Bundesliga Gameweek 2 Sat, Aug 30 2025 · 14:30 MHPArena, Stuttgart
1–0 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 0.87 – 1.84
  • Chema Andrés 79’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Andrés goal decides it for VfB Stuttgart

VfB Stuttgart entered as favourites and won 1–0 through a Andrés goal. VfB Stuttgart won despite the lower xG; Borussia Mönchengladbach created the better chances (1.84 vs 0.87). On the chances created, Borussia Mönchengladbach deserved more: 2.0 expected points against the 0 points they took.

VfB Stuttgart ✓56%
Draw23%
Borussia Mönchengladbach21%

Model vs reality

VfB Stuttgart goals
1
Model 1.96 · xG 0.87
Borussia Mönchengladbach goals
0
Model 1.13 · xG 1.84
Total goals
1
Model 3.10 · xG 2.71
Score 1–0
8%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 60%
Both scored
No
Model 59%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchA. NübelVfB Stuttgart
7.9
  • RefereeSven Jablonski
  • VenueMHPArena
  • Table before kick-offVfB Stuttgart 13th · Borussia Mönchengladbach 10th

Timeline

  1. ⇄ C. FührichFor D. Undav
    14’
  2. M. MittelstädtYellow card · Foul
    24’
  3. Half time · 0–0
  4. J. LewelingYellow card · Holding
    54’
  5. ⇄ Chema AndrésFor A. Karazor
    64’
  6. ⇄ L. JovanovićFor C. Führich
    64’
  7. ⇄ N. NarteyFor M. Mittelstädt
    74’
  8. ⇄ L. AssignonFor Tiago Tomás
    74’
  9. ⇄ J. CastropFor S. Machino
    75’
  10. J. ScallyYellow card · Foul
    76’
  11. Chema Andrés 1–0Assist J. Leweling
    79’
  12. ⇄ F. ChiarodiaFor K. Stöger
    84’
  13. ⇄ F. NeuhausFor R. Reitz
    84’
  14. ⇄ G. RanosFor L. Ullrich
    85’
  15. ⇄ L. NetzFor J. Scally
    85’
  16. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

VfB Stuttgart13 shots · 9 in box, 4 outside
Borussia Mönchengladbach14 shots · 13 in box, 1 outside
VfB StuttgartBorussia Mönchengladbach
52% Possession 48%
0.87 Expected goals (xG) 1.84
0.74 Expected points (xPts) 2.03
13 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 5
3 Shots off target 7
5 Blocked shots 2
9 Shots inside the box 13
4 Shots outside the box 1
487 Passes 435
89% Pass accuracy 85%
6 Corners 9
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Fouls 11
2 Offsides 4
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
6.95 Team rating 6.83

Line-ups

VfB Stuttgart 4-2-3-1

337.9★ A. Nübel(G)
77.3 M. Mittelstädt ↓74’ 36.9 R. Hendriks 297.3 Finn Jeltsch 46.6 J. Vagnoman
67.5 A. Stiller 166.7 A. Karazor ↓64’
187.0 J. Leweling A 266.5 D. Undav ↓14’ 86.6 Tiago Tomás ↓74’
96.2 E. Demirović
  • 33A. Nübel (G) ★7.9
  • 7M. Mittelstädt↓74’7.3
  • 3R. Hendriks6.9
  • 29Finn Jeltsch7.3
  • 4J. Vagnoman6.6
  • 6A. Stiller7.5
  • 16A. Karazor↓64’6.7
  • 18J. LewelingA7.0
  • 26D. Undav↓14’6.5
  • 8Tiago Tomás↓74’6.6
  • 9E. Demirović6.2

Substitutes used

  • 10C. Führich6.3
  • 22L. Assignon↑74’6.7
  • 30Chema Andrés↑64’7.6
  • 45L. Jovanović↑64’6.3
  • 28N. Nartey↑74’6.6

Unused: F. Bredlow, P. Stenzel, D. Zagadou, N. Darvich

Borussia Mönchengladbach 4-2-3-1

337.6 M. Nicolas(G)
266.5 L. Ullrich ↓85’ 46.5 K. Diks 307.0 N. Elvedi 296.3 J. Scally ↓85’
167.3 P. Sander 276.7 R. Reitz ↓84’
256.5 R. Hack 77.0 K. Stöger ↓84’ 96.9 F. Honorat
186.9 S. Machino ↓75’
  • 33M. Nicolas (G)7.6
  • 26L. Ullrich↓85’6.5
  • 4K. Diks6.5
  • 30N. Elvedi7.0
  • 29J. Scally↓85’6.3
  • 16P. Sander7.3
  • 27R. Reitz↓84’6.7
  • 25R. Hack6.5
  • 7K. Stöger↓84’7.0
  • 9F. Honorat6.9
  • 18S. Machino↓75’6.9

Substitutes used

  • 20L. Netz↑85’
  • 2F. Chiarodia↑84’
  • 17J. Castrop↑75’6.2
  • 10F. Neuhaus↑84’
  • 28G. Ranos↑85’

Unused: T. Sippel, J. Omlin, M. Friedrich, O. Fraulo

Player stats

Top rated
A. NübelVfB Stuttgart7.9
2nd
Chema AndrésVfB Stuttgart7.6
3rd
M. NicolasBorussia Mönchengladbach7.6

VfB Stuttgart

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.