Bundesliga Gameweek 4 Fri, Sep 19 2025 · 19:30 MHPArena, Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart
2–0 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 1.62 – 1.04
FC St. Pauli
  • E. Demirović 43’
  • B. El Khannouss 50’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

VfB Stuttgart beat FC St. Pauli

VfB Stuttgart entered as clear favourites and won 2–0 through goals from Demirović and Khannouss. VfB Stuttgart finished with the higher xG (1.62 vs 1.04). On the chances created, FC St. Pauli deserved more: 1.0 expected points against the 0 points they took.

VfB Stuttgart ✓63%
Draw21%
FC St. Pauli16%

Model vs reality

VfB Stuttgart goals
2
Model 2.16 · xG 1.62
FC St. Pauli goals
0
Model 1.01 · xG 1.04
Total goals
2
Model 3.17 · xG 2.66
Score 2–0
10%
Most likely 2–1 (10%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 61%
Both scored
No
Model 57%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchJ. ChabotVfB Stuttgart
8.0
  • RefereeSascha Stegemann
  • Coaches— · A. Blessin
  • VenueMHPArena
  • Table before kick-offVfB Stuttgart 12th · FC St. Pauli 4th

Timeline

  1. ✕ A. StillerMissed penalty
    25’
  2. J. SandsYellow card · Elbowing
    40’
  3. E. Demirović 1–0Assist J. Leweling
    43’
  4. Half time · 1–0
  5. B. El Khannouss 2–0Assist E. Demirović
    50’
  6. ⇄ O. AfolayanFor A. Hountondji
    62’
  7. ⇄ M. KaarsFor M. Pereira Lage
    62’
  8. O. AfolayanYellow card · Foul
    67’
  9. ⇄ C. FührichFor Tiago Tomás
    73’
  10. ⇄ C. MetcalfeFor D. Sinani
    74’
  11. ⇄ L. RitzkaFor A. Dźwigała
    82’
  12. ⇄ Arkadiusz PyrkaFor E. Saliakas
    82’
  13. ⇄ B. BouananiFor E. Demirović
    85’
  14. ⇄ R. HendriksFor M. Mittelstädt
    85’
  15. ⇄ A. KarazorFor Chema Andrés
    90+2’
  16. ⇄ N. NarteyFor J. Leweling
    90+2’
  17. Full time · 2–0

Team stats

VfB Stuttgart16 shots · 10 in box, 6 outside
FC St. Pauli8 shots · 6 in box, 2 outside
VfB StuttgartFC St. Pauli
52% Possession 48%
1.62 Expected goals (xG) 1.04
1.77 Expected points (xPts) 0.98
16 Shots 8
7 Shots on target 2
3 Shots off target 2
6 Blocked shots 4
10 Shots inside the box 6
6 Shots outside the box 2
480 Passes 439
86% Pass accuracy 77%
8 Corners 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
13 Fouls 14
2 Offsides 0
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
7.24 Team rating 6.58

Line-ups

VfB Stuttgart 4-2-3-1

337.0 A. Nübel(G)
77.5 M. Mittelstädt ↓85’ 248.0★ J. Chabot 297.3 Finn Jeltsch 226.7 L. Assignon
66.3 A. Stiller 307.2 Chema Andrés ↓90’
187.2 J. Leweling A↓90’ 117.7 B. El Khannouss 87.3 Tiago Tomás ↓73’
97.6 E. Demirović A↓85’
  • 33A. Nübel (G)7.0
  • 7M. Mittelstädt↓85’7.5
  • 24J. Chabot ★8.0
  • 29Finn Jeltsch7.3
  • 22L. Assignon6.7
  • 6A. Stiller6.3
  • 30Chema Andrés↓90’7.2
  • 18J. LewelingA↓90’7.2
  • 11B. El Khannouss7.7
  • 8Tiago Tomás↓73’7.3
  • 9E. DemirovićA↓85’7.6

Substitutes used

  • 10C. Führich↑73’6.5
  • 3R. Hendriks↑85’
  • 16A. Karazor↑90’
  • 27B. Bouanani↑85’
  • 28N. Nartey↑90’

