Bundesliga Gameweek 33 Sat, May 9 2026 · 17:30 Volkswagen Arena, Wolfsburg
VfL Wolfsburg
0–1 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 3.05 – 1.85
Bayern München
  • 56’ M. Olise
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Olise goal decides it for Bayern München

Bayern München entered as clear favourites and won 1–0 through a Olise goal. Bayern München won despite the lower xG; VfL Wolfsburg created the better chances (3.05 vs 1.85). On the chances created, VfL Wolfsburg deserved more: 2.0 expected points against the 0 points they took.

VfL Wolfsburg9%
Draw13%
Bayern München ✓78%

Model vs reality

VfL Wolfsburg goals
0
Model 1.14 · xG 3.05
Bayern München goals
1
Model 3.30 · xG 1.85
Total goals
1
Model 4.44 · xG 4.90
Score 0–1
4%
Most likely 1–3 (8%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 82%
Both scored
No
Model 66%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchM. OliseBayern München · 1 goal
8.7
  • RefereeMatthias Jollenbeck
  • CoachesDieter Hecking · —
  • VenueVolkswagen Arena
  • Table before kick-offVfL Wolfsburg 16th · Bayern München 1st

Timeline

  1. ✕ H. KaneMissed penalty
    36’
  2. Half time · 0–0
  3. ⇄ D. UpamecanoFor M. Kim
    46’
  4. ⇄ K. LaimerFor L. Goretzka
    46’
  5. M. Olise 0–1Assist K. Laimer
    56’
  6. ⇄ L. DíazFor N. Jackson
    58’
  7. ⇄ L. MajerFor P. Wimmer
    66’
  8. ⇄ M. SvanbergFor C. Eriksen
    66’
  9. ⇄ Y. GerhardtFor Vinicius Souza
    74’
  10. ⇄ K. ShiogaiFor A. Daghim
    74’
  11. ⇄ Lennart KarlFor J. Musiala
    76’
  12. ⇄ J. TahFor H. Ito
    84’
  13. ⇄ J. LindstrømFor S. Kumbedi
    90’
  14. K. ShiogaiYellow card · Tripping
    90+1’
  15. Full time · 0–1

Team stats

VfL Wolfsburg16 shots · 14 in box, 2 outside
Bayern München16 shots · 9 in box, 7 outside
VfL WolfsburgBayern München
31% Possession 69%
3.05 Expected goals (xG) 1.85
2.02 Expected points (xPts) 0.81
16 Shots 16
5 Shots on target 9
6 Shots off target 5
5 Blocked shots 2
14 Shots inside the box 9
2 Shots outside the box 7
318 Passes 753
77% Pass accuracy 90%
6 Corners 3
8 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Fouls 5
2 Offsides 3
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
7.08 Team rating 7.11

Line-ups

VfL Wolfsburg 3-5-2

18.3 K. Grabara(G)
46.0 K. Koulierakis 37.3 D. Vavro 67.5 J. Belocian
216.9 J. Mæhle 247.2 C. Eriksen ↓66’ 57.2 Vinicius Souza ↓74’ 396.9 P. Wimmer ↓66’ 267.2 S. Kumbedi ↓90’
176.7 D. Pejčinović 117.2 A. Daghim ↓74’
  • 1K. Grabara (G)8.3
  • 4K. Koulierakis6.0
  • 3D. Vavro7.3
  • 6J. Belocian7.5
  • 21J. Mæhle6.9
  • 24C. Eriksen↓66’7.2
  • 5Vinicius Souza↓74’7.2
  • 39P. Wimmer↓66’6.9
  • 26S. Kumbedi↓90’7.2
  • 17D. Pejčinović6.7
  • 11A. Daghim↓74’7.2

Substitutes used

  • 31Y. Gerhardt↑74’6.3
  • 19J. Lindstrøm↑90’
  • 32M. Svanberg↑66’6.7
  • 10L. Majer↑66’6.5
  • 7K. Shiogai↑74’6.5

