium, Udine
1–0 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 0.52 – 0.37
  • N. Zaniolo 40’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Zaniolo goal decides it for Udinese

Atalanta entered as favourites, but Udinese won 1–0 through a Zaniolo goal. The chances were even, with xG of 0.52 and 0.37. On the chances created, Atalanta deserved more: 1.1 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Udinese ✓21%
Draw26%
Atalanta54%

Model vs reality

Udinese goals
1
Model 0.94 · xG 0.52
Atalanta goals
0
Model 1.66 · xG 0.37
Total goals
1
Model 2.59 · xG 0.89
Score 1–0
6%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 48%
Both scored
No
Model 50%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchN. ZanioloUdinese · 1 goal
8.0
  • RefereeMichael Fabbri
  • VenueBluenergy Stadium
  • Table before kick-offUdinese 12th · Atalanta 9th

Timeline

  1. N. Zaniolo 1–0Assist H. Kamara
    40’
  2. Half time · 1–0
  3. ⇄ N. KrstovićFor G. Scamacca
    59’
  4. ⇄ A. LookmanFor K. Sulemana
    59’
  5. H. KamaraYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    64’
  6. N. KrstovićYellow card · Foul
    67’
  7. ⇄ J. PiotrowskiFor J. Ekkelenkamp
    69’
  8. ⇄ V. BayoFor N. Zaniolo
    69’
  9. ⇄ M. PalmaFor N. Bertola
    76’
  10. ⇄ K. EhizibueFor A. Zanoli
    76’
  11. ⇄ R. BellanovaFor N. Zalewski
    77’
  12. ⇄ C. De KetelaereFor L. Samardžić
    77’
  13. ⇄ M. BrescianiniFor K. Kossounou
    85’
  14. ⇄ Oier ZarragaFor A. Buksa
    86’
  15. C. De KetelaereYellow card · Tripping
    90+2’
  16. ÉdersonYellow card · Foul
    90+4’
  17. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

Udinese10 shots · 3 in box, 7 outside
Atalanta5 shots · 3 in box, 2 outside
UdineseAtalanta
37% Possession 63%
0.52 Expected goals (xG) 0.37
1.41 Expected points (xPts) 1.10
10 Shots 5
5 Shots on target 0
3 Shots off target 1
2 Blocked shots 4
3 Shots inside the box 3
7 Shots outside the box 2
273 Passes 475
84% Pass accuracy 88%
3 Corners 4
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
13 Fouls 8
0 Offsides 3
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
6.92 Team rating 6.71

Line-ups

Udinese 3-5-2

406.7 M. Okoye(G)
287.2 O. Solet 276.9 C. Kabasele 137.3 N. Bertola ↓76’
117.2 H. Kamara A 147.3 A. Atta 86.6 J. Karlström 326.3 J. Ekkelenkamp ↓69’ 596.7 A. Zanoli ↓76’
186.3 A. Buksa ↓86’ 108.0★ N. Zaniolo ↓69’
  • 40M. Okoye (G)6.7
  • 28O. Solet7.2
  • 27C. Kabasele6.9
  • 13N. Bertola↓76’7.3
  • 11H. KamaraA7.2
  • 14A. Atta7.3
  • 8J. Karlström6.6
  • 32J. Ekkelenkamp↓69’6.3
  • 59A. Zanoli↓76’6.7
  • 18A. Buksa↓86’6.3
  • 10N. Zaniolo ★↓69’8.0

Substitutes used

  • 16M. Palma↑76’
  • 19K. Ehizibue↑76’
  • 24J. Piotrowski↑69’6.3
  • 6Oier Zarraga↑86’
  • 15V. Bayo↑69’6.2

Unused: R. Sava, D. Padelli, Alessandro Nunziante, J. Zemura, S. Goglichidze, S. Lovrić, Rui Modesto, L. Miller, I. Gueye, Iker Bravo

Atalanta 3-4-2-1

297.0 M. Carnesecchi(G)
196.6 B. Djimsiti 47.0 I. Hien 36.9 K. Kossounou ↓85’
596.9 N. Zalewski ↓77’ 86.9 M. Pašalić 136.3 Éderson 776.9 D. Zappacosta
76.7 K. Sulemana ↓59’ 106.5 L. Samardžić ↓77’
96.2 G. Scamacca ↓59’
  • 29M. Carnesecchi (G)7.0
  • 19B. Djimsiti6.6
  • 4I. Hien7.0
  • 3K. Kossounou↓85’6.9
  • 59N. Zalewski↓77’6.9
  • 8M. Pašalić6.9
  • 13Éderson6.3
  • 77D. Zappacosta6.9
  • 7K. Sulemana↓59’6.7
  • 10L. Samardžić↓77’6.5
  • 9G. Scamacca↓59’6.2

Substitutes used

  • 44M. Brescianini↑85’
  • 16R. Bellanova↑77’
  • 17C. De Ketelaere↑77’
  • 11A. Lookman↑59’6.3
  • 90N. Krstović↑59’6.3

Unused: F. Rossi, M. Sportiello, Relja Obrić, H. Ahanor, Y. Musah, L. Bernasconi

Player stats

Top rated
N. ZanioloUdinese8.0
2nd
N. BertolaUdinese7.3
3rd
A. AttaUdinese7.3

Udinese

Atalanta

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.