Unused: S. Drljača, J. Vagnoman, A. Al Dakhil, P. Stenzel

FC St. Pauli 3-4-1-2

227.9 N. Vasilj(G)
256.7 A. Dźwigała ↓82’ 85.9 E. Smith 56.9 H. Wahl
236.2 Louis Oppie 166.9 J. Fujita 66.3 J. Sands 26.7 E. Saliakas ↓82’
106.0 D. Sinani ↓74’
286.6 M. Pereira Lage ↓62’ 276.3 A. Hountondji ↓62’
  • 22N. Vasilj (G)7.9
  • 25A. Dźwigała↓82’6.7
  • 8E. Smith5.9
  • 5H. Wahl6.9
  • 23Louis Oppie6.2
  • 16J. Fujita6.9
  • 6J. Sands6.3
  • 2E. Saliakas↓82’6.7
  • 10D. Sinani↓74’6.0
  • 28M. Pereira Lage↓62’6.6
  • 27A. Hountondji↓62’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 19M. Kaars↑62’6.2
  • 17O. Afolayan↑62’6.5
  • 24C. Metcalfe↑74’6.5
  • 11Arkadiusz Pyrka↑82’6.3
  • 21L. Ritzka↑82’6.6

Unused: B. Voll, Jannik Thomas Robatsch, Nick Schmidt, E. Ahlstrand

Coach: A. Blessin

Player stats

Top rated
J. ChabotVfB Stuttgart8.0
2nd
N. VasiljFC St. Pauli7.9
3rd
B. El KhannoussVfB Stuttgart7.7

VfB Stuttgart

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
A. Nübel G 90 0 0 3 sv 0 71% 21 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.0
M. Mittelstädt D 85 0 0 1 (0) 2 91% 57 0 4 0/0 0/1 7.5
J. Chabot D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 88% 69 4 5 1/1 0/4 8.0
Finn Jeltsch D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 90% 67 2 0 0/0 0/1 7.3
L. Assignon D 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 90% 30 1 1 1/2 4/0 6.7
A. Stiller M 90 0 0 2 (2) 1 89% 66 1 2 2/2 3/2 6.3
Chema Andrés M 90 0 0 1 (0) 2 85% 53 4 4 0/0 2/0 7.2
J. Leweling F 90 0 1 0 (0) 3 85% 20 0 0 0/1 0/1 7.2
B. El Khannouss M 90 1 0 2 (1) 2 79% 47 1 0 0/2 0/0 7.7
Tiago Tomás F 73 0 0 0 (0) 1 83% 12 0 0 4/7 0/4 7.3
E. Demirović F 85 1 1 2 (2) 1 67% 12 0 0 1/1 4/0 7.6
C. Führich M 17 0 0 0 (0) 1 73% 11 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
R. Hendriks D 5 0 0 0 (0) 0 67% 3 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
A. Karazor M 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
B. Bouanani M 5 0 0 1 (1) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
N. Nartey M 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 —

FC St. Pauli

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
N. Vasilj G 90 0 0 5 sv 0 74% 35 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.9
A. Dźwigała D 82 0 0 0 (0) 0 88% 42 4 2 0/0 2/0 6.7
E. Smith M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 84% 57 1 0 0/0 1/2 5.9
H. Wahl D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 85% 53 2 1 0/0 0/1 6.9
Louis Oppie D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 76% 34 0 0 0/1 2/2 6.2
J. Fujita M 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 84% 49 1 2 1/1 1/0 6.9
J. Sands M 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 74% 38 2 2 0/0 4/2 6.3
E. Saliakas D 82 0 0 0 (0) 0 72% 25 3 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
D. Sinani M 74 0 0 0 (0) 1 59% 41 0 0 0/1 0/3 6.0
M. Pereira Lage M 62 0 0 1 (1) 0 67% 15 1 1 1/2 0/2 6.6
A. Hountondji F 62 0 0 0 (0) 0 64% 11 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.3
M. Kaars F 28 0 0 0 (0) 1 88% 8 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.2
O. Afolayan F 28 0 0 1 (1) 0 40% 5 1 1 1/1 1/0 6.5
C. Metcalfe M 16 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 4 1 0 0/1 1/0 6.5
Arkadiusz Pyrka M 8 0 0 0 (0) 0 67% 3 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
L. Ritzka D 8 0 0 0 (0) 0 67% 6 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.6

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.