Bundesliga Gameweek 26 Sun, Mar 15 2026 · 18:30 MHPArena, Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart
1–0 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 1.02 – 1.12
RB Leipzig
  • D. Undav 56’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Undav goal decides it for VfB Stuttgart

VfB Stuttgart entered as narrow favourites and won 1–0 through a Undav goal. The chances were even, with xG of 1.02 and 1.12. On the chances created, RB Leipzig deserved more: 1.4 expected points against the 0 points they took.

VfB Stuttgart ✓44%
Draw23%
RB Leipzig33%

Model vs reality

VfB Stuttgart goals
1
Model 1.95 · xG 1.02
RB Leipzig goals
0
Model 1.67 · xG 1.12
Total goals
1
Model 3.62 · xG 2.14
Score 1–0
5%
Most likely 1–1 (9%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 70%
Both scored
No
Model 70%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchA. StillerVfB Stuttgart
7.9
  • RefereeDeniz Aytekin
  • VenueMHPArena
  • Table before kick-offVfB Stuttgart 4th · RB Leipzig 5th

Timeline

  1. RômuloYellow card · Roughing
    39’
  2. Half time · 0–0
  3. D. Undav 1–0Assist C. Führich
    56’
  4. ⇄ B. GrudaFor E. Banzuzi
    64’
  5. A. KarazorYellow card · Foul
    68’
  6. ⇄ M. MittelstädtFor C. Führich
    69’
  7. ⇄ Tiago TomásFor E. Demirović
    69’
  8. ⇄ N. NarteyFor B. El Khannouss
    69’
  9. ⇄ X. SchlagerFor N. Seiwald
    71’
  10. ⇄ S. BakayokoFor A. Nusa
    71’
  11. ⇄ C. HarderFor Rômulo
    71’
  12. ⇄ L. AssignonFor J. Leweling
    81’
  13. X. SchlagerYellow card · Foul
    83’
  14. ⇄ Chema AndrésFor A. Karazor
    85’
  15. ⇄ B. HenrichsFor R. Baku
    88’
  16. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

VfB Stuttgart12 shots · 8 in box, 4 outside
RB Leipzig9 shots · 7 in box, 2 outside
VfB StuttgartRB Leipzig
58% Possession 42%
1.02 Expected goals (xG) 1.12
1.28 Expected points (xPts) 1.43
12 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 4
7 Shots off target 4
2 Blocked shots 1
8 Shots inside the box 7
4 Shots outside the box 2
482 Passes 350
77% Pass accuracy 72%
5 Corners 6
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Fouls 15
0 Offsides 1
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
7.24 Team rating 6.52

Line-ups

VfB Stuttgart 3-4-1-2

336.9 A. Nübel(G)
37.2 R. Hendriks 146.9 L. Jaquez 297.2 Finn Jeltsch
107.5 C. Führich A↓69’ 67.9★ A. Stiller 167.7 A. Karazor ↓85’ 187.5 J. Leweling ↓81’
117.0 B. El Khannouss ↓69’
267.9 D. Undav 96.3 E. Demirović ↓69’
  • 33A. Nübel (G)6.9
  • 3R. Hendriks7.2
  • 14L. Jaquez6.9
  • 29Finn Jeltsch7.2
  • 10C. FührichA↓69’7.5
  • 6A. Stiller ★7.9
  • 16A. Karazor↓85’7.7
  • 18J. Leweling↓81’7.5
  • 11B. El Khannouss↓69’7.0
  • 26D. Undav7.9
  • 9E. Demirović↓69’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 7M. Mittelstädt↑69’6.7
  • 22L. Assignon↑81’6.7
  • 30Chema Andrés↑85’
  • 28N. Nartey↑69’6.5
  • 8Tiago Tomás↑69’6.5