Unused: P. Pervan, A. Zehnter, M. Jenz, J. Adjetey

Coach: Dieter Hecking

Bayern München 4-2-3-1

407.7 J. Urbig(G)
207.3 T. Bischof 217.0 H. Ito ↓84’ 38.3 M. Kim ↓46’ 446.9 J. Stanišić
86.3 L. Goretzka ↓46’ 68.0 J. Kimmich
116.3 N. Jackson ↓58’ 106.2 J. Musiala ↓76’ 178.7★ M. Olise
95.9 H. Kane
  • 40J. Urbig (G)7.7
  • 20T. Bischof7.3
  • 21H. Ito↓84’7.0
  • 3M. Kim↓46’8.3
  • 44J. Stanišić6.9
  • 8L. Goretzka↓46’6.3
  • 6J. Kimmich8.0
  • 11N. Jackson↓58’6.3
  • 10J. Musiala↓76’6.2
  • 17M. Olise ★8.7
  • 9H. Kane5.9

Substitutes used

  • 2D. Upamecano↑46’6.9
  • 27K. LaimerA↑46’6.9
  • 4J. Tah↑84’
  • 14L. Díaz↑58’6.2
  • 42Lennart Karl↑76’6.3

Unused: M. Neuer, R. Guerreiro, B. Ndiaye, A. Pavlović

Player stats

Top rated
M. OliseBayern München8.7
2nd
K. GrabaraVfL Wolfsburg8.3
3rd
M. KimBayern München8.3

VfL Wolfsburg

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
K. Grabara G 90 0 0 8 sv 0 56% 27 0 0 0/0 0/1 8.3
K. Koulierakis D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 84% 31 0 1 0/1 2/1 6.0
D. Vavro D 90 0 0 2 (1) 0 96% 25 1 1 0/0 1/0 7.3
J. Belocian D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 90% 29 5 2 0/0 0/0 7.5
J. Mæhle D 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 78% 32 3 2 1/6 0/0 6.9
C. Eriksen M 66 0 0 1 (1) 1 68% 25 2 2 0/0 0/1 7.2
Vinicius Souza M 74 0 0 1 (1) 0 83% 36 3 1 1/1 1/0 7.2
P. Wimmer M 66 0 0 2 (0) 2 88% 17 2 3 2/6 0/0 6.9
S. Kumbedi D 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 72% 25 3 0 1/1 1/1 7.2
D. Pejčinović F 90 0 0 4 (2) 2 71% 31 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
A. Daghim F 74 0 0 0 (0) 2 81% 16 1 0 1/4 1/1 7.2
Y. Gerhardt M 16 0 0 0 (0) 0 60% 5 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
J. Lindstrøm M 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
M. Svanberg M 24 0 0 1 (0) 0 67% 6 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
L. Majer M 24 0 0 0 (0) 0 20% 5 2 0 0/0 1/0 6.5
K. Shiogai F 16 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 4 0 1 0/2 0/0 6.5

Bayern München

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
J. Urbig G 90 0 0 5 sv 0 81% 32 0 0 0/0 0/1 7.7
T. Bischof M 90 0 0 2 (1) 2 94% 86 5 2 0/0 0/0 7.3
H. Ito D 84 0 0 0 (0) 0 94% 64 1 2 1/1 1/0 7.0
M. Kim D 46 0 0 0 (0) 0 96% 55 1 2 0/0 0/0 8.3
J. Stanišić D 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 93% 72 2 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
L. Goretzka M 46 0 0 1 (0) 0 86% 36 2 1 0/0 1/1 6.3
J. Kimmich M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 95% 111 2 1 0/0 0/1 8.0
N. Jackson F 58 0 0 2 (1) 1 76% 25 0 0 2/4 0/1 6.3
J. Musiala F 76 0 0 3 (3) 4 88% 32 1 0 0/2 0/0 6.2
M. Olise M 90 1 0 3 (2) 1 86% 79 0 0 4/5 2/3 8.7
H. Kane F 90 0 0 2 (1) 1 82% 22 1 0 0/0 1/0 5.9
D. Upamecano D 44 0 0 0 (0) 0 93% 43 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
K. Laimer M 44 0 1 0 (0) 2 84% 49 3 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
J. Tah D 6 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 3 1 0 0/0 0/0 —
L. Díaz F 32 0 0 0 (0) 0 81% 21 0 0 0/1 0/0 6.2
Lennart Karl M 14 0 0 1 (1) 0 80% 10 2 1 0/0 0/0 6.3

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.