Bundesliga Gameweek 28 Sun, Apr 5 2026 · 14:30 Stadion An der Alten Försterei, Berlin
1–1 Full time · HT 0–1 xG 1.94 – 0.33
  • A. Ilić 52’
  • 25’ M. Pereira Lage
  • 90+4’ J. Irvine
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Union Berlin and FC St. Pauli share the points

Union Berlin entered as favourites, yet FC St. Pauli led 1–0 at half-time through a Lage goal. But Ilić scored to rescue a draw for Union Berlin. FC St. Pauli played with ten men from the 90th minute after Irvine was sent off. Union Berlin finished with the higher xG (1.94 vs 0.33). On the chances created, Union Berlin deserved more: 2.5 expected points against the 1 point they took.

Union Berlin48%
Draw ✓27%
FC St. Pauli25%

Model vs reality

Union Berlin goals
1
Model 1.54 · xG 1.94
FC St. Pauli goals
1
Model 1.05 · xG 0.33
Total goals
2
Model 2.60 · xG 2.27
Score 1–1
13%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 48%
Both scored
Yes
Model 52%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchN. VasiljFC St. Pauli
9.0
  • RefereeTobias Welz
  • Coaches— · A. Blessin
  • VenueStadion An der Alten Försterei
  • Table before kick-offUnion Berlin 12th · FC St. Pauli 16th

Timeline

  1. M. Pereira Lage 0–1
    25’
  2. Half time · 0–1
  3. A. Ilić 1–1Assist D. Köhn
    52’
  4. ⇄ A. HountondjiFor M. Kaars
    60’
  5. ⇄ A. KrálFor W. Jeong
    73’
  6. ⇄ C. MetcalfeFor J. Fujita
    74’
  7. ⇄ T. RotheFor D. Köhn
    81’
  8. ⇄ Ilyas AnsahFor O. Burke
    81’
  9. J. IrvineYellow card · Foul
    86’
  10. ⇄ A. CeesayFor M. Rasmussen
    90’
  11. J. IrvineSecond yellow · Tripping
    90+4’
  12. Full time · 1–1

Team stats

Union Berlin16 shots · 13 in box, 3 outside
FC St. Pauli9 shots · 3 in box, 6 outside
Union BerlinFC St. Pauli
55% Possession 45%
1.94 Expected goals (xG) 0.33
2.48 Expected points (xPts) 0.34
16 Shots 9
8 Shots on target 2
4 Shots off target 3
4 Blocked shots 4
13 Shots inside the box 3
3 Shots outside the box 6
439 Passes 374
73% Pass accuracy 70%
7 Corners 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 8
9 Fouls 8
3 Offsides 0
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
6.93 Team rating 6.91

Line-ups

Union Berlin 3-4-2-1

16.3 F. Rønnow(G)
47.2 Diogo Leite 146.7 L. Querfeld 56.3 D. Doekhi
398.0 D. Köhn A↓81’ 86.5 R. Khedira 137.0 A. Schäfer 196.7 J. Haberer
238.0 A. Ilić 116.5 W. Jeong ↓73’
77.3 O. Burke ↓81’
  • 1F. Rønnow (G)6.3
  • 4Diogo Leite7.2
  • 14L. Querfeld6.7
  • 5D. Doekhi6.3
  • 39D. KöhnA↓81’8.0
  • 8R. Khedira6.5
  • 13A. Schäfer7.0
  • 19J. Haberer6.7
  • 23A. Ilić8.0
  • 11W. Jeong↓73’6.5
  • 7O. Burke↓81’7.3

Substitutes used

  • 10Ilyas Ansah↑81’6.3
  • 15T. Rothe↑81’6.7
  • 33A. Král↑73’6.5

Unused: A. Kemlein, C. Klaus, C. Trimmel, Livan Burcu, J. Juranović, T. Skarke

FC St. Pauli 3-4-2-1

229.0★ N. Vasilj(G)
36.3 K. Mets 56.3 H. Wahl 256.2 A. Dźwigała
288.3 M. Pereira Lage 76.9 J. Irvine 206.6 M. Rasmussen ↓90’ 116.7 Arkadiusz Pyrka
166.6 J. Fujita ↓74’ 106.9 D. Sinani
196.3 M. Kaars ↓60’
  • 22N. Vasilj (G) ★9.0
  • 3K. Mets6.3
  • 5H. Wahl6.3
  • 25A. Dźwigała6.2
  • 28M. Pereira Lage8.3
  • 7J. Irvine6.9
  • 20M. Rasmussen↓90’6.6
  • 11Arkadiusz Pyrka6.7
  • 16J. Fujita↓74’6.6
  • 10D. Sinani6.9
  • 19M. Kaars↓60’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 24C. Metcalfe↑74’6.3
  • 9A. Ceesay↑90’
  • 27A. Hountondji↑60’6.2

Unused: Louis Oppie, B. Voll, Jannik Thomas Robatsch, T. Hara, D. Nemeth, L. Ritzka

Coach: A. Blessin

Player stats

Top rated
N. VasiljFC St. Pauli9.0
2nd
M. Pereira LageFC St. Pauli8.3
3rd
D. KöhnUnion Berlin8.0

Union Berlin

FC St. Pauli

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.