Udinese vs Verona – 25 Aug 2025

Serie A Gameweek 1 Mon, Aug 25 · 17:30 Bluenergy Stadium, Udine

Udinese

1–1Full time

Verona

Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

Udinese were slight favourites.

The two sides are close in strength. Absences weigh more on Udinese. Udinese had ? days of rest, Verona ? and had to travel 188 km.

Away travel188 kmMatches / 14d0 · 0

Udinese45%

Draw28%

Verona26%

Expected goals 1.41 – 1.01

Udinese47%

Draw26%

Verona27%

Expected goals 1.58 – 1.13

Udinese46%

Draw28%

Verona26%

Expected goals 1.41 – 0.99

Udinese38%

Draw29%

Verona33%

Expected goals 1.25 – 1.14

Udinese46%

Draw26%

Verona27%

Expected goals 1.58 – 1.16

Over 2.5 44% Both score 49% Likeliest score 1–1

Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (Udine)

No weather data yet

Referee · ItalyParide Tremolada

Cards per match 4.8
Penalties per match 0.63
Matches 8

Team strength

Udinese

Verona

29 L90 StrengthIn forecast 24

32 Current StrengthIn forecast 16

22 AttackIn forecast 15

18 DefenceIn forecast 29

— Form indexContext —

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Udinese

Attack—

Defense risk—

Verona

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Udinese

Verona

— Goals scoredVia Att/Def —

— Goals concededVia Att/Def —

— xGVia Att/Def —

— xG allowedVia Att/Def —

— Goals minus xGContext —

— Scored inContext —

— Clean sheetsContext —

— ShotsContext —

— Shots on targetVia Att/Def —

— On target shareContext —

— Shots in the boxContext —

— Box shareContext —

— ConversionContext —

— OffsidesContext —

— Shots allowedContext —

— On target allowedVia Att/Def —

— BlocksContext —

— Goalkeeper savesContext —

— Save rateContext —

— PossessionIn forecast —

— PassesContext —

— Accurate passesContext —

— Pass accuracyContext —

— Team ratingContext —

— FoulsContext —

— Fouls sufferedContext —

— Yellow cardsContext —

— Red cardsContext —

This league season, per match

0.60 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.60

1.80 Goals concededVia Att/Def 0.80

0.94 xGVia Att/Def 0.66

1.43 xG allowedVia Att/Def 0.94

-0.34 Goals minus xGContext -0.06

40% Scored inContext 50%

10% Clean sheetsContext 30%

11.40 ShotsContext 8.60

3.60 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 1.89

32% On target shareContext 20%

6.89 Shots in the boxContext 5.20

57% Box shareContext 59%

5% ConversionContext 7%

1.71 OffsidesContext 1.75

13.20 Shots allowedContext 9.00

4.60 On target allowedVia Att/Def 2.90

4.11 BlocksContext 2.13

3.38 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.10

66% Save rateContext 72%

48% PossessionIn forecast 41%

386 PassesContext 311

318 Accurate passesContext 229

82% Pass accuracyContext 74%

6.82 Team ratingContext 6.90

15.50 FoulsContext 16.50

9.80 Fouls sufferedContext 10.50

2.20 Yellow cardsContext 2.30

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.10

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Udinese

Rest—since last match

Matches / 14d0all competitions

Travel0 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Verona

Rest—since last match

Matches / 14d0all competitions

Travel188 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Udinese	Verona
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	—	—
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	188 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	0 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	0 / 0 / 0	0 / 0 / 0
Next matchdays after this one	6.1	6.1

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Udinese Confirmed XI

3-5-2

90R. Sava(G)

28O. Solet 31T. Kristensen 13N. Bertola

33J. Zemura 14A. Atta 8J. Karlström 4S. Lovrić 19K. Ehizibue

17Iker Bravo 9K. Davis

+2 more reported missing outside this XI

Verona Confirmed XI

3-5-2

1L. Montipò(G)

3M. Frese 15V. Nelsson 5Unai Núñez

12D. Bradarić 8S. Serdar 24A. Bernede 36C. Niasse 70Fallou Cham

9A. Sarr 17Giovane

+3 more reported missing outside this XI

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Udinese Scores -0.02 · concedes +0.03 goals Absences are shown before kick-off

Verona Scores 0.00 · concedes +0.02 goals Absences are shown before kick-off

Total impact vs full squads

Udinese-0.7 pp
Draw-0.1 pp
Verona+0.7 pp

Home / Away this season

Udinese · Home No home games yet this season.

Verona · Away No away games yet this season.

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head last 8 of 8 meetings

1 Udinese wins4 draws3 Verona wins

Goals per game0.88 – 1.50 Over 2.538% Both scored50% Clean sheets13% · 50%

15 Mar 2025Udinese0–1Verona
4 Jan 2025Verona0–0Udinese
20 Apr 2024Verona1–0Udinese
3 Dec 2023Udinese3–3Verona
30 Jan 2023Udinese1–1Verona
3 Oct 2022Verona1–2Udinese

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Udinese	Verona	Forecast
Scored per game	—	—
Conceded per game	—	—
Match goals	—	—	2.42
Over 1.5	—	—
Over 2.5	—	—	44%
Over 3.5	—	—
Both teams scored	—	—	49%
Clean sheets	—	—
Failed to score	—	—
Games	0	0

	Udinese	Verona	Forecast
Scored per game	—	—
Conceded per game	—	—
Match goals	—	—	2.42
Over 1.5	—	—
Over 2.5	—	—	44%
Over 3.5	—	—
Both teams scored	—	—	49%
Clean sheets	—	—
Failed to score	—	—
Games	0	0

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Udinese	Verona	League
Corners
Corners won	—	—
Corners conceded	—	—
Match total	—	—	8.29
Over 8.5	—	—
Over 9.5	—	—
Over 10.5	—	—
Cards
Cards	—	—
Opponent cards	—	—
Match total	—	—	4.29
Over 3.5	—	—
Over 4.5	—	—

	Udinese	Verona	League
Corners
Corners won	3.67	3.70
Corners conceded	5.56	4.50
Match total	9.23	8.20	8.29
Over 8.5	56% 5/9	50% 5/10
Over 9.5	56% 5/9	40% 4/10
Over 10.5	44% 4/9	10% 1/10
Cards
Cards	2.30	2.40
Opponent cards	1.70	1.60
Match total	4.00	4.00	4.29
Over 3.5	60% 6/10	70% 7/10
Over 4.5	40% 4/10	20% 2/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Paride Tremolada Italy · 8 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards4.50league 4.13

Red cards0.25league 0.25

Cards 5+50%league 63%

Fouls24.8league 25.8

Penalties0.63league 0.00

Home wins50%league 38%

Udinese1 with this referee

Record0-1-0 Cards · opp.3.0 · 5.0 Pens for · against1 · 0

D23 Oct 23H · Lecce1–13

Verona

No previous matches with this referee.

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.