La Liga Gameweek 27 Sun, Mar 8 2026 · 20:00 Estadio de Mestalla, Valencia
3–2 Full time · HT 0–1 xG 2.29 – 1.33
  • Javi Guerra 47’
  • E. Cömert 90’
  • Hugo Duro 90+9’ (P)
  • 3’ (P), 71’ L. Boyé
  • 90+7’ Jon Pacheco
  • 90+7’ Ander Guevara
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Valencia come from behind to beat Alaves

Valencia entered as favourites, yet Alaves led 1–0 at half-time through a Boyé goal. But Guerra, Cömert and Duro scored to turn it around for Valencia, who won 3–2. Alaves played with ten men from the 90th minute after Pacheco was sent off. Valencia finished with the higher xG (2.29 vs 1.33). On the chances created, Alaves deserved more: 0.8 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Valencia ✓53%
Draw25%
Alaves22%

Model vs reality

Valencia goals
3
Model 1.68 · xG 2.29
Alaves goals
2
Model 1.00 · xG 1.33
Total goals
5
Model 2.68 · xG 3.62
Score 3–2
3%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 50%
Both scored
Yes
Model 52%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchL. BoyéAlaves · 2 goals
8.7
  • RefereeJose Luis Guzman Mansilla
  • VenueEstadio de Mestalla
  • Table before kick-offValencia 15th · Alaves 16th

Timeline

  1. L. Boyé (pen) 0–1
    3’
  2. L. RamazaniYellow card · Tripping
    17’
  3. ⇄ Youssef LekhedimFor C. Benavídez
    30’
  4. Jon GuridiYellow card · Holding
    36’
  5. Youssef LekhedimYellow card · Roughing
    43’
  6. Half time · 0–1
  7. Javi Guerra 1–1Assist U. Sadiq
    47’
  8. Jon PachecoYellow card · Roughing
    58’
  9. ⇄ Ander GuevaraFor Carles Aleñá
    68’
  10. ⇄ Denis SuárezFor Jon Guridi
    68’
  11. ⇄ A. DanjumaFor Luis Rioja
    70’
  12. L. Boyé 1–2Assist Denis Suárez
    71’
  13. ⇄ Hugo DuroFor F. Ugrinic
    74’
  14. ⇄ Dani RabaFor Thierry Correia
    82’
  15. ⇄ André AlmeidaFor Javi Guerra
    82’
  16. ⇄ Diego LópezFor L. Ramazani
    82’
  17. ⇄ M. DíazFor Toni Martínez
    84’
  18. E. Cömert 2–2
    90’
  19. Ander GuevaraYellow card · Holding
    90+2’
  20. Jon PachecoSecond yellow
    90+7’
  21. Ander GuevaraSecond yellow
    90+7’
  22. Hugo Duro (pen) 3–2
    90+9’
  23. Full time · 3–2

Team stats

Valencia18 shots · 12 in box, 6 outside
Alaves10 shots · 7 in box, 3 outside
ValenciaAlaves
61% Possession 39%
2.29 Expected goals (xG) 1.33
1.97 Expected points (xPts) 0.84
18 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 4
5 Shots off target 3
7 Blocked shots 3
12 Shots inside the box 7
6 Shots outside the box 3
539 Passes 351
89% Pass accuracy 81%
9 Corners 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Fouls 17
4 Offsides 1
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 2
6.82 Team rating 6.87

Line-ups

Valencia 4-2-3-1

16.6 S. Dimitrievski(G)
146.5 José Gayà 246.9 E. Cömert 47.0 Unai Núñez 126.6 Thierry Correia ↓82’
237.3 F. Ugrinic ↓74’ 26.3 G. Rodríguez
177.7 L. Ramazani ↓82’ 87.2 Javi Guerra ↓82’ 116.7 Luis Rioja ↓70’
66.3 U. Sadiq A
  • 1S. Dimitrievski (G)6.6
  • 14José Gayà6.5
  • 24E. Cömert6.9
  • 4Unai Núñez7.0
  • 12Thierry Correia↓82’6.6
  • 23F. Ugrinic↓74’7.3
  • 2G. Rodríguez6.3
  • 17L. Ramazani↓82’7.7
  • 8Javi Guerra↓82’7.2
  • 11Luis Rioja↓70’6.7
  • 6U. SadiqA6.3

Substitutes used

  • 7A. Danjuma↑70’6.9
  • 9Hugo Duro↑74’7.2
  • 16Diego López↑82’6.7
  • 10André Almeida↑82’7.0
  • 19Dani Raba↑82’6.3

Unused: Cristian Rivero, Jesús Vázquez, César Tárrega, R. Saravia, B. Santamaría, Pepelu, David Otorbi

Alaves 4-4-2

17.9 Antonio Sivera(G)
176.9 Jonny 55.2 Jon Pacheco 236.9 C. Benavídez ↓30’ 147.3 F. Tenaglia
106.2 Carles Aleñá ↓68’ 186.9 Jon Guridi ↓68’ 86.3 Antonio Blanco 76.9 Ángel Pérez
158.7★ L. Boyé 117.2 Toni Martínez ↓84’
  • 1Antonio Sivera (G)7.9
  • 17Jonny6.9
  • 5Jon Pacheco5.2
  • 23C. Benavídez↓30’6.9
  • 14F. Tenaglia7.3
  • 10Carles Aleñá↓68’6.2
  • 18Jon Guridi↓68’6.9
  • 8Antonio Blanco6.3
  • 7Ángel Pérez6.9
  • 15L. Boyé ★8.7
  • 11Toni Martínez↓84’7.2

Substitutes used

  • 3Youssef Lekhedim↑30’5.6
  • 4Denis SuárezA↑68’7.0
  • 6Ander Guevara↑68’6.6
  • 9M. Díaz↑84’6.2

Unused: Raúl Fernández, Grégoire Swiderski, V. Koski, A. Rebbach, Calebe, I. Diabate

Player stats

Top rated
L. BoyéAlaves8.7
2nd
Antonio SiveraAlaves7.9
3rd
L. RamazaniValencia7.7

Valencia

Alaves

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.