Bundesliga Gameweek 8 Sun, Oct 26 2025 · 16:30 MHPArena, Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart
2–1 Full time · HT 1–1 xG 2.07 – 1.38
FSV Mainz 05
  • C. Führich 45+4’
  • D. Undav 79’
  • 41’ (P) N. Amiri
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

VfB Stuttgart come from behind to beat FSV Mainz 05

VfB Stuttgart entered as favourites, yet FSV Mainz 05 led 1–0 after 41 minutes through a Amiri goal. But Führich and Undav scored to turn it around for VfB Stuttgart, who won 2–1. VfB Stuttgart finished with the higher xG (2.07 vs 1.38). On the chances created, FSV Mainz 05 deserved more: 1.0 expected points against the 0 points they took.

VfB Stuttgart ✓52%
Draw24%
FSV Mainz 0525%

Model vs reality

VfB Stuttgart goals
2
Model 1.85 · xG 2.07
FSV Mainz 05 goals
1
Model 1.22 · xG 1.38
Total goals
3
Model 3.07 · xG 3.45
Score 2–1
10%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 59%
Both scored
Yes
Model 60%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchD. UndavVfB Stuttgart · 1 goal
8.2
  • RefereeFelix Zwayer
  • VenueMHPArena
  • Table before kick-offVfB Stuttgart 5th · FSV Mainz 05 16th

Timeline

  1. N. Amiri (pen) 0–1
    41’
  2. P. StenzelYellow card · Holding
    45+1’
  3. C. Führich 1–1
    45+4’
  4. Half time · 1–1
  5. P. MweneYellow card · Foul
    59’
  6. ⇄ L. AssignonFor P. Stenzel
    62’
  7. ⇄ A. StillerFor N. Nartey
    62’
  8. D. KohrYellow card · Holding
    63’
  9. Finn JeltschYellow card · Holding
    65’
  10. ⇄ A. SiebFor B. Hollerbach
    67’
  11. ⇄ A. Hanche-OlsenFor D. Kohr
    67’
  12. ⇄ Tiago TomásFor J. Leweling
    72’
  13. ⇄ B. El KhannoussFor C. Führich
    72’
  14. ⇄ J. ChabotFor D. Zagadou
    75’
  15. L. AssignonYellow card · Tripping
    77’
  16. D. Undav 2–1Assist A. Nübel
    79’
  17. ⇄ N. VeratschnigFor S. Widmer
    81’
  18. ⇄ A. NordinFor J. Lee
    87’
  19. ⇄ N. WeiperFor S. Bell
    87’
  20. Full time · 2–1

Team stats

VfB Stuttgart19 shots · 13 in box, 6 outside
FSV Mainz 0511 shots · 10 in box, 1 outside
VfB StuttgartFSV Mainz 05
60% Possession 40%
2.07 Expected goals (xG) 1.38
1.81 Expected points (xPts) 0.97
19 Shots 11
8 Shots on target 2
6 Shots off target 6
5 Blocked shots 3
13 Shots inside the box 10
6 Shots outside the box 1
473 Passes 305
82% Pass accuracy 70%
7 Corners 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
11 Fouls 12
5 Offsides 5
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
7.08 Team rating 6.56

Line-ups

VfB Stuttgart 3-4-2-1

337.9 A. Nübel(G) A
26.5 A. Al Dakhil 236.9 D. Zagadou ↓75’ 296.7 Finn Jeltsch
47.0 J. Vagnoman 286.9 N. Nartey ↓62’ 306.9 Chema Andrés 156.2 P. Stenzel ↓62’
107.6 C. Führich ↓72’ 187.3 J. Leweling ↓72’
268.2★ D. Undav
  • 33A. Nübel (G)A7.9
  • 2A. Al Dakhil6.5
  • 23D. Zagadou↓75’6.9
  • 29Finn Jeltsch6.7
  • 4J. Vagnoman7.0
  • 28N. Nartey↓62’6.9
  • 30Chema Andrés6.9
  • 15P. Stenzel↓62’6.2
  • 10C. Führich↓72’7.6
  • 18J. Leweling↓72’7.3
  • 26D. Undav ★8.2

Substitutes used

  • 24J. Chabot↑75’6.9
  • 6A. Stiller↑62’6.9
  • 22L. Assignon↑62’6.5
  • 11B. El Khannouss↑72’6.6
  • 8Tiago Tomás↑72’6.6

