Bundesliga Gameweek 2 Sun, Aug 31 2025 · 14:30 Volkswagen Arena, Wolfsburg
1–1 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 0.57 – 1.69
  • A. Zehnter 9’
  • M. Svanberg 90+10’
  • 89’ (P) N. Amiri
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

FSV Mainz 05 snatch a late draw

VfL Wolfsburg entered as narrow favourites and led 1–0 at half-time through a Zehnter goal. But Amiri scored to rescue a draw for FSV Mainz 05. VfL Wolfsburg played with ten men from the 90th minute after Svanberg was sent off. FSV Mainz 05 finished with the higher xG (1.69 vs 0.57). On the chances created, FSV Mainz 05 deserved more: 2.2 expected points against the 1 point they took.

VfL Wolfsburg40%
Draw ✓26%
FSV Mainz 0534%

Model vs reality

VfL Wolfsburg goals
1
Model 1.53 · xG 0.57
FSV Mainz 05 goals
1
Model 1.37 · xG 1.69
Total goals
2
Model 2.90 · xG 2.26
Score 1–1
12%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 55%
Both scored
Yes
Model 59%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchA. ZehnterVfL Wolfsburg · 1 goal
8.2
  • RefereeSören Storks
  • CoachesP. Simonis · —
  • VenueVolkswagen Arena
  • Table before kick-offVfL Wolfsburg 4th · FSV Mainz 05 16th

Timeline

  1. A. Zehnter 1–0Assist L. Majer
    9’
  2. D. da CostaYellow card · Tripping
    40’
  3. R. ZentnerYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    42’
  4. Half time · 1–0
  5. ⇄ A. Hanche-OlsenFor S. Bell
    46’
  6. ⇄ V. ČernýFor A. Skov Olsen
    46’
  7. A. Hanche-OlsenYellow card · Holding
    49’
  8. P. WimmerYellow card · Holding
    60’
  9. ⇄ A. SiebFor N. Weiper
    69’
  10. ⇄ N. VeratschnigFor P. Mwene
    69’
  11. ⇄ M. SvanbergFor L. Majer
    70’
  12. ⇄ B. BobzienFor A. Nordin
    82’
  13. A. CaciYellow card · Tripping
    86’
  14. N. Amiri (pen) 1–1
    89’
  15. ⇄ J. MæhleFor A. Zehnter
    90+6’
  16. ⇄ J. WindFor Vinicius Souza
    90+6’
  17. M. SvanbergYellow card · Tripping
    90+9’
  18. M. SvanbergSecond yellow · Tripping
    90+10’
  19. A. SiebYellow card · Roughing
    90+12’
  20. Full time · 1–1

Team stats

VfL Wolfsburg11 shots · 7 in box, 4 outside
FSV Mainz 0517 shots · 14 in box, 3 outside
VfL WolfsburgFSV Mainz 05
40% Possession 60%
0.57 Expected goals (xG) 1.69
0.59 Expected points (xPts) 2.17
11 Shots 17
3 Shots on target 3
5 Shots off target 8
3 Blocked shots 6
7 Shots inside the box 14
4 Shots outside the box 3
311 Passes 458
71% Pass accuracy 83%
3 Corners 10
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
13 Fouls 13
2 Yellow cards 5
1 Red cards 0
6.90 Team rating 6.75

Line-ups

VfL Wolfsburg 4-2-3-1

17.0 K. Grabara(G)
258.2★ A. Zehnter ↓90’ 46.9 K. Koulierakis 156.9 M. Jenz 26.6 K. Fischer
57.2 Vinicius Souza ↓90’ 276.9 M. Arnold
396.3 P. Wimmer 106.6 L. Majer A↓70’ 77.0 A. Skov Olsen ↓46’
176.5 D. Pejčinović
  • 1K. Grabara (G)7.0
  • 25A. Zehnter ★↓90’8.2
  • 4K. Koulierakis6.9
  • 15M. Jenz6.9
  • 2K. Fischer6.6
  • 5Vinicius Souza↓90’7.2
  • 27M. Arnold6.9
  • 39P. Wimmer6.3
  • 10L. MajerA↓70’6.6
  • 7A. Skov Olsen↓46’7.0
  • 17D. Pejčinović6.5

Substitutes used

  • 18V. Černý↑46’6.6
  • 32M. Svanberg↑70’6.7
  • 21J. Mæhle↑90’
  • 23J. Wind↑90’

Unused: M. Amoura, M. Müller, D. Odogu, B. Dárdai, Y. Gerhardt

Coach: P. Simonis

FSV Mainz 05 3-4-2-1

276.3 R. Zentner(G)
317.2 D. Kohr 166.3 S. Bell ↓46’ 216.9 D. da Costa
26.7 P. Mwene ↓69’ 66.3 K. Sano 107.2 N. Amiri 197.0 A. Caci
76.9 J. Lee 96.6 A. Nordin ↓82’
446.7 N. Weiper ↓69’
  • 27R. Zentner (G)6.3
  • 31D. Kohr7.2
  • 16S. Bell↓46’6.3
  • 21D. da Costa6.9
  • 2P. Mwene↓69’6.7
  • 6K. Sano6.3
  • 10N. Amiri7.2
  • 19A. Caci7.0
  • 7J. Lee6.9
  • 9A. Nordin↓82’6.6
  • 44N. Weiper↓69’6.7

Substitutes used

  • 25A. Hanche-Olsen↑46’6.7
  • 22N. Veratschnig↑69’6.5
  • 11A. Sieb↑69’6.7
  • 37B. Bobzien↑82’6.6

Unused: L. Rieß, M. Leitsch, Sota Kawasaki, S. Widmer, L. Maloney

Player stats

Top rated
A. ZehnterVfL Wolfsburg8.2
2nd
Vinicius SouzaVfL Wolfsburg7.2
3rd
D. KohrFSV Mainz 057.2

VfL Wolfsburg

FSV Mainz 05

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.