Venezia vs Parma – 4 Apr 2027

Serie A Gameweek 30 Sun, Apr 4 · 17:30 Stadio Pierluigi Penzo, Venezia

Venezia 20th · 3 pts · 7 played LLLLW

VS— Compare

Parma 19th · 4 pts · 7 played DLWLL

Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel173 kmRest days14 · 14Matches / 14d1 · 1

Real contextStrength only

Venezia—%

Draw—%

Parma—%

Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.

Weather (Venezia)

Forecast from 20 Mar

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Headlines

Attack

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

Defence

Streaks

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

Team strength

Venezia

Parma

— L90 StrengthIn forecast —

15 Current StrengthIn forecast 28

21 AttackIn forecast 20

14 DefenceIn forecast 33

19 Form indexContext 23

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Venezia

Attack—

Defense risk—

Parma

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Venezia

Parma

0.86 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.57

2.29 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.86

1.43 xGVia Att/Def 0.67

2.38 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.72

-0.57 Goals minus xGContext -0.10

57% Scored inContext 43%

14% Clean sheetsContext 0%

14.14 ShotsContext 10.57

4.43 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.43

31% On target shareContext 32%

9.29 Shots in the boxContext 7.50

69% Box shareContext 65%

6% ConversionContext 5%

2.83 OffsidesContext 1.83

17.29 Shots allowedContext 17.00

7.14 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.29

4.14 BlocksContext 4.29

5.50 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.57

69% Save rateContext 68%

54% PossessionIn forecast 43%

470 PassesContext 394

400 Accurate passesContext 324

85% Pass accuracyContext 82%

6.75 Team ratingContext 6.62

9.86 FoulsContext 9.86

10.29 Fouls sufferedContext 15.43

2.86 Yellow cardsContext 1.57

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

This league season, per match · 7 and 7 games

1.00 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.70

2.30 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.70

1.33 xGVia Att/Def 0.70

2.08 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.77

-0.33 Goals minus xGContext +0.00

60% Scored inContext 50%

10% Clean sheetsContext 10%

13.00 ShotsContext 10.30

4.10 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.20

32% On target shareContext 31%

8.60 Shots in the boxContext 7.50

69% Box shareContext 63%

8% ConversionContext 7%

2.38 OffsidesContext 2.11

17.10 Shots allowedContext 16.20

6.50 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.10

4.50 BlocksContext 4.50

4.56 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.60

65% Save rateContext 71%

51% PossessionIn forecast 42%

438 PassesContext 367

367 Accurate passesContext 300

84% Pass accuracyContext 82%

6.76 Team ratingContext 6.71

10.90 FoulsContext 10.50

11.40 Fouls sufferedContext 14.10

2.30 Yellow cardsContext 1.60

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Venezia LLLLW

Rest14 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel0 km1,067 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

Form 19 · 3 pts vs 7.1 for an average club · -0.7 vs expected

W17 OctH · Napoli1–00.6 xPts
L12 OctA · Atalanta1–30.5 xPts
L19 SepH · Lazio0–20.6 xPts
L11 SepH · Fiorentina2–41.2 xPts
L6 SepA · Frosinone2–30.9 xPts

Parma DLWLL

Rest14 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel173 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

Form 23 · 4 pts vs 7.4 for an average club · -1.4 vs expected

L19 OctH · Torino0–31.3 xPts
L10 OctA · Inter0–30.3 xPts
W20 SepH · Genoa2–11.6 xPts
L14 SepA · Como1–20.4 xPts
D6 SepH · Monza1–11.8 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Venezia	Parma
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	14Serie A 2026-2027, 21 Mar	14Serie A 2026-2027, 21 Mar
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	173 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	1,067 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	0 / 1 / 3	0 / 1 / 3
Next matchdays after this one	7	7

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Venezia Last XI · not confirmed

3-5-2 · vs Napoli (H) 1–0, 17 Oct

1F. Stanković(G)

15Juan Jesus 2M. Moreno 25R. Halhal

5R. Haps 26T. Bašić 19S. Sohm 71Kike Pérez 18A. Hainaut

45A. Adams 10J. Yeboah

Parma Last XI · not confirmed

3-4-2-1 · vs Torino (H) 0–3, 19 Oct

40E. Corvi(G)

15E. Delprato 37Mariano Troilo 34Diego Carlos

14E. Valeri 16L. Keita 10Adrián Bernabé 27Sascha Britschgi

19E. Touré 80G. Fabbian

9D. Romero

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Venezia Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Parma Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Venezia · Home 0.75points per game · 4 home games

W-D-L: 1-0-3
Scored: 0.75
Conceded: 2.00

Parma · Away 0.00points per game · 3 away games

W-D-L: 0-0-3
Scored: 0.33
Conceded: 2.33

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head last 2 of 2 meetings

0 Venezia wins1 draws1 Parma wins

Goals per game1.00 – 1.50 Over 2.550% Both scored100% Clean sheets0% · 0%

19 Jan 2025Parma1–1Venezia
9 Nov 2024Venezia1–2Parma

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Venezia	Parma
Scored per game	0.86	0.57
Conceded per game	2.29	1.86
Match goals	3.14	2.43
Over 1.5	86%	86%
Over 2.5	43%	57%
Over 3.5	43%	0%
Both teams scored	43%	43%
Clean sheets	14%	0%
Failed to score	43%	57%
Games	7	7

	Venezia	Parma
Scored per game	0.86	0.70
Conceded per game	2.29	1.70
Match goals	3.14	2.40
Over 1.5	86%	70%
Over 2.5	43%	50%
Over 3.5	43%	10%
Both teams scored	43%	40%
Clean sheets	14%	10%
Failed to score	43%	50%
Games	7	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Venezia	Parma	League
Corners
Corners won	4.33	3.29
Corners conceded	4.17	5.14
Match total	8.50	8.43	9.38
Over 8.5	33% 2/6	43% 3/7
Over 9.5	17% 1/6	29% 2/7
Over 10.5	17% 1/6	29% 2/7
Cards
Cards	2.86	1.57
Opponent cards	1.14	1.71
Match total	4.00	3.28	3.43
Over 3.5	57% 4/7	57% 4/7
Over 4.5	29% 2/7	43% 3/7

	Venezia	Parma	League
Corners
Corners won	4.56	2.90
Corners conceded	4.89	5.80
Match total	9.45	8.70	9.38
Over 8.5	44% 4/9	50% 5/10
Over 9.5	33% 3/9	30% 3/10
Over 10.5	33% 3/9	30% 3/10
Cards
Cards	2.30	1.70
Opponent cards	1.60	1.60
Match total	3.90	3.30	3.43
Over 3.5	60% 6/10	60% 6/10
Over 4.5	30% 3/10	30% 3/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.