Unused: F. Bredlow, R. Hendriks, A. Karazor, B. Bouanani

FSV Mainz 05 3-4-2-1

277.3 R. Zentner(G)
315.9 D. Kohr ↓67’ 165.3 S. Bell ↓87’ 216.9 D. da Costa
306.9 S. Widmer ↓81’ 66.7 K. Sano 107.2 N. Amiri 26.6 P. Mwene
76.3 J. Lee ↓87’ 86.2 P. Nebel
176.9 B. Hollerbach ↓67’
  • 27R. Zentner (G)7.3
  • 31D. Kohr↓67’5.9
  • 16S. Bell↓87’5.3
  • 21D. da Costa6.9
  • 30S. Widmer↓81’6.9
  • 6K. Sano6.7
  • 10N. Amiri7.2
  • 2P. Mwene6.6
  • 7J. Lee↓87’6.3
  • 8P. Nebel6.2
  • 17B. Hollerbach↓67’6.9

Substitutes used

  • 25A. Hanche-Olsen↑67’6.5
  • 22N. Veratschnig↑81’6.5
  • 9A. Nordin↑87’
  • 11A. Sieb↑67’6.2
  • 44N. Weiper↑87’

Unused: L. Rieß, Sota Kawasaki, L. Maloney, B. Bobzien

Player stats

Top rated
D. UndavVfB Stuttgart8.2
2nd
A. NübelVfB Stuttgart7.9
3rd
C. FührichVfB Stuttgart7.6

VfB Stuttgart

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
A. Nübel G 90 0 1 1 sv 1 77% 30 0 0 0/0 0/1 7.9
A. Al Dakhil D 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 91% 69 0 2 0/1 0/0 6.5
D. Zagadou D 75 0 0 3 (1) 0 88% 74 3 1 0/0 2/0 6.9
Finn Jeltsch D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 91% 56 1 0 1/2 1/1 6.7
J. Vagnoman D 90 0 0 1 (0) 2 79% 29 3 0 2/2 3/1 7.0
N. Nartey M 62 0 0 0 (0) 2 85% 33 1 1 0/1 0/0 6.9
Chema Andrés M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 75% 48 2 1 0/0 1/1 6.9
P. Stenzel D 62 0 0 2 (1) 0 77% 31 0 2 0/0 1/0 6.2
C. Führich M 72 1 0 1 (1) 0 64% 22 2 0 0/1 1/1 7.6
J. Leweling F 72 0 0 1 (1) 1 75% 12 0 0 0/1 0/3 7.3
D. Undav F 90 1 0 3 (3) 4 65% 23 1 1 0/0 0/1 8.2
J. Chabot D 15 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 6 1 0 0/0 0/1 6.9
A. Stiller M 28 0 0 0 (0) 1 85% 20 0 0 1/2 0/0 6.9
L. Assignon D 28 0 0 1 (0) 0 80% 5 0 1 0/0 2/0 6.5
B. El Khannouss M 18 0 0 1 (1) 0 57% 7 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.6
Tiago Tomás F 18 0 0 0 (0) 0 60% 5 1 0 1/1 0/1 6.6

FSV Mainz 05

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
R. Zentner G 90 0 0 6 sv 0 44% 43 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.3
D. Kohr M 67 0 0 0 (0) 0 69% 29 0 0 0/0 3/0 5.9
S. Bell D 87 0 0 0 (0) 1 59% 22 0 3 0/0 3/1 5.3
D. da Costa D 90 0 0 2 (1) 0 87% 23 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.9
S. Widmer D 81 0 0 1 (0) 0 79% 14 0 0 1/1 0/3 6.9
K. Sano M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 81% 32 1 0 0/0 1/0 6.7
N. Amiri M 90 1 0 1 (1) 1 81% 52 4 3 1/2 0/0 7.2
P. Mwene D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 73% 15 1 0 1/2 1/3 6.6
J. Lee M 87 0 0 1 (0) 0 71% 14 3 1 0/0 1/1 6.3
P. Nebel M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 69% 26 0 0 2/3 0/0 6.2
B. Hollerbach F 67 0 0 0 (0) 1 63% 8 1 0 1/3 0/1 6.9
A. Hanche-Olsen D 23 0 0 0 (0) 0 73% 11 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
N. Veratschnig D 9 0 0 1 (0) 0 50% 4 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
A. Nordin F 3 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
A. Sieb M 23 0 0 0 (0) 0 67% 3 0 0 1/3 2/0 6.2
N. Weiper F 3 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 0 0 0/0 0/0 —

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.