Bundesliga Gameweek 29 Sun, Apr 12 2026 · 16:30 MHPArena, Stuttgart
4–0 Full time · HT 2–0 xG 3.64 – 0.61
  • A. Stiller 21’
  • C. Führich 32’
  • M. Mittelstädt 56’
  • B. El Khannouss 86’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

VfB Stuttgart cruise past Hamburger SV

VfB Stuttgart entered as clear favourites and won 4–0 through goals from Stiller, Führich, Mittelstädt and Khannouss. VfB Stuttgart finished with the higher xG (3.64 vs 0.61).

VfB Stuttgart ✓77%
Draw14%
Hamburger SV9%

Model vs reality

VfB Stuttgart goals
4
Model 2.92 · xG 3.64
Hamburger SV goals
0
Model 0.94 · xG 0.61
Total goals
4
Model 3.86 · xG 4.25
Score 4–0
6%
Most likely 2–0 (9%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 74%
Both scored
No
Model 58%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchM. MittelstädtVfB Stuttgart · 1 goal
9.7
  • VenueMHPArena
  • Table before kick-offVfB Stuttgart 4th · Hamburger SV 12th

Timeline

  1. A. Stiller 1–0Assist J. Leweling
    21’
  2. Chema AndrésYellow card · Tripping
    24’
  3. C. Führich 2–0Assist E. Demirović
    32’
  4. Half time · 2–0
  5. M. Mittelstädt 3–0Assist C. Führich
    56’
  6. ⇄ R. GlatzelFor A. Grønbæk
    60’
  7. ⇄ Otto StangeFor Rayan Philippe
    60’
  8. VAR E. DemirovićGoal Disallowed - offside
    66’
  9. ⇄ Tiago TomásFor E. Demirović
    70’
  10. ⇄ B. El KhannoussFor C. Führich
    70’
  11. ⇄ N. NarteyFor Chema Andrés
    70’
  12. ⇄ G. GocholeishviliFor Fabio Amadu Uri Baldé
    72’
  13. ⇄ N. CapaldoFor Daniel Elfadli
    72’
  14. N. CapaldoYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    80’
  15. D. UndavYellow card
    80’
  16. ✕ D. UndavMissed penalty
    82’
  17. B. El Khannouss 4–0Assist Tiago Tomás
    86’
  18. ⇄ J. VagnomanFor L. Assignon
    88’
  19. ⇄ Jeremy ArevaloFor D. Undav
    88’
  20. Full time · 4–0

Team stats

VfB Stuttgart23 shots · 16 in box, 7 outside
Hamburger SV9 shots · 4 in box, 5 outside
VfB StuttgartHamburger SV
65% Possession 35%
3.64 Expected goals (xG) 0.61
2.77 Expected points (xPts) 0.16
23 Shots 9
11 Shots on target 5
5 Shots off target 4
7 Blocked shots 0
16 Shots inside the box 4
7 Shots outside the box 5
534 Passes 286
85% Pass accuracy 75%
8 Corners 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 7
9 Fouls 14
5 Offsides 1
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
7.57 Team rating 6.44

Line-ups

VfB Stuttgart 4-2-3-1

336.9 A. Nübel(G)
79.7★ M. Mittelstädt 247.9 J. Chabot 37.2 R. Hendriks 226.6 L. Assignon ↓88’
67.9 A. Stiller 307.0 Chema Andrés ↓70’
108.6 C. Führich A↓70’ 267.3 D. Undav ↓88’ 187.2 J. Leweling A
96.9 E. Demirović A↓70’
  • 33A. Nübel (G)6.9
  • 7M. Mittelstädt ★9.7
  • 24J. Chabot7.9
  • 3R. Hendriks7.2
  • 22L. Assignon↓88’6.6
  • 6A. Stiller7.9
  • 30Chema Andrés↓70’7.0
  • 10C. FührichA↓70’8.6
  • 26D. Undav↓88’7.3
  • 18J. LewelingA7.2
  • 9E. DemirovićA↓70’6.9

Substitutes used

  • 8Tiago TomásA↑70’7.3
  • 11B. El Khannouss↑70’8.2
  • 28N. Nartey↑70’7.0
  • 25Jeremy Arevalo↑88’
  • 4J. Vagnoman↑88’

Unused: Finn Jeltsch, D. Zagadou, F. Bredlow, L. Jaquez

Hamburger SV 3-4-1-2

16.6 D. Heuer Fernandes(G)
86.3 Daniel Elfadli ↓72’ 256.7 J. Torunarigha 176.0 W. Omari
26.3 W. Mikelbrencis 216.2 N. Remberg 207.0 Fábio Vieira 236.3 A. Grønbæk ↓60’
116.5 R. Königsdörffer
456.5 Fabio Amadu Uri Baldé ↓72’ 146.5 Rayan Philippe ↓60’
  • 1D. Heuer Fernandes (G)6.6
  • 8Daniel Elfadli↓72’6.3
  • 25J. Torunarigha6.7
  • 17W. Omari6.0
  • 2W. Mikelbrencis6.3
  • 21N. Remberg6.2
  • 20Fábio Vieira7.0
  • 23A. Grønbæk↓60’6.3
  • 11R. Königsdörffer6.5
  • 45Fabio Amadu Uri Baldé↓72’6.5
  • 14Rayan Philippe↓60’6.5

Substitutes used

  • 16G. Gocholeishvili↑72’6.2
  • 9R. Glatzel↑60’6.3
  • 24N. Capaldo↑72’6.5
  • 49Otto Stange↑60’6.3

Unused: N. Katterbach, H. Hermann, D. Downs, S. Nandja, P. Otele

Player stats

Top rated
M. MittelstädtVfB Stuttgart9.7
2nd
C. FührichVfB Stuttgart8.6
3rd
B. El KhannoussVfB Stuttgart8.2

VfB Stuttgart

Hamburger SV

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.