Serie A Gameweek 27 Mon, Mar 2 2026 · 19:45 Bluenergy Stadium, Udine
Udinese
3–0 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 1.50 – 0.68
Fiorentina
  • C. Kabasele 10’
  • K. Davis 64’ (P)
  • A. Buksa 90+4’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Udinese cruise past Fiorentina

Fiorentina entered as narrow favourites, but Udinese won 3–0 through goals from Kabasele, Davis and Buksa. Udinese finished with the higher xG (1.50 vs 0.68). On the chances created, Fiorentina deserved more: 0.8 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Udinese ✓32%
Draw29%
Fiorentina39%

Model vs reality

Udinese goals
3
Model 1.15 · xG 1.50
Fiorentina goals
0
Model 1.28 · xG 0.68
Total goals
3
Model 2.43 · xG 2.18
Score 3–0
2%
Most likely 1–1 (14%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 44%
Both scored
No
Model 50%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchK. DavisUdinese · 1 goal
8.7
  • RefereeLuca Pairetto
  • VenueBluenergy Stadium
  • Table before kick-offUdinese 12th · Fiorentina 16th

Timeline

  1. C. Kabasele 1–0Assist N. Zaniolo
    10’
  2. M. PongračićYellow card · Tripping
    28’
  3. K. EhizibueYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    32’
  4. F. ParisiYellow card
    32’
  5. Half time · 1–0
  6. ⇄ C. NdourFor M. Brescianini
    46’
  7. ⇄ P. ComuzzoFor M. Pongračić
    46’
  8. D. RuganiYellow card · Holding
    62’
  9. K. Davis (pen) 2–0
    64’
  10. ⇄ A. BuksaFor K. Davis
    68’
  11. ⇄ G. FabbianFor R. Mandragora
    71’
  12. ⇄ R. PiccoliFor M. Kean
    71’
  13. ⇄ Oier ZarragaFor J. Piotrowski
    73’
  14. ⇄ B. MlacicFor N. Bertola
    73’
  15. ⇄ H. KamaraFor J. Zemura
    73’
  16. L. RanieriYellow card · Tripping
    80’
  17. ⇄ L. MillerFor N. Zaniolo
    87’
  18. ⇄ J. FazziniFor N. Fagioli
    87’
  19. A. Buksa 3–0Assist L. Miller
    90+4’
  20. Full time · 3–0

Team stats

Udinese10 shots · 8 in box, 2 outside
Fiorentina11 shots · 6 in box, 5 outside
UdineseFiorentina
36% Possession 64%
1.50 Expected goals (xG) 0.68
1.97 Expected points (xPts) 0.77
10 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 0
1 Shots off target 7
2 Blocked shots 4
8 Shots inside the box 6
2 Shots outside the box 5
304 Passes 553
78% Pass accuracy 88%
5 Corners 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
16 Fouls 12
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
7.13 Team rating 6.43

Line-ups

Udinese 3-5-2

406.9 M. Okoye(G)
136.9 N. Bertola ↓73’ 278.2 C. Kabasele 316.9 T. Kristensen
337.3 J. Zemura ↓73’ 326.6 J. Ekkelenkamp 86.5 J. Karlström 246.9 J. Piotrowski ↓73’ 197.0 K. Ehizibue
98.7★ K. Davis ↓68’ 107.0 N. Zaniolo A↓87’
  • 40M. Okoye (G)6.9
  • 13N. Bertola↓73’6.9
  • 27C. Kabasele8.2
  • 31T. Kristensen6.9
  • 33J. Zemura↓73’7.3
  • 32J. Ekkelenkamp6.6
  • 8J. Karlström6.5
  • 24J. Piotrowski↓73’6.9
  • 19K. Ehizibue7.0
  • 9K. Davis ★↓68’8.7
  • 10N. ZanioloA↓87’7.0

Substitutes used

  • 22B. Mlacic↑73’6.7
  • 38L. MillerA↑87’
  • 6Oier Zarraga↑73’6.7
  • 11H. Kamara↑73’6.5
  • 18A. Buksa↑68’7.7

Unused: D. Padelli, R. Sava, Alessandro Nunziante, Juan Arizala, A. Camara, V. Bayo, Idrissa Gueye

