Bundesliga Gameweek 16 Sat, Jan 10 2026 · 14:30 Stadion An der Alten Försterei, Berlin
2–2 Full time · HT 0–1 xG 2.23 – 1.10
  • W. Jeong 77’
  • D. Doekhi 86’
  • 30’ N. Amiri
  • 69’ B. Hollerbach
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Union Berlin fight back from two goals down

Union Berlin entered as narrow favourites, yet FSV Mainz 05 led 2–0 after 69 minutes through goals from Amiri and Hollerbach. But Jeong and Doekhi scored to rescue a draw for Union Berlin. Union Berlin finished with the higher xG (2.23 vs 1.10). On the chances created, Union Berlin deserved more: 2.1 expected points against the 1 point they took.

Union Berlin43%
Draw ✓27%
FSV Mainz 0531%

Model vs reality

Union Berlin goals
2
Model 1.51 · xG 2.23
FSV Mainz 05 goals
2
Model 1.24 · xG 1.10
Total goals
4
Model 2.75 · xG 3.33
Score 2–2
6%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 52%
Both scored
Yes
Model 56%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchD. KöhnUnion Berlin · 2 assists
8.0
  • RefereeBastian Dankert
  • VenueStadion An der Alten Försterei
  • Table before kick-offUnion Berlin 8th · FSV Mainz 05 18th

Timeline

  1. Diogo LeiteYellow card · Roughing
    19’
  2. N. Amiri 0–1Assist J. Lee
    30’
  3. Half time · 0–1
  4. D. DoekhiYellow card · Holding
    57’
  5. ⇄ A. SchäferFor A. Kemlein
    65’
  6. ⇄ Ilyas AnsahFor Livan Burcu
    65’
  7. B. Hollerbach 0–2Assist N. Veratschnig
    69’
  8. ⇄ C. TrimmelFor J. Haberer
    71’
  9. ⇄ W. JeongFor O. Burke
    71’
  10. W. Jeong 1–2Assist D. Köhn
    77’
  11. ⇄ M. LjubičićFor Diogo Leite
    78’
  12. ⇄ P. NebelFor N. Amiri
    78’
  13. ⇄ A. SiebFor B. Hollerbach
    78’
  14. ⇄ L. MaloneyFor P. Tietz
    85’
  15. D. Doekhi 2–2Assist D. Köhn
    86’
  16. Full time · 2–2

Team stats

Union Berlin16 shots · 13 in box, 3 outside
FSV Mainz 059 shots · 8 in box, 1 outside
Union BerlinFSV Mainz 05
57% Possession 43%
2.23 Expected goals (xG) 1.10
2.08 Expected points (xPts) 0.72
16 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 6
8 Shots off target 3
3 Blocked shots 0
13 Shots inside the box 8
3 Shots outside the box 1
461 Passes 369
74% Pass accuracy 66%
2 Corners 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Fouls 7
0 Offsides 1
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
6.80 Team rating 6.84

Line-ups

Union Berlin 3-4-2-1

16.2 F. Rønnow(G)
46.9 Diogo Leite ↓78’ 146.9 L. Querfeld 57.3 D. Doekhi
398.0★ D. Köhn AA 66.7 A. Kemlein ↓65’ 86.7 R. Khedira 197.0 J. Haberer ↓71’
96.6 Livan Burcu ↓65’ 76.2 O. Burke ↓71’
236.3 A. Ilić
  • 1F. Rønnow (G)6.2
  • 4Diogo Leite↓78’6.9
  • 14L. Querfeld6.9
  • 5D. Doekhi7.3
  • 39D. Köhn ★A×28.0
  • 6A. Kemlein↓65’6.7
  • 8R. Khedira6.7
  • 19J. Haberer↓71’7.0
  • 9Livan Burcu↓65’6.6
  • 7O. Burke↓71’6.2
  • 23A. Ilić6.3

Substitutes used

  • 13A. Schäfer↑65’6.3
  • 10Ilyas Ansah↑65’6.3
  • 28C. Trimmel↑71’6.6
  • 11W. Jeong↑71’7.6
  • 27M. Ljubičić↑78’6.5

Unused: Matheo Raab, S. Nsoki, J. Juranović, A. Král

FSV Mainz 05 3-5-2

337.0 D. Batz(G)
316.7 D. Kohr 166.3 S. Bell 216.7 D. da Costa
226.9 N. Veratschnig A 77.2 J. Lee A 66.9 K. Sano 108.0 N. Amiri ↓78’ 306.6 S. Widmer
205.9 P. Tietz ↓85’ 177.3 B. Hollerbach ↓78’
  • 33D. Batz (G)7.0
  • 31D. Kohr6.7
  • 16S. Bell6.3
  • 21D. da Costa6.7
  • 22N. VeratschnigA6.9
  • 7J. LeeA7.2
  • 6K. Sano6.9
  • 10N. Amiri↓78’8.0
  • 30S. Widmer6.6
  • 20P. Tietz↓85’5.9
  • 17B. Hollerbach↓78’7.3

Substitutes used

  • 8P. Nebel↑78’6.5
  • 15L. Maloney↑85’
  • 11A. Sieb↑78’6.2

Unused: L. Rieß, K. Potulski, W. Bøving, Sota Kawasaki, A. Nordin, N. Weiper

Player stats

Top rated
D. KöhnUnion Berlin8.0
2nd
N. AmiriFSV Mainz 058.0
3rd
D. DoekhiUnion Berlin7.3

Union Berlin

FSV Mainz 05

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.