Unused: F. Bredlow, J. Chabot, A. Al Dakhil, Jeremy Arevalo

RB Leipzig 4-3-3

266.3 M. Vandevoordt(G)
226.9 D. Raum 237.2 C. Lukeba 47.2 V. Orbán 176.7 R. Baku ↓88’
145.7 C. Baumgartner 136.3 N. Seiwald ↓71’ 66.7 E. Banzuzi ↓64’
76.3 A. Nusa ↓71’ 405.9 Rômulo ↓71’ 496.7 Y. Diomande
  • 26M. Vandevoordt (G)6.3
  • 22D. Raum6.9
  • 23C. Lukeba7.2
  • 4V. Orbán7.2
  • 17R. Baku↓88’6.7
  • 14C. Baumgartner5.7
  • 13N. Seiwald↓71’6.3
  • 6E. Banzuzi↓64’6.7
  • 7A. Nusa↓71’6.3
  • 40Rômulo↓71’5.9
  • 49Y. Diomande6.7

Substitutes used

  • 39B. Henrichs↑88’
  • 24X. Schlager↑71’6.7
  • 10B. Gruda↑64’6.2
  • 9S. Bakayoko↑71’6.3
  • 11C. Harder↑71’5.6

Unused: L. Zingerle, E. Bitshiabu, M. Finkgräfe, Tidiam Gomis

Player stats

Top rated
A. StillerVfB Stuttgart7.9
2nd
D. UndavVfB Stuttgart7.9
3rd
A. KarazorVfB Stuttgart7.7

VfB Stuttgart

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
A. Nübel G 90 0 0 4 sv 0 48% 52 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
R. Hendriks D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 85% 47 3 1 1/1 1/0 7.2
L. Jaquez D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 94% 47 0 2 0/0 0/0 6.9
Finn Jeltsch D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 84% 50 4 2 0/0 0/0 7.2
C. Führich M 69 0 1 1 (0) 3 84% 32 0 0 1/1 0/0 7.5
A. Stiller M 90 0 0 0 (0) 4 86% 57 2 3 0/0 0/4 7.9
A. Karazor M 85 0 0 0 (0) 0 80% 54 5 0 0/0 1/3 7.7
J. Leweling F 81 0 0 2 (1) 0 86% 28 3 1 0/0 0/0 7.5
B. El Khannouss M 69 0 0 0 (0) 1 75% 40 1 0 2/3 0/1 7.0
D. Undav F 90 1 0 5 (2) 1 57% 30 1 0 1/1 1/2 7.9
E. Demirović F 69 0 0 1 (0) 0 67% 18 2 0 0/1 0/0 6.3
M. Mittelstädt D 21 0 0 1 (0) 0 75% 8 0 0 1/1 0/0 6.7
L. Assignon D 9 0 0 0 (0) 0 33% 3 0 1 0/0 0/1 6.7
Chema Andrés M 5 0 0 0 (0) 0 0% 3 0 1 0/0 0/0 —
N. Nartey M 21 0 0 0 (0) 0 71% 7 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
Tiago Tomás F 21 0 0 0 (0) 0 83% 6 0 0 0/0 0/2 6.5

RB Leipzig

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
M. Vandevoordt G 90 0 0 2 sv 0 54% 37 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
D. Raum D 90 0 0 0 (0) 5 57% 46 0 2 0/1 0/0 6.9
C. Lukeba D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 83% 47 2 0 1/1 2/0 7.2
V. Orbán D 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 70% 27 0 6 1/2 3/1 7.2
R. Baku M 88 0 0 0 (0) 0 74% 31 0 1 0/0 1/0 6.7
C. Baumgartner M 90 0 0 2 (0) 0 66% 32 0 3 0/3 4/0 5.7
N. Seiwald M 71 0 0 2 (2) 0 76% 21 3 1 0/0 0/0 6.3
E. Banzuzi M 64 0 0 0 (0) 0 89% 19 1 2 0/0 2/0 6.7
A. Nusa M 71 0 0 0 (0) 0 71% 17 0 1 0/2 0/0 6.3
Rômulo F 71 0 0 1 (0) 0 92% 13 0 0 0/3 2/0 5.9
Y. Diomande F 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 88% 32 0 0 1/4 0/2 6.7
B. Henrichs D 2 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 2 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
X. Schlager M 19 0 0 0 (0) 0 78% 9 1 0 1/1 1/0 6.7
B. Gruda M 26 0 0 2 (2) 0 60% 5 0 0 0/1 0/0 6.2
S. Bakayoko F 19 0 0 0 (0) 0 56% 9 0 0 1/1 0/0 6.3
C. Harder F 19 0 0 0 (0) 0 67% 3 0 0 1/1 0/0 5.6

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.