Fiorentina 3-5-1-1

436.6 David de Gea(G)
66.7 L. Ranieri 35.7 D. Rugani 56.5 M. Pongračić ↓46’
656.9 F. Parisi 47.0 M. Brescianini ↓46’ 446.6 N. Fagioli ↓87’ 86.7 R. Mandragora ↓71’ 176.3 J. Harrison
106.3 A. Guðmundsson
206.2 M. Kean ↓71’
  • 43David de Gea (G)6.6
  • 6L. Ranieri6.7
  • 3D. Rugani5.7
  • 5M. Pongračić↓46’6.5
  • 65F. Parisi6.9
  • 4M. Brescianini↓46’7.0
  • 44N. Fagioli↓87’6.6
  • 8R. Mandragora↓71’6.7
  • 17J. Harrison6.3
  • 10A. Guðmundsson6.3
  • 20M. Kean↓71’6.2

Substitutes used

  • 15P. Comuzzo↑46’6.2
  • 27C. Ndour↑46’5.9
  • 80G. Fabbian↑71’6.5
  • 22J. Fazzini↑87’
  • 91R. Piccoli↑71’6.3

Unused: O. Christensen, Pietro Leonardelli, E. Kouadio, Luís Balbo, N. Fortini, R. Gosens

Player stats

Top rated
K. DavisUdinese8.7
2nd
C. KabaseleUdinese8.2
3rd
A. BuksaUdinese7.7

Udinese

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
M. Okoye G 90 0 0 0 sv 0 71% 31 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
N. Bertola D 73 0 0 1 (1) 0 80% 35 1 1 0/1 0/0 6.9
C. Kabasele D 90 1 0 1 (1) 0 89% 18 2 2 0/0 2/1 8.2
T. Kristensen D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 77% 39 1 0 1/1 0/0 6.9
J. Zemura D 73 0 0 0 (0) 0 72% 18 6 0 1/1 3/1 7.3
J. Ekkelenkamp M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 81% 16 3 1 0/0 3/0 6.6
J. Karlström M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 71% 31 1 2 0/0 2/1 6.5
J. Piotrowski M 73 0 0 0 (0) 0 81% 26 1 1 2/2 1/1 6.9
K. Ehizibue D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 22 4 1 0/0 1/0 7.0
K. Davis F 68 1 0 3 (3) 1 75% 12 0 0 1/3 0/3 8.7
N. Zaniolo M 87 0 1 2 (1) 5 73% 26 4 0 0/5 1/4 7.0
B. Mlacic D 17 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 6 1 1 0/0 0/0 6.7
L. Miller M 3 0 1 0 (0) 1 100% 2 0 0 1/1 0/1 —
Oier Zarraga M 17 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 8 0 1 0/0 0/0 6.7
H. Kamara D 17 0 0 0 (0) 0 67% 6 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.5
A. Buksa F 22 1 0 1 (1) 0 50% 8 1 0 0/1 2/0 7.7

Fiorentina

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
David de Gea G 90 0 0 4 sv 0 80% 20 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.6
L. Ranieri D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 91% 80 3 1 0/1 1/1 6.7
D. Rugani D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 94% 70 3 3 0/0 3/0 5.7
M. Pongračić D 46 0 0 0 (0) 0 89% 45 2 1 1/3 3/1 6.5
F. Parisi D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 80% 56 3 2 3/5 0/2 6.9
M. Brescianini M 46 0 0 0 (0) 1 87% 15 0 1 0/0 0/3 7.0
N. Fagioli M 87 0 0 0 (0) 3 89% 70 1 0 0/2 1/1 6.6
R. Mandragora M 71 0 0 3 (0) 1 89% 37 2 1 0/1 0/2 6.7
J. Harrison F 90 0 0 1 (0) 2 90% 42 0 1 2/8 1/1 6.3
A. Guðmundsson F 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 84% 45 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.3
M. Kean F 71 0 0 0 (0) 0 80% 5 0 0 0/0 1/1 6.2
P. Comuzzo D 44 0 0 0 (0) 0 83% 30 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.2
C. Ndour M 44 0 0 1 (0) 1 86% 29 0 1 0/1 2/2 5.9
G. Fabbian M 19 0 0 1 (0) 0 67% 3 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.5
J. Fazzini M 3 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 4 0 0 1/1 0/0 —
R. Piccoli F 19 0 0 1 (0) 0 100% 2 0 0 0/1 0/0 6.